Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin meets with reporters after an NFL football game against the Cleveland Browns in Pittsburgh, Sunday, Dec. 1, 2019. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
As we gear up for Week 3 of the NFL season, let’s dive into four key matchups with insights from the Raymond Report and some standout trends from the 80% Club. These stats will help guide your betting strategy for the upcoming games.
New England Patriots vs. New York Jets
Date: September 19, 2024
Time: 20:15
Stadium: MetLife Stadium
Odds: New York Jets -6.5, O/U: 38.5
New England Patriots Overview
Predicted Score: 17.89
Current Form: The Patriots are coming off a win against the Chicago Bears and are 1-1 SU this season. They have been neutral in recent performance, with a 1-1 SU and ATS record.
Key Trend: The Under is 2-12-0 (85.71%) for the Jets when playing as the home team coming off a 7-point win since 1996, suggesting a potential low-scoring game.
Key Insight: The Patriots’ VI (Value Index) is 2.75, indicating they might be slightly undervalued in this matchup.
New York Jets Overview
Predicted Score: 22.43
Current Form: The Jets are 1-1 SU and are coming off a win against the San Francisco 49ers. Their C.O.W. (Chance of Winning) is 69.17%, making them the favorite in this matchup.
Betting Outlook: Given the Jets’ historical trend for the under in similar situations, the total might be worth a look here.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. New Orleans Saints
Date: September 22, 2024
Time: 13:00
Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Odds: New Orleans Saints -2.5, O/U: 49.5
Philadelphia Eagles Overview
Predicted Score: 24.15
Current Form: The Eagles are coming off a narrow loss to the Atlanta Falcons, sitting at 1-1 SU for the season. They’ve been performing neutrally with a 1-1 SU and ATS record.
Key Trend: The Under is 1-11-0 (91.67%) for the Eagles when playing as an away team after a conference game in the last two years, indicating a possible under trend.
Key Insight: With a VI of 4.17, the Eagles might be slightly overvalued in this matchup.
New Orleans Saints Overview
Predicted Score: 26.16
Current Form: The Saints are on a hot streak with two straight SU and ATS wins, and are 2-0 SU for the season. They have a bullish VIC (Volatility Index Cycle).
80% Club Trend: The Saints are 12-1 SU when playing as the home team with a total of 49.5 in the last five years, showing a strong home-field advantage.
Betting Outlook: With the Saints’ strong historical performance at home, they look like a solid pick for a straight-up win.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Date: September 22, 2024
Time: 13:00
Stadium: Heinz Field
Odds: Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5, O/U: 35.5
Los Angeles Chargers Overview
Predicted Score: 21.59
Current Form: The Chargers are undefeated with a 2-0 SU and ATS record, coming off a win against the Carolina Panthers. They are in a bullish cycle with a C.O.W. of 64.29%.
Key Trend: The Chargers have a tendency to go under in similar matchups, with an O/U record of 0-2-0 this season.
Key Insight: The Chargers’ VI is 4.93, indicating they could be overvalued here.
Pittsburgh Steelers Overview
Predicted Score: 18.11
Current Form: The Steelers are also undefeated with a 2-0 SU and ATS record, coming off a win against the Denver Broncos. They are in a bullish cycle and have gone under in both of their games this season.
Key Trend: The Under is 2-12-0 (85.71%) for the Steelers when playing as a 0 to -3.0 home favorite coming off a road win as a favorite since 1996, suggesting this could be a low-scoring affair.
Betting Outlook: Both teams are in bullish cycles and have a trend towards the under, making the total an interesting play.
Denver Broncos vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date: September 22, 2024
Time: 13:00
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5, O/U: 39.5
Denver Broncos Overview
Predicted Score: 17.69
Current Form: The Broncos are struggling with a 0-2 SU record, coming off a loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers. They are in a bearish cycle with a C.O.W. of 31.25%.
Key Insight: The Broncos have shown a 1-1-0 O/U record, indicating some variability in total outcomes.
Key Insight: With a VI of 6.83, the Broncos might be overvalued in this matchup.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Overview
Predicted Score: 23.56
Current Form: The Buccaneers are off to a strong start with a 2-0 SU and ATS record, coming off a win against the Detroit Lions. They are in a bullish cycle with a C.O.W. of 60.47%.
Betting Outlook: Given the Buccaneers’ current form and the Broncos’ struggles, Tampa Bay seems poised for a strong performance.
Final Thoughts
Week 3 presents some intriguing matchups with teams in varying forms. The trends from the 80% Club provide key insights into historical performances that could impact this week’s games. Whether you’re leaning towards a solid home favorite or exploring value in totals, these insights should help inform your betting strategy.
For the rest of the NFL Picks for Week 3, make sure to check out the members’ area where you can find in-depth analysis and predictions for all the matchups.
Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a well-known sports handicapper who runs ATS Stats and the Raymond REPORT. He has over 21 years of experience in the industry and provides expert analysis and predictions for various sports, including football, baseball, hockey, and basketball.