Portland Trail Blazers (227.5) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (13) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

The Portland Trail Blazers will be on the road Thursday taking the court against the Bucks at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee. Portland will be looking to end a two-game skid following a 115-104 loss in New Orleans against the Pelicans on Tuesday. The Bucks will be looking for a sixth consecutive win following a 135-127 win against the Hawks in Atlanta on Wednesday.

 

Carmelo Anthony returned to the NBA and the Trail Blazers went on to lose 115-104 to the Pelicans in New Orleans, putting them at 5-10 on the season. CJ McCollum was able to connect on 9 of 22 from the field to lead the Blazers with 22 points while passing the ball for a team-high five assists. Hassan Whiteside was able to pull down 14 rebounds. Portland had six players with at least 10 points in the game.

 

The Trail Blazers have been good for an average of 111.9 points per game on the offensive end of the court while hitting 44.0 percent from the field. They have been able to pass the ball for an average of 18.8 assists per night while grabbing 46.5 rebounds. Defensively, they allow an average of 115.3 points per game to their opponents. Portland has been taking the ball away for 5.9 steals every time they are on the court to go along with 5.9 blocks. They will be looking to avoid a third consecutive loss.

 

The Milwaukee Bucks are now 11-3 on the season following a 135-127 win against the Hawks in Atlanta. Giannis Antetokounmpo was able to knock down 12 of 17 to lead the Bucks with 33 points while pulling down a team-high 11 rebounds. Eric Bledsoe was able to pass the ball around for five assists. Milwaukee had five different players with a double-digit scoring night.

 

The Bucks have been able to put the ball in the net for an average of 118.5 points per game this season while shooting 47.0 from the field. Milwaukee has passed the ball for an average of 23.9 assists per night with 52.2 rebounds. On the defensive end of the floor, Milwaukee gives up 109.0 points per night. The Bucks average 7.8 steals per game to go along with 6.3 blocks. They will be looking for a sixth consecutive win.

 

Both the point spread and total were off for this game as of late Wednesday night. I’m liking the Bucks to win at home in this one. Milwaukee has better numbers on both ends of the court, pull down more rebounds, pass for more assists, and shoot a higher percentage from the field. Yes, it will be their second game in as many days, but I think playing at home gives them any edge they might need. My money’s on the Bucks.

 NBA STATS & TRENDS

  • The Trail Blazers are 2-8 SU in their previous 10 games.
  • The Trail Blazers are 1-5 SU in their previous six games against the Bucks
  • Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in their previous five games.
  • Milwaukee is 7-2 SU in their previous nine games at home.
Portland Trailblazers 13   ( 614 ) Vs. Milwaukee Bucks Milwaukee Bucks -13  ( -900 ) Vs. Portland Trailblazers
Portland Trailblazers

Portland Trailblazers
O/U :227.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-21
Time: 20:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Milwaukee Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks
SIDE :13

109.7 Forecast
(O/U 236.35 )
126.65
62% C.O.C 42%
47% C.O.G.O 47%
3.05 MSV -8.88
(C) BEARISH MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Portland Trailblazers Milwaukee Bucks
Season Record : 5-10 Season Record : 11-3
Away Record : 4-6 Away Record : 8-2
Home Record : 1-4 Home Record : 3-1
Line : 13 Line : -13
O/U : 227.5 O/U : 227.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 104 – 115 vs New Orleans Pelicans Last game: Won 135 – 127 vs Atlanta Hawks
SU: 7-12 ATS: 10-9-0 O/U: 7-9-3
SU: 2-2 ATS: 1-3-0 O/U: 3-1-0
Current game: vs. Milwaukee Bucks Current game: vs. Portland Trailblazers
SU: 10-12 ATS: 11-10-1 O/U: 12-10-0
SU: 12-10 ATS: 10-11-1 O/U: 12-10-0
Next Game: At CLEVELAND Next Game: Vs. DETROIT
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
SU: 0-0 ATS: 0-0-0 O/U: 0-0-0
Days Rest : 1 (+9.5/+12.0 RD) Days Rest : 0 (-9.5/-12.0 HF)
(L) SU:  (33.3 %) ATS:  (66.7%) O/U: (50%)
(L) SU: (0%) ATS: (0%) O/U: (0%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 2 ATS Lost – 1 Under Streaks : 5 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98%
Home Favorite: 1 Win -3 Lost   (PF)118.25 – (PA)118.75 Home Favorite: 3 Win -1 Lost   (PF)123.5 – (PA)115.75
Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)100 – (PA)108 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 2 Win -2 Lost   (PF)110.25 – (PA)111.25 Road Favorite: 7 Win -2 Lost   (PF)118.22 – (PA)107.78
Road Underdog: 2 Win -4 Lost   (PF)110.83 – (PA)117 Road Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)117 – (PA)111
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)111 – (PA)121 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)117.33 – (PA)103.67
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (PF)107.6 – (PA)116.8 Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (PF)119.4 – (PA)109
Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (PF)111 – (PA)116.57 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)118 – (PA)110.29
Last 10 game: 2 Win 8 Lost   (PF)112.4 – (PA)117.9 Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost   (PF)119.8 – (PA)107.4
Last 15 game: 5 Win 10 Lost   (PF)111.93 – (PA)115.33 Last 15 game: 11 Win 3 Lost   (PF)119.64 – (PA)110.29
Situations (Portland Trailblazers) Situations (Milwaukee Bucks)
Coming off a vs. Southwest Opponent. (NWO) Coming off a vs. Southeast Opponent. (ATL)
Coming off a road favorite lost Coming off a road underdog win
Coming off a 2 game losing streak Coming off a 5 game winning streak
Coming off 1 under Coming off 1 over
Scored 105 or less points FOR in their last game Scored 120 or more points FOR in their last game
Allowed 115 or more points AGAINST in their last game Coming off 3 game road stand
Coming off 3 game road stand Coming off 1 ATS lost
Coming off 2 ATS lost Back to back games
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NBA Team played as a 9.5 to 12 Road Underdog – Total is 220 or more – Last 3 years – with 1 day off – Allowed 111 – 115 AGAINST in their last game 18-1-1 8-12 9-11-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When MILWAUKEE team played as a -9.5 to -12.0 Home Favorite – Last 3 years – After a conference game – Coming off vs Eastern conference opponent 6-7-1 13-1 7-6-1
When ANY NBA Team played as a -9.5 to -12.0 Home Favorite – Before a conference game – After a non division game – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite – Coming off a 3 game road stand 10-15-0 22-3 10-14-1

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