NFL Week 11: The 80% Club Trends Are Talking — And Bettors Should Listen

By The Raymond Report – atsstats.com

It’s Week 11 in the NFL, and the ATS STATS 80% Club is buzzing louder than a Vegas sportsbook on a Sunday afternoon. Let’s dive into the juiciest betting trends that history tells us are worth paying attention to — because numbers may not guarantee a win, but they sure point to who’s due for one.

🏈 Jets vs Patriots (-7.5, 43.5)

Trend Spotlight: When New England plays as a home favorite during Weeks 8–12 and scores 22–28 points in their last game, they’re 16-7-2 ATS and 20-5 SU.
Bonus Trend: Patriots are also 11-1 SU before a conference game during this same stretch.
Takeaway: Mike Vrabel’s Pats might not scare anyone offensively, but history says Foxborough in November is a graveyard for division underdogs. The Jets are walking into a trend trap.

🐬 Commanders vs Dolphins (-2.5, 48)

Trend Spotlight: Miami as a home favorite in November is a heater — 29-6 SU since 1996 — and when scoring 30+ the week before, they’re 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS.
Takeaway: Washington’s defense has been giving up points like candy on Halloween, and if Miami gets rolling early, this could turn into a sunburn for Commanders bettors.

🐯 Bengals vs Steelers (-5.5, 49)

Trend Spotlight: Pittsburgh in November is a bettor’s best friend — 20-10-1 ATS, 25-6 SU, and when laying -3.5 to -6.5 at home, they’re 13-2 SU.
Takeaway: The Steelers don’t just play better at home — they cash tickets. Expect a grind, but history leans black and gold.

🏜️ Texans (-7) vs Titans (39)

Trend Spotlight: Houston as a favorite with a 3-2 SU record in their last 5 games is 22-5 SU.
Takeaway: That’s not a typo — 22-5 straight up. Houston’s young guns keep finding ways to win when the market starts believing.

🐻 Bears vs Vikings (-2.5, 49)

Trend Spotlight: When Chicago plays as a road underdog between Weeks 8–12, coming off back-to-back wins, they’re 11-1 ATS.
Takeaway: Bears bettors, rejoice — this might be one of those “numbers don’t lie” spots. The Vikings better not sleepwalk through this divisional tilt.

🐓 Panthers vs Falcons (-3.5, 42.5)

Trend Spotlight: Carolina on the road against a conference opponent after scoring seven or less is 9-2 O/U to the Over.
Takeaway: Don’t expect another snooze fest — this could be a sneaky high-scoring rebound spot.

⚡ Chargers (-2.5) vs Jaguars (44)

Trend Spotlight: LA (Rams/Chargers) teams are 9-2-1 ATS when playing on the road with totals between 41.5–44 after a non-division game and a recent Under.
Takeaway: Expect the Bolts to bounce with a little statistical swagger here — they fit that road-favorite profile to perfection.

🧀 Packers (-8) vs Giants (45)

Trend Spotlight: When Green Bay is a road favorite between 8 and 10.5, they’re 11-2 SU.
Takeaway: The Giants might hang early, but the Packers’ historical dominance in this spot screams “lay the points.”

🦬 Bills (-5.5) vs Buccaneers (49)

Trend Spotlight: In November home favorite spots, Buffalo is 35-5 SU and 27-12-1 ATS before a non-division game.
Takeaway: It’s hard to fade a trend this strong, especially at Orchard Park in the wind and cold. Tampa might not be built for this weather — or this stat.

🌉 49ers (-2.5) vs Cardinals (48.5)

Trend Spotlight: When San Francisco is a November road favorite, they’re 21-4 SU and 17-8 ATS.
Takeaway: The Niners bounce back from losses like a slingshot — and they’ve historically owned this month.

🦅 Seahawks vs Rams (-2.5, 49)

Head-to-Head Alert: The Rams are 12-3 ATS vs Seattle since 2015.
Takeaway: Trends don’t guarantee wins, but this one’s a serious red flag for 12th Man money. LA clearly has Seattle’s number.

🪶 Ravens (-8) vs Browns (42)

Trend Spotlight: None flashier than Baltimore’s divisional home dominance, but keep an eye on totals — 7 of the last 10 in this spot have leaned Under.
Takeaway: Expect AFC North football at its ugliest — and most profitable for Under bettors.

👑 Chiefs (-4.5) vs Broncos (44)

Trend Spotlight: KC is 17-3 SU vs the AFC West since 2019, but only 7-13 ATS.
Takeaway: The Chiefs win these games — they just don’t always cover them. Consider a Moneyline parlay anchor instead of trusting the spread.

🦁 Lions vs Eagles (-1.5, 49)

Trend Spotlight: Philly as a short home favorite (pk to -3) vs a non-division opponent after a road win is 12-3 SU and 10-4-1 ATS.
Takeaway: The Lions are fun, but the Eagles in this trend spot are downright filthy.

⭐ Cowboys (-3.5) vs Raiders (50)

Trend Spotlight: Dallas as a road favorite after scoring 17 or fewer points is 18-3 SU and 14-7 ATS.
Takeaway: America’s Team rarely stays down long — history says they’ll bounce back in style.

🔥 Final Word – The 80% Club Playbook

The NFL’s past doesn’t predict the future, but it sure points out the patterns. This week’s “big data energy” comes from:

• Patriots’ home dominance (again).
• Steelers’ November heater.
• 49ers’ cold-weather consistency.
• Bears as live dogs.

Remember: Trends don’t bet themselves — you do.

📊 Check all NFL Week 11 stats, 80% Club trends, and Raymond Report analysis at atsstats.com — where data meets discipline, and every stat tells a story.