Josh Allen (17), quarterback de los Bills de Buffalo, fsteja con sus compañeros Stefon Diggs (14), Dion Dawkins (73) y Zack Moss (20) tras un touchdown en el patido del sábado 9 de enero de 2021, ante los Colts de Indianápolis (AP Foto/Adrian Kraus)
The NFL Wild Card Weekend delivered thrilling matchups, with several teams advancing in the playoffs. Here’s a detailed recap of the games, highlighting key insights from ATS STATS SBI reports:
Saturday, January 11, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers 12, Houston Texans 32
Market Analysis: Houston, as +133 underdogs, pulled off a decisive upset over the Chargers. Despite a bearish COW (36.36%), they dominated defensively and offensively.
Takeaway: The game went over the total (40.5), aligning with Houston’s recent over trends (3-2 L5 O/U). This game demonstrated value in underdogs with recent momentum.
Pittsburgh Steelers 14, Baltimore Ravens 28
Market Analysis: Baltimore covered the -9 spread as heavy favorites. Their bullish form (5 SU wins) and strong defense delivered another win.
Takeaway: The total (44.5) stayed under, reflecting Baltimore’s ability to control the tempo. They remain a team to watch, riding a 5-0 ATS streak.
Sunday, January 12, 2025
Denver Broncos 7, Buffalo Bills 31
Market Analysis: Buffalo easily covered the -7.5 spread, taking advantage of Denver’s struggles. The game stayed under the total (47.5), in line with bearish trends for overs.
Takeaway: Buffalo’s defensive dominance and consistency at home were key factors, reinforcing their bullish outlook.
Green Bay Packers 10, Philadelphia Eagles 22
Market Analysis: Philadelphia covered the -5.5 spread, continuing their 3-game SU and ATS win streaks. The game went under the total (44.5), aligning with Philadelphia’s under trends (7-11 O/U this season).
Takeaway: The Eagles’ strong defense and efficient offense make them formidable in the next round.
Washington Commanders 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20
Market Analysis: Washington (+144 underdogs) secured a narrow victory, defying their bearish COW (6.25%). The total (51.5) stayed under.
Takeaway: The Commanders’ defensive resilience and clutch offense proved vital in a tough road win.
Monday, January 13, 2025
Minnesota Vikings 9, Los Angeles Rams 27
Market Analysis: The Rams (-2) covered easily, capitalizing on a superior defense and Minnesota’s offensive struggles. The total (47.5) stayed under, following the bearish trend for overs (16.7% this week).
Takeaway: The Rams’ performance validated their COW (32.37%) and recent bullish form, setting them up for a challenging matchup next.
Market Insights
Favorites (SU): Finished 50% (3-3), reflecting neutral performance for the week. Underdogs like Houston and Washington capitalized on situational advantages.
Overs (O/U): Only 16.7% of games went over, indicating bearish conditions for overs this week.
ATS Performance: Favorites and underdogs split ATS (3-3), demonstrating no clear market bias.
Divisional Round Lookahead
Key Matchups
Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Houston: Riding a 2-game SU and ATS win streak but faces a rested Chiefs team. Kansas City has been bearish in totals, with 1 over in their last 5 games.
Market Insight: Expect defensive adjustments and a potential low-scoring game.
Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions
Detroit: Entering with bullish metrics, backed by a 3-game SU and ATS streak. Washington’s COW remains low (6.25%), signaling potential struggles.
Market Insight: Detroit has the edge in consistency and efficiency.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Buffalo Bills
Baltimore: Riding 5-game SU and ATS win streaks. Buffalo’s defense will be tested against Baltimore’s explosive offense.
Market Insight: A potential shootout with bullish outlooks for both teams.
Los Angeles Rams vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia: Strong favorites, boasting a 3-game SU and ATS win streak. The Rams will rely on their defense to keep this close.
Market Insight: Philadelphia’s balanced attack positions them as strong contenders.
Conclusion
Wild Card Weekend highlighted the importance of market dynamics, with underdogs delivering value and overs struggling across the board. Looking ahead, situational metrics and recent trends will play pivotal roles in identifying opportunities in the Divisional Round. Stay tuned for more insights from ATS STATS!
Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a well-known sports handicapper who runs ATS Stats and the Raymond REPORT. He has over 21 years of experience in the industry and provides expert analysis and predictions for various sports, including football, baseball, hockey, and basketball.