Phoenix Suns (240.5) vs. Houston Rockets (10) Preview & Prediction (12/07/2019)

The Phoenix Suns will be on the road Saturday taking the court against the Rockets at the Toyota Center in Houston. The Suns will be looking for back-to-back wins after beating the Pelicans 139-132 in overtime on Thursday. The Rockets will also be looking for a second straight win after beating the Raptors 119-109 in Toronto their last time on the court.

The Phoenix Suns are now 10-11 on the season following a 139-132 overtime win in New Orleans against the Pelicans. Devin Booker was able to knock down 13 of 24 from the field to lead the Suns with 44 points. Ricky Rubio passed the ball around for a team-high 15 assists while Kelly Oubre Jr. pulled down 15 rebounds. Phoenix had six different players finish the game with a double-digit night scoring.

The Suns have been good for an average of 115.6 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 46.3 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 28.2 assists per night while grabbing 42.0 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 114.1 points per game to their opponents. Phoenix has been taking the ball away for 8.1 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 4.0 blocks. They will be looking for a second win in a row.

The Houston Rockets are now 14-7 on the year following a 119-109 win against the Raptors in Houston. Ben McLemore connected on 9 of 18 from the field to lead the Rockets with 28 points in the game. Russell Westbrook was able to pass the ball for a team-high 11 assists while he and Clin Capela both hauled in 13 rebounds. Houston had five different players finish the game with at least 16 points on the night.

The Rockets have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 120.8 points per game this season while shooting 44.5 from the field. Houston has passed the ball for an average of 22.0 assists per night with 48.2 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, Houston gives up 115.2 points per night. The Rockets average 8.7 steals per game to go along with 4.7 blocks. They will be looking for back-to-back wins.

Houston will take the court as nine and a half point favorites with the total sitting at 240.5 on the game. I’m liking the Rockets to win this one at home, but I don’t see them doing enough to cover the spread. The Suns shoot a higher percentage from the field, pass the ball for more assists, and are holding their opponents to fewer points per game. My money’s on Phoenix plus the points.

 NBA Stats and Trends:

  • Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in their previous five games vs. Houston.
  • Phoenix is 12-6 ATS in their previous 18 games on the road.
Phoenix Suns 10   ( 416 ) Vs. Houston Rockets Houston Rockets -10  ( -550 ) Vs. Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns (240.5) vs. Houston Rockets (10) Preview & Prediction (12/07/2019)

Phoenix Suns
O/U :240.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-07
Time: 20:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Phoenix Suns (240.5) vs. Houston Rockets (10) Preview & Prediction (12/07/2019)

Houston Rockets
SIDE :10

106.16 Forecast
(O/U 223.05 )
116.89
% C.O.W %
38% C.O.C 40%
42% C.O.G.O 42%
-1.3 MSV -5.83
(C) NEUTRAL MVI (A) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB,NBA and NFL)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Phoenix Suns Houston Rockets
Season Record : 10-11 Season Record : 14-7
Away Record : 5-4 Away Record : 6-5
Home Record : 5-7 Home Record : 8-2
Line : 10 Line : -10
O/U : 240.5 O/U : 240.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 139 – 132 vs New Orleans Pelicans Last game: Won 119 – 109 vs Toronto Raptors
SU: 9-23 ATS: 15-15-2 O/U: 15-17-0
SU: 11-4 ATS: 6-9-0 O/U: 8-7-0
Current game: vs. Houston Rockets Current game: vs. Phoenix Suns
SU: 21-24 ATS: 29-16-0 O/U: 22-21-2
SU: 24-21 ATS: 15-30-0 O/U: 22-21-2
Next Game: Vs. MINNESOTA Next Game: Vs. SACRAMENTO
SU: 15-15 ATS: 14-16-0 O/U: 13-15-2
SU: 21-2 ATS: 20-3-0 O/U: 10-11-2
Days Rest : 1 (+9.5/+12.0 RD) Days Rest : 1 (-9.5/-12.0 HF)
(L) SU:  (5-16-0) ATS:  (11-10-0) O/U:  (10-11-0)
(L) SU:  (21-5-0) ATS: (11-15-0) O/U: (14-12-0)
(T) SU: (0-1) ATS: (1-0-0) O/U: (0-1-0)
(T) SU: (2-0) ATS: (0-2-0) O/U: (2-0-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 2 Over Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.9% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 61.22%
Home Favorite: 4 Win -4 Lost   (PF)118.75 – (PA)114.38 Home Favorite: 8 Win -2 Lost   (PF)122.5 – (PA)112.3
Home Underdog: 1 Win -3 Lost   (PF)113.25 – (PA)115.25 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 2 Win -1 Lost   (PF)112.33 – (PA)112.33 Road Favorite: 4 Win -3 Lost   (PF)122 – (PA)122.14
Road Underdog: 3 Win -3 Lost   (PF)114.5 – (PA)114 Road Underdog: 2 Win -2 Lost   (PF)114.5 – (PA)110.25
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)120.67 – (PA)121.33 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)136.67 – (PA)118.33
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (PF)121.4 – (PA)124.8 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)130 – (PA)120
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (PF)115.86 – (PA)119.71 Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (PF)123.43 – (PA)118.14
Last 10 game: 3 Win 7 Lost   (PF)113.3 – (PA)118.1 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (PF)123.2 – (PA)114.2
Last 15 game: 6 Win 9 Lost   (PF)115.73 – (PA)117.4 Last 15 game: 11 Win 4 Lost   (PF)120.6 – (PA)110.47
Situations (Phoenix Suns) Situations (Houston Rockets)
Coming off a vs. Southwest Opponent. (NWO) Coming off a vs. Atlantic Opponent. (TOR)
Coming off a road favorite win Coming off a road favorite win
Coming off a 1 game winning streak Coming off a 1 game winning streak
Coming off 2 overs Coming off 1 under
Scored 120 or more points FOR in their last game Scored 115 or more points FOR in their last game
Coming off 3 game road stand Allowed 110 or less points AGAINST in their last game
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off 2 game road stand
After 1 day off Coming off 1 ATS win
After 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When HOUSTON team played as a -9.5 to -12.0 Home Favorite – Before a conference game – After a non division game – Allowed 110 or less points AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a 8-11 point win 7-5-0 12-0 6-6-0
When HOUSTON team played as a Home team – Vs Conference Opponent – After a non division game – Coming off 1 under – Coming off a Road win as a Underdog 3-7-0 6-4 2-8-0
When HOUSTON team played as a -9.5 to -12.0 Home Favorite – playing on Saturday – Coming off 1 ATS win 3-7-0 9-1 3-7-0
When ANY NBA Team played as a -9.5 to -12.0 Home Favorite – Before a non division game – Last 2 years – with 1 day off – Allowed 110 or less points AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a 1 game win – Coming off a 8-11 point win 7-11-0 16-2 4-14-0
When ANY NBA Team played as a -9.5 to -12.0 Home Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – Coming off a 1 ATS win – Coming off a Road win as a Underdog – Coming off a 2 game road stand 10-4-2 15-1 8-7-1

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