Categories: CFB

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Prediction (12/05/2020)

FILE - In this Nov. 2, 2019, file photo, Nebraska quarterback Adrian Martinez (2) runs against Purdue during the second half of an NCAA college football game in West Lafayette, Ind. The Cornhuskers are 9-15 in his first two seasons, including just 4-8 against Big Ten West opponents and only two road wins. A trendy pick to win the West in 2019, Nebraska finished fifth, and its 5-7 record caused hopes for a quick turnaround to fade. (AP Photo/Michael Conroy)

Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond has released his free Raymond Report Preview and Prediction on this weekend’s Big Ten (B1G) College Football game between the Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. the Purdue Boilermakers for Saturday, December 5th, 2020.

RAYMOND REPORT LITE (NCAAF)

Nebraska Cornhuskers (58.5) vs. Purdue Boilermakers (1) Preview (12/05/2020)

Nebraska Cornhuskers +1 ( +107 ) Vs. Purdue Boilermakers (Total:58.5)

Purdue Boilermakers -1 ( -123 ) Vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (Total:58.5)

Nebraska Cornhuskers O/U :58.5	Vs. Date: 2020-12-05 Time: 13:00:00 Generated from 8 Previous Games	Purdue Boilermakers SIDE :1
38.84	Forecast (O/U 86.93 )	48.09
1-4	L5(SU)	2-3
2-3-0	L5(ATS)	1-4-0
2-3-0	L5(O/U)	2-3-0
14.81%	C.O.W	67.65%
47%	C.O.C	90%
55%	C.O.G.O	55%
10.92	MSV	0.66
(C) NEUTRAL	PVI	(C) BEARISH
0-0	SU	0-1
0-0-0	ATS	0-1-0
0-0-0	O/U	1-0-0

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL,NFL & NCAAF)

C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The ‘Law of Average’ edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.
BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-1) in their last 3 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Prediction (12/05/2020)

Nebraska Cornhuskers

Purdue Boilermakers

Line : 1

Line : -1

Money Line : +107

Money Line : -123

O/U : 58.5

Season Record :

SU: 1-4

ATS: 2-3-0

O/U: 2-3-0

SU: 2-3

ATS: 1-4-0

O/U: 2-3-0

Home Record :

SU: 1-1

ATS: 1-1-0

O/U: 1-1-0

SU: 1-2

ATS: 1-2-0

O/U: 1-2-0

Away Record :

SU: 0-3

ATS: 1-2-0

O/U: 1-2-0

SU: 1-1

ATS: 0-2-0

O/U: 1-1-0

Last game: Lost 20 – 26 vs Iowa Hawkeyes

Last game: Lost 37 – 30 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights

SU: 4-5

ATS: 5-4-0

O/U: 4-4-1

SU: 15-8

ATS: 11-11-1

O/U: 11-8-4

Current game: vs. Purdue Boilermakers

Current game: vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

SU: 2-2

ATS: 2-2-0

O/U: 2-2-0

SU: 2-2

ATS: 2-2-0

O/U: 2-2-0

Next Game: Vs.

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

SU: 0-0

ATS: 0-0-0

O/U: 0-0-0

Days Rest : 7 (RD)

Days Rest : 6 (HF)

(L) SU: (2-8-0 )

ATS: (8-2-0 )

O/U: (5-5-0)

(L) SU: ( 108-29-0)

ATS: (57-76-4)

O/U: (66-69-2)

(T) SU: (0-0)

ATS: (0-0-0)

O/U: (0-0-0)

(T) SU: (0-0)

ATS: (0-0-0)

O/U: (0-0-0)

Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 1 ATS Win – 1 Under

Streaks : 3 SU Lost – 4 ATS Lost – 2 Over

Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 66.67%

Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.56%

Situational Stats

Home Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost (PF)23 – (PA)41

Home Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost (PF)30 – (PA)37

Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost (PF)30 – (PA)23

Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost (PF)22 – (PA)23.5

Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Road Favorite: 1 Win -1 Lost (PF)31 – (PA)29

Road Underdog: 0 Win -3 Lost (PF)16.67 – (PA)33

Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A

Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost (PF)24.33 – (PA)30

Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost (PF)27 – (PA)32.67

Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost (PF)20.6 – (PA)32.6

Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost (PF)27.2 – (PA)28.4

Last 7 game: 1 Win 4 Lost (PF)20.6 – (PA)32.6

Last 7 game: 2 Win 3 Lost (PF)27.2 – (PA)28.4

Last 10 game: 1 Win 4 Lost (PF)20.6 – (PA)32.6

Last 10 game: 2 Win 3 Lost (PF)27.2 – (PA)28.4

Last 15 game: 1 Win 4 Lost (PF)20.6 – (PA)32.6

Last 15 game: 2 Win 3 Lost (PF)27.2 – (PA)28.4

Situations (Nebraska Cornhuskers)

Situations (Purdue Boilermakers)

Coming off a vs Big Ten opponent (Iowa)

Coming off a home fav lost (Rutgers)

Coming off a road underdog lost

Coming off a 3 game losing streak

Coming off a 2 game losing streak

Coming off 2 overs

Coming off 1 under

Coming off a game scored 30 points or less

Coming off a game scored 20 points or less

Coming off a game scored 35 points or more against

Coming off a game scored 24 points or more against

Coming off 4 ATS lost

Trends

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When Nebraska team played as a pk to 3 Underdog – After a division game – Scored more than 20 points in back to back games	4-5-1	4-6	8-2-0
When Nebraska team played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Division Opponent – Coming off 1 ATS win	4-6-0	1-9	9-1-0

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When Purdue team played as a Home team – Last 2 years – Playing on Saturday – Scored 30 points or less FOR in their last game	5-5-0	3-7	8-2-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as a Home team – Last 3 years – During Week 12 to 16 – With 6 days off – Scored 35 points or more AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a 4-7 point loss	10-4-1	13-2	11-4-0
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – During Week 12 to 16 – Playing on Saturday – Coming off a 4-7 point loss – vs. opponent with a 11% to 20% winning %	11-11-0	18-2	9-9-3
When ANY NCAAF Team played as Home team as a Favorite – After a non conference game – With 6 days off – Coming off back to back SU loss – Coming off 2 overs	30-15-0	40-5	26-18-1

Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a veteran sports handicapper and founder of ATSstats.com, creator of the Raymond Report sports betting system. Active in the industry since 1996, Ron has nearly three decades of experience analyzing market cycles, performance indicators, and value metrics across the NFL, NHL, NBA, MLB, and CFL. Ron’s data-driven approach has helped thousands of bettors think strategically, manage risk, and win with confidence.

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