NFL Week 8 Sports Betting Index (SBI) Report: Favorites Back in Control, But For How Long?

Every week, the NFL betting market behaves like Wall Street — prices rise, markets overreact, and the public buys in just as the smart money’s cashing out. Welcome to the Sports Betting Index (SBI), where we track the league’s betting temperature and show you where the market’s bullish, neutral, or straight-up bearish.

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📊 Week 7 Recap: The Chalk Crushed It

If you were backing favorites in Week 7, congrats — you didn’t need luck, you just needed a heartbeat. Favorites went 11-4 SU (73.3%) and a solid 60% ATS, while Overs hit at the same 60% clip. That’s what we call a Bullish Market across the board — SU, ATS, and O/U.

After two straight bullish weeks (Weeks 6 & 7), the books are tightening spreads heading into Week 8. That’s your first warning: the easy money is gone. When favorites start hitting north of 70%, Vegas starts sharpening the knives.

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🧾 Market Breakdown (Weeks 1–7)

Week	SU Fav %	SU SBI	O/U Over %	O/U SBI	ATS Fav %	ATS SBI
7	73.3%	🟢 Bullish	60%	🟢 Bullish	60%	🟢 Bullish
6	73.3%	🟢 Bullish	35.7%	🔴 Bearish	60%	🟢 Bullish
5	35.7%	🔴 Bearish	64.3%	🟢 Bullish	50%	⚪ Neutral
4	56.3%	⚪ Neutral	60%	🟢 Bullish	56.3%	⚪ Neutral
3	68.8%	🟢 Bullish	50%	⚪ Neutral	68.8%	🟢 Bullish
2	62.5%	🟢 Bullish	62.5%	🟢 Bullish	62.5%	🟢 Bullish
1	50%	⚪ Neutral	25%	🔴 Bearish	43.8%	⚪ Neutral
YTD	60%	🟢 Bullish	51.1%	⚪ Neutral	57.3%	🟢 Bullish

Legend:
🟢 Bullish = 57.2% or higher
⚪ Neutral = 42.8%–57.1%
🔴 Bearish = 42.7% or lower

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💰 What It Means for Week 8 Bettors

• Favorites are still in charge, but historically, when the market leans too far one way, it snaps back fast. Expect underdogs to bark louder this week.
• Totals are stabilizing — Overs were bullish two of the last three weeks, but the YTD mark (51.1%) screams “neutral.” Don’t chase points that aren’t there.
• ATS parity is forming — Favorites covering 57% on the season is a warning flag. The law of averages (LOA) tells us regression is coming.

Translation: if you’re late to the chalk party, don’t expect an open bar in Week 8. The books know the script — and they always write the final act.

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📈 Stock Market Angle: Who’s Overbought / Oversold

• Overbought Teams: Dallas, Miami, and Detroit — high-performing favorites likely to see inflated lines.
• Oversold Teams: Pittsburgh, Denver, and New England — undervalued dogs that may sneak inside the number.

Smart bettors don’t react to the market — they anticipate its correction. That’s the essence of the Raymond Report system: trade the NFL like a stock chart, not a slot machine.

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⚖️ Final Word

Through seven weeks, the NFL SBI is trending Bullish, but every hot streak cools off. Week 8 is setting up as a buy-low opportunity on live dogs and a sell-high signal on public favorites.

The next time you’re about to lay -7.5 on a “can’t-miss” team, remember: the market already missed — and you’re paying the premium.

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📍 Access the Full NFL SBI Chart and Raymond Report Analysis Daily at ATSStats.com
🎯 “Treat your picks like stocks, not scratch tickets.”

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