NFL Week 6 Power Ratings & SOS Outlook

Raymond Report Sports Betting System – Strength of Schedule Edition
(Through Week 5 Results)

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🔝 Top-Tier Teams (PR 0.63 – 0.83)

These are the market leaders — teams performing both on paper and against quality opponents.

Team	W-L	SOS%	PR	Comment
Jacksonville Jaguars	4-1	48%	0.64 (0.83 L3)	Hottest team in the AFC; impressive 3-0 stretch with a strong SOS bump.
San Francisco 49ers	4-1	52%	0.66	Still elite — their consistency and efficiency keep them at the top.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	4-1	46%	0.63	Quietly one of the most complete teams through five games.
Philadelphia Eagles	4-1	58%	0.69	Slight dip from 4-0 dominance, but still one of the league’s most balanced clubs.
Detroit Lions	4-1	39.33%	0.60	Toughness + efficiency. Slightly soft SOS, but the PR backs up the hype.
Pittsburgh Steelers	3-1	45%	0.60 (0.67 L3)	Physical, gritty, and getting better. A buy-low candidate in the market.

🔎 Sharp Note: Jacksonville’s Last 3 PR (0.83) leads the entire league — red-hot trend signal.

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⚖️ Middle-Tier Movers (PR 0.50 – 0.60)

These teams are stuck in neutral — capable of big wins but inconsistent when stepping up in class.

Team	W-L	SOS%	PR	Comment
Green Bay Packers	2-1-1	52.5%	0.60	Still tough to peg, but metrics show they belong.
Rams / Seahawks	3-2	59-60%	0.60	NFC West parity — every game a war, every team a live dog.
Minnesota Vikings	3-2	47%	0.54	Quietly trending up; beware undervaluation.
New England Patriots	3-2	47%	0.54 (0.67 L3)	Belichick magic isn’t dead — metrics stronger than perception.
Indianapolis Colts	4-1	36%	0.58	Record inflated by light SOS. Fade candidate when schedule stiffens.
Denver Broncos	3-2	56%	0.58	Trending up after a brutal early stretch.
Washington Commanders	3-2	43.33%	0.52	Average across the board — very matchup-dependent.

🔎 Sharp Note: Patriots and Broncos are Power Rating risers the last two weeks; both improving efficiency and balance.

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📉 Fading Teams / Market Overreactions (PR 0.40 – 0.50)

Teams that look “okay” in the standings, but SOS + PR say they’re not as good as the record implies.

Team	W-L	SOS%	PR	Comment
Buffalo Bills	4-1	24%	0.52	Winning, yes—but weakest schedule among AFC elites. Overvalued in spreads.
Kansas City Chiefs	2-3	52%	0.46	They’re not broken, but they’re not themselves either.
Cincinnati Bengals	2-3	60%	0.50	Still finding rhythm; high SOS excuses some struggles.
Carolina Panthers	2-3	50%	0.45	Scrappy but average. Good situational play, not long-term trust.
Chicago Bears	2-2	52.5%	0.51	Up from earlier weeks — metrics trending neutral, not bullish.
Houston Texans	2-3	52%	0.46	Young team improving; PR solid vs expectations.

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🧊 Cold & Collapsing (PR Below 0.40)

These teams are either playing weak schedules or underperforming across the board.

Team	W-L	SOS%	PR	Comment
New Orleans Saints	1-4	56%	0.38	Lack of offensive consistency sinking them.
Tennessee Titans	1-4	56%	0.38	Can’t win close ones — PR reflects offensive inefficiency.
Cleveland Browns	1-4	53.33%	0.37	Rough SOS, but the offense isn’t pulling its weight.
Baltimore Ravens	1-4	52%	0.36	Brutal month. SOS is fair, but they’ve underperformed expectations.
Miami Dolphins	1-4	52%	0.36	Same story as Baltimore: high potential, poor results.
Las Vegas Raiders	1-4	62%	0.41	Schedule’s been tough, but that offense is lifeless.
New York Giants	1-4	46%	0.33	Bottom 3 in both PR and execution.
New York Jets	0-5	61%	0.31 (0.25 L3)	League’s weakest team by Raymond Report metrics — SOS gives minor sympathy.

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💰 Raymond Report Betting Angles for Week 6

• Overvalued Favorites: Buffalo, Colts, Chiefs – inflated lines due to record, not performance.
• Value Dogs: Patriots, Broncos, Texans – PR trend lines rising; undervalued in market.
• Fade Alert: Jets, Giants, Ravens – inefficiency outweighs effort.

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📊 Raymond Report Summary Index (Week 6 Snapshot)

Tier	PR Range	Betting Signal
Top Tier (A+)	0.63 – 0.83	Buy – consistent, efficient, proven
Upper Mid (B)	0.52 – 0.60	Neutral – matchup-driven value
Lower Mid (C)	0.45 – 0.51	Risky – regression likely
Bottom Tier (D/F)	≤ 0.40	Fade – no consistency or identity

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👉 Smart Bettors Read the Market – Sharp Bettors Read the Raymond Report.
Full Power Rating & SOS breakdowns updated weekly at ATSStats.com — where data turns into dollars. 💰

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