NFL Monday Night Football: Saints vs. Chiefs (October 7, 2024)

Tonight, the New Orleans Saints head to Arrowhead Stadium to take on the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs in a highly anticipated Monday Night Football matchup. The Chiefs, coming in hot with a 4-0 record, will look to extend their winning streak, while the Saints aim to bounce back from a narrow loss last week. With the Chiefs favored by 5.5 points and a total set at 41.5, this game presents intriguing opportunities for bettors. Let’s dive into the key trends and insights from the Raymond Report to see where the value lies.

Betting Lines:

• New Orleans Saints: +5.5 (+175)
• Kansas City Chiefs: -5.5 (-286)
• Total (O/U): 41.5

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New Orleans Saints (Road Team) Overview:

• Record: 2-2 (SU), 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U
• Last 5 Games: 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U
• Last Game: Lost 24-26 to Atlanta Falcons
• Road Record: 1-1 (SU), 1-1 ATS, 2-0 O/U
• Chances of Winning (C.O.W.): 39.47%
• Chances of Covering (C.O.C.): 58%
• Chances Game Going Over (C.O.G.O.): 44%

Key Stats:

• Offensive Average (All Games): 31.75 points per game
• Defensive Average (All Games): 17.5 points allowed per game
• Road Offensive Average: 34 points per game
• Road Defensive Average: 22.5 points allowed per game
• Last 3 Games: Averaging 26.67 points per game, allowing 20 points per game
• Team Cycle: Neutral (2-2 in last 4 games)
• Recent Performance: Coming off back-to-back losses both SU and ATS
• Law of Average Edge: Strong edge as a team on a 2-game ATS losing streak playing against a team on a win streak.

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Kansas City Chiefs (Home Team) Overview:

• Record: 4-0 (SU), 3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U
• Last 5 Games: 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U
• Last Game: Won 17-10 vs. Los Angeles Chargers
• Home Record: 2-0 (SU), 1-1 ATS, 2-0 O/U
• Chances of Winning (C.O.W.): 59.09%
• Chances of Covering (C.O.C.): 29%
• Chances Game Going Over (C.O.G.O.): 44%

Key Stats:

• Offensive Average (All Games): 23 points per game
• Defensive Average (All Games): 18 points allowed per game
• Home Offensive Average: 26.5 points per game
• Home Defensive Average: 22.5 points allowed per game
• Last 3 Games: Averaging 21.67 points per game, allowing 17.33 points per game
• Team Cycle: Bullish (4-0 in last 4 games)
• Recent Performance: 4-game win streak, 2 ATS wins

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Head-to-Head Insights:

• Last Meeting (2020): Chiefs won 32-29 at New Orleans
• Head-to-Head Trends: Chiefs are 2-2 SU, Saints are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

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Situational Trends:

• Saints as Road Underdogs: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS this season
• Chiefs as Home Favorites: 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS this season
• Saints After a Loss: Averaging 24 points scored, allowing 26 points
• Chiefs After a Win: Averaging 21.67 points scored, allowing 17.33 points

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Raymond Report Tips:

• Kansas City Chiefs are in a bullish cycle and have been consistent at home.
• New Orleans Saints have struggled recently, especially in close games. Law of Average could suggest a bounce back against the spread.
• Total Trends: Both teams have seen their games go under the total frequently, with a C.O.G.O. of 44%.
• Spread Edge: Chiefs have a slight edge, but Saints may cover the +5.5 based on the Law of Average.

Prediction: Chiefs to win, Saints to cover +5.5, and the total to go Under 41.5.