NFL Market Thermometer: Hot, Cold, and Stuck-in-the-Middle

Powered by the Raymond Report Strength-of-Schedule and Power Rating matrices

Markets move fast in the NFL. The Raymond Report filters the noise with SOS, recent-form splits, and Power Ratings to identify where value is building and where bankrolls go to die. Here is the current read on hot, neutral, and cold teams based on your dataset.

🔥 Hot Teams: Bullish cycles with real substance

New England Patriots

• Record/PR: 7-2, PR 0.57
• Trend: 3-0 last 3; 6-1 last 7, PR 0.64
• SOS note: Easier recent slate, but they handled business.
• Betting angle: 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS on the road. Translation: traveling cash machine.

Denver Broncos

• Record/PR: 7-2, PR 0.60
• Trend: 3-0 last 3; 6-1 last 7, PR 0.62
• SOS note: Not a gauntlet, still elite form.
• Betting angle: 4-0 SU at home, 3-1 ATS at home. Confidence index screaming green.

Indianapolis Colts

• Record/PR: 7-2, PR 0.61
• Trend: 2-1 last 3; 5-2 last 7, PR 0.54
• SOS note: Manageable.
• Betting angle: 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS at home. Sharp money respects this floor.

Seattle Seahawks

• Record/PR: 6-2, PR 0.62
• Trend: 3-0 last 3; 6-1 last 7, PR 0.64
• SOS note: Recent path was friendly, but they crushed it.
• Betting angle: 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS on the road. Road warriors, bankroll buddies.

Los Angeles Rams

• Record/PR: 6-2, PR 0.61
• Trend: 3-0 last 3, PR 0.67
• Betting angle: 4-0 ATS at home. Books are slow to adjust to the ramp-up.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

• Record/PR: 6-2, PR 0.61
• Trend: 2-1 last 3; 5-2 last 7, PR 0.61
• Betting angle: 4-1 ATS on the road. When they pack a bag, you pack a ticket.

Philadelphia Eagles

• Record/PR: 6-2, PR 0.63
• Trend: 2-1 last 3; 5-2 last 7, PR 0.64
• SOS note: Last-3 SOS was soft. Still grading A-tier.
• Betting angle: Balanced 6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS overall. Pick your spots, especially when the public cools.

Buffalo Bills

• Record/PR: 6-2, PR 0.57
• Trend: 2-1 last 3; 5-2 last 7, PR 0.59
• SOS note: Easier schedule, but efficiency is up.
• Betting angle: 4-1 SU at home, 4-1 ATS at home. Orchard Park premium applies.

Green Bay Packers

• Record/PR: 5-2, PR 0.57
• Trend: 2-1 last 3; 4-2 last 7
• Betting angle: 3-1 SU home, 3-1 ATS road. Quietly profitable profile.

😐 Neutral Zone: Capable, volatile, or priced correctly

San Francisco 49ers

• Record/PR: 6-3, PR 0.57; 2-1 last 3, but recent SOS light.
• Market read: Still a buy in the right number ranges, not an auto-fire.

Detroit Lions

• Record/PR: 5-3, PR 0.57; 1-2 last 3.
• Market read: Power number remains strong. Respect the dip, do not chase it.

Los Angeles Chargers

• Record/PR: 6-3, PR 0.54; steady splits without a signature spike.
• Market read: Price sensitive. Better as small dog or short-number favorite.

Jacksonville Jaguars

• Record/PR: 5-3, PR 0.58; 1-2 last 3 with a brutal last-3 SOS.
• Market read: Neutral now. Can jump to hot with one statement win.

Pittsburgh Steelers

• Record/PR: 5-3, PR 0.58; 1-2 last 3.
• Market read: Defense keeps tickets live. Totals angles often better than sides.

Chicago Bears

• Record/PR: 5-3, PR 0.49; soft SOS footprint.
• Market read: Winning, yes. Power number says do not overpay.

Kansas City Chiefs

• Record/PR: 5-4, PR 0.53; 5-2 last 7 PR 0.58.
• Market read: Still dangerous. Numbers must be fair, not legacy-priced.

Carolina Panthers

• Record/PR: 5-4, PR 0.52; 2-1 last 3, 5-2 last 7, PR 0.60.
• Market read: Sneaky upswing. Short-term buy if books lag.

Minnesota Vikings

• Record/PR: 4-4, PR 0.52; 1-2 last 3, yet 7-1 ATS overall.
• Market read: ATS heat outpaces SU profile. Beware regression, not an automatic fade.

❄️ Cold Teams: Bearish cycles and bankroll hazards

Tennessee Titans

• Record/PR: 1-8, PR 0.36; 0-4 last 4 on the road, 0-5 road ATS last 7 window.
• Market read: Numbers will look tempting. That is the trap.

New Orleans Saints

• Record/PR: 1-8, PR 0.37; 0-3 last 3 with heavy SOS.
• Market read: The schedule is tough, the execution is tougher to trust.

New York Jets

• Record/PR: 1-7, PR 0.34; 0-5 SU at home.
• Market read: Until the offense clears basic thresholds, it is fade or pass.

Miami Dolphins

• Record/PR: 2-7, PR 0.37; 1-4 on the road and 1-4 ATS road in the long window.
• Market read: Perception still lags reality. Do not pay 2023 prices for 2025 production.

New York Giants

• Record/PR: 2-7, PR 0.39; 0-5 road SU, 1-4 road ATS last 7 window.
• Market read: Lines look “short” for a reason.

Las Vegas Raiders

• Record/PR: 2-6, PR 0.40; 1-6 last 7 window.
• Market read: Little signal of a sustained bounce.

Cleveland Browns

• Record/PR: 2-6, PR 0.39; 0-4 last 7 window.
• Market read: Defense cannot carry an offense that stalls this often.

Cincinnati Bengals

• Record/PR: 3-6, PR 0.44; 1-6 last 7, PR 0.36.
• Market read: Name recognition costs juice. Let others pay it.

Atlanta Falcons, Washington Commanders, Dallas Cowboys

• Shared theme: 0-3 last 3 and sub-0.45 PR last-7 windows.
• Market read: Avoid “must-win” narratives. Must-win teams often must-cover, and they usually do not.

ATS snapshots that matter

• Patriots: 4-0 ATS road.
• Seahawks: 4-0 ATS road.
• Rams: 4-0 ATS home.
• Colts: 5-0 ATS home.
• Bears: 5-2-1 ATS overall, but soft SOS says watch the price.
• Vikings: 7-1 ATS overall with a .500 SU record. Line value has been the edge, not dominance.

How to bet this board

1. Buy strength that the market still prices like “good, not great.” Seahawks, Colts, Rams, Bucs fit that bill when lines stay reasonable.
2. Neutral teams are matchup plays. 49ers, Lions, Chargers, Jags, Steelers require number discipline and situational filters.
3. Cold teams are not “due.” Jets, Titans, Saints, Giants, Raiders, Browns, Bengals have bearish cycles for a reason. Take plus points only with strong SOS or injury mismatches to justify it.

Final Word

The fastest way to separate pros from tourists is how they handle streaks. Pros buy form before the public catches on and sell hype before the crash. Use the Raymond Report’s SOS and Power Ratings to time entries, not emotions.

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