The NFL standings tell you who won.
The Raymond Report SOS Power Ratings tell you who earned it.
After Week 16, the gap between public perception and actual market strength is widening β and thatβs exactly where sharp money eats. Using Strength of Schedule (SOS) and Power Rating (PR) movement, we can clearly see which teams are battle-testedβ¦ and which records are lying.
Below are the NFL teams climbing the Power Ratings heading into Week 17, broken down by market tier.
Season PR: 0.64
Last 3 Games PR: 0.72
Last 7 Games PR: 0.62
Seattle isnβt just winning β theyβre winning against resistance. A perfect 3β0 stretch with legitimate SOS confirms this is not a paper tiger or a schedule illusion.
Betting Read:
Seattle is a true A-type market asset. Still playable before the playoff tax fully hits.
Season PR: 0.60
Last 3 Games PR: 0.67
Last 7 Games PR: 0.61
Buffalo keeps doing what elite teams do: beat whoβs in front of them β cleanly. SOS remains reasonable, and the Power Rating trend is steady and professional.
Betting Read:
Premium pricing, but justified. Donβt fade unless the market overreacts.
Season PR: 0.61
Last 7 Games PR: 0.62
Quietly one of the most profitable consistency profiles in the league. Denver isnβt flashy β and thatβs exactly why value keeps showing up.
Betting Read:
Still undervalued in select spots. Trust the data, not the narrative.
Season PR: 0.60
Last 7 Games PR: 0.65
Last 7 Record: 7β0
Perfect football over seven games with improving SOS isnβt noise β itβs momentum confirmed by data.
Betting Read:
Lines are adjusting, but not fast enough. Houston is still a buy, especially versus brand-name opponents.
Season PR: 0.62
Last 7 Games PR: 0.67
Jacksonville continues to pass stress tests. These wins arenβt empty β theyβre coming with legitimate opposition.
Betting Read:
One of the strongest play-on profiles entering Week 17.
Season PR: 0.58
Last 7 Games PR: 0.63
Peaking at the right time with improving SOS and still priced like a second-tier team.
Betting Read:
Classic Raymond Report late-season value setup.
These teams are solid β but the market already knows it.
San Francisco 49ers β Strong record, lighter recent SOS
Philadelphia Eagles β Stable, fairly priced
Green Bay Packers β Competitive, no clear edge
Good teams. Just not screaming value right now.
Last 7 Games: 1β6
Last 7 PR: 0.38
The logo still carries weight. The performance doesnβt.
Betting Read:
This is where public money loses discipline. Fade until the data turns.
Last 7 Games: 1β6
SOS Spike: 67%+
Theyβre losing β and losing against tougher schedules β but the market hasnβt fully punished them yet.
Betting Read:
Danger zone as short dogs or favorites. This profile bleeds bankrolls.
Power Ratings + Strength of Schedule tell you whoβs battle-tested β not who looks good on TV.
As the playoffs approach, public bias gets louder and market mistakes get more expensive. Thatβs why serious bettors lean on structure, not vibes.
If you want daily NFL Power Ratings, SOS movement, and market traps identified before kickoff, thatβs exactly what we do at ATSStats.com.
Betting is an investment.
Act like it. πΌπ
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