Miami Heat (4) vs. Brooklyn Nets (216) Preview (12/01/2019)

The Miami Heat will be on the road Sunday taking the court against the Nets at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn. The Heat will be looking for back-to-back wins after beating the Golden State Warriors 122-105 in Miami on Friday. The Nets will also be looking for a second straight win after beating the Boston Celtics 112-107 in Brooklyn their last time on the court.

 

The Miami Heat are now 13-5 on the season following a 122-105 win at home against the Golden State Warriors. Goran Dragic was able to knock down 9 of 13 from the field to lead the Heat with 20 points. Jimmy Butler was able to pass the ball for a team-high six assists while Bam Adebayo pulled down nine rebounds. Miami had six different players finish the game with at least 15 points.

 

The Heat have been good for an average of 111.5 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 48.3 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 25.5 assists per night while grabbing 44.2 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 105.1 points per game to their opponents. Miami has been taking the ball away for 9.3 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 4.7 blocks. They will be looking for back-to-back wins

 

The Brooklyn Nets are now 10-9 following a 112-107 win at home against the Boston Celtics. Spencer Dinwiddie was able to connect on 10 of 19 from the field to lead the Nets with 32 points while passing the ball for a team-high 11 assists. Both Jarrett Allen and Deandre Jordan were able to haul in 11 rebounds. Brooklyn had five different players finish the game with a double-digit scoring night.

 

The Nets have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 112.5 points per game this season while shooting 45.0 from the field. Brooklyn has passed the ball for an average of 23.8 assists per night with 46.7 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, Brooklyn gives up 113.9 points per night. The Nets average 7.1 steals per game to go along with 5.2 blocks. They will be looking for a second straight win.

 

The Heat will take the court on Sunday as three-point favorites with the total sitting at 216.5. As of Saturday night, Kyrie Irving is listed out for this game. Without him on the court, I like Miami covering this spread. Miami has been tougher to score against, they shoot a higher percentage from the field, and they are passing the ball for more assists per game. I like the Heat covering the three-point spread.

 NBA STATS & TRENDS

  • Miami is 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games.
  • Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in their previous five games played in December.
  • The total has stayed under in 10 of Brooklyn’s previous 12 games vs. Miami.
  • The total has stayed under in 5 of Brooklyn’s previous seven games.

 

Miami Heat -4   ( -185 ) Vs. Brooklyn Nets Brooklyn Nets 4  ( 160 ) Vs. Miami Heat
Miami Heat

Miami Heat
SIDE :4

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-01
Time: 15:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Brooklyn Nets

Brooklyn Nets
O/U :216

110.04 Forecast
(O/U 216.79 )
106.75
29% C.O.C 42%
42% C.O.G.O 42%
-7.61 MSV 1.22
(A) BULLISH PVI (B) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

PVI = (Performance Value Index) – The Performance Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.
Raymond Report
Miami Heat Brooklyn Nets
Season Record : 13-5 Season Record : 10-9
Away Record : 5-5 Away Record : 4-6
Home Record : 8-0 Home Record : 6-3
Line : -4 Line : 4
O/U : 216 O/U : 216
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 105 – 122 vs Golden State Warriors Last game: Won 107 – 112 vs Boston Celtics
SU: 17-12 ATS: 19-10-0 O/U: 17-12-0
SU: 26-23 ATS: 23-25-1 O/U: 21-25-3
Current game: vs. Brooklyn Nets Current game: vs. Miami Heat
SU: 31-19 ATS: 29-21-0 O/U: 26-22-2
SU: 19-31 ATS: 20-30-0 O/U: 26-22-2
Next Game: At TORONTO Next Game: At ATLANTA
SU: 12-14 ATS: 13-12-1 O/U: 14-11-1
SU: 17-9 ATS: 14-12-0 O/U: 12-14-0
Days Rest : 1 (-3.5/-6.0 RF) Days Rest : 1 (3.5/6.0 HD)
(L) SU:  (59.1 %) ATS:  (36.4%) O/U: (54.5%)
(L) SU: (30.4%) ATS: (43.5%) O/U: (56.5%)
(T) SU: (2-0) ATS: (2-0-0) O/U: (1-1-0)
(T) SU: (2-0) ATS: (2-0-0) O/U: (1-1-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Over Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 2 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 40.82% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 7 Win -0 Lost   (PF)117.29 – (PA)100.71 Home Favorite: 4 Win -3 Lost   (PF)112.14 – (PA)111.71
Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)129 – (PA)100 Home Underdog: 2 Win -0 Lost   (PF)117.5 – (PA)111.5
Road Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost   (PF)110 – (PA)100.67 Road Favorite: 1 Win -2 Lost   (PF)115 – (PA)116
Road Underdog: 2 Win -5 Lost   (PF)103.86 – (PA)112 Road Underdog: 3 Win -4 Lost   (PF)110.43 – (PA)115.86
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)115.67 – (PA)107.33 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)110 – (PA)111.33
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)109.8 – (PA)108.6 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)109.8 – (PA)106.4
Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (PF)111.71 – (PA)105.29 Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (PF)105.14 – (PA)105.43
Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (PF)108.7 – (PA)103.7 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (PF)106 – (PA)106.9
Last 15 game: 11 Win 4 Lost   (PF)109.8 – (PA)103.2 Last 15 game: 9 Win 6 Lost   (PF)110.53 – (PA)111.73
Situations (Miami Heat) Situations (Brooklyn Nets)
Coming off a vs. Pacific Opponent. (G.S.) Coming off a vs. Atlantic Opponent. (BOS)
Coming off a home fav win Coming off a home underdog win
Coming off a 1 game winning streak Coming off a 1 game winning streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 2 overs
Scored 120 or more points FOR in their last game Scored 110 or more points FOR in their last game
Allowed 105 or less points AGAINST in their last game Allowed 110 or less points AGAINST in their last game
Coming off a 1 game Home Stand Coming off a 1 game Home Stand
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off 1 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When BROOKLYN team played as a 3.5 to 6.0 Home Underdog – During the month of December – Coming off 1 ATS win 3-7-0 2-8 2-8-0

 

What is the Raymond Report?

The Raymond Report is a unique Sports Analytics tip sheet based on the 3-Key Fundamentals of Sports Handicapping;
A) Line/Price Value ($): When calculating the “Value” of a line or price, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a past game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game. (Perception vs. Reality = Value)
B) Percentage Play (%): Every time a team wins or covers (Side or Totals), their chances of repeating that same action decreases, based on the law of average theory.
C) V.I.C. (Vegas Index Cycle): The intangibles of special circumstances. (Letdown factor, Look ahead, Line-moves, Shelf Scouting, Gut Feeling, etc…)

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