Cleveland Browns (45.5) vs. New England Patriots (13) Preview & Prediction (10/27/2019)

This week, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the Cleveland Browns vs. New England Patriots for Sunday, October 27th, 2019.

The undefeated New England Patriots 7-0 SU host the often defeated Cleveland Browns 2-4 SU in the contender vs. pretender matchup of the week. A lot of hype surrounded this Cleveland Browns team, and its safe to say that all of the athleticism on the field has not translated in enough wins to keep the fan base and media happy. The New England Patriots on the other are everything every team would like to be. Fresh off their short week the Patriots seek to remain undefeated and show no evidence not being able to handle business at home. The Browns seem poorly coached, and Baker Mayfield turns the ball over a lot. The Patriots should cover easily, but the game must be played.

Cleveland Browns vs. New England Patriots Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: Cleveland Browns at New England Patriots (NE -12.5)
  • Game Time & Date: Sunday October 27th, 2019 – Kick-off: 1:00PM
  • Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
  • NFL Odds: Cleveland Browns (+525) vs. New England Patriots (-750) OVER/UNDER: 46
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Prediction:

If the Browns have had some bad losses this season, so expectations for this team with a first year head coach, going on the road to face the undefeated Super Bowl champions should be at an all time low. NEW ENGLAND 27 CLEVELAND 14

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Browns vs. Patriots Game Notes

Cleveland Browns 13   ( 534 ) Vs. New England Patriots New England Patriots -13  ( -750 ) Vs. Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns (45.5) vs. New England Patriots (13) Preview & Prediction (10/27/2019)

Cleveland Browns
O/U :45.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-27
Time: 16:25:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Cleveland Browns (45.5) vs. New England Patriots (13) Preview & Prediction (10/27/2019)

New England Patriots
SIDE :13

13.81 Forecast
(O/U 42.38 )
28.57
67% C.O.C 14%
56% C.O.G.O 56%
5.67 MSV -24.67
(C) NEUTRAL MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Cleveland Browns New England Patriots
Season Record : 2-4 Season Record : 7-0
Away Record : 2-1 Away Record : 4-0
Home Record : 0-3 Home Record : 3-0
Line : 13 Line : -13
O/U : 45.5 O/U : 45.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 32 – 28 vs SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Last game: Win 33 – 0 vs NEW YORK JETS
SU: 0-2 ATS: 1-1-0 O/U: 0-2-0
SU: 24-12 ATS: 23-13-0 O/U: 14-22-0
Current game: vs. New England Patriots Current game: vs. Cleveland Browns
SU: 0-4 ATS: 1-3-0 O/U: 3-1-0
SU: 4-0 ATS: 3-1-0 O/U: 3-1-0
Next Game: At DENVER BRONCOS Next Game: At BALTIMORE RAVENS
SU: 4-17 ATS: 11-10-0 O/U: 9-12-0
SU: 3-4 ATS: 1-5-1 O/U: 3-4-0
Days Rest : 13 (RD) Days Rest : 5 (HF)
(L) SU:  (32.5 %) ATS:  (48.7%) O/U: (49.3%)
(L) SU: (67.4%) ATS: (45.8%) O/U: (50.7%)
(T) SU: (1-7) ATS: (2-5-1) O/U: (6-2-0)
(T) SU: (13-5) ATS: (11-7-0) O/U: (8-10-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 2 ATS Lost – 1 Over Streaks : 7 SU Win – 3 ATS Win – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 88.89% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 22.22%
Home Favorite: 0 Win -2 Lost   (PF)20.5 – (PA)37.5 Home Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost   (PF)32.67 – (PA)10.33
Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)13 – (PA)20 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)23 – (PA)3 Road Favorite: 4 Win -0 Lost   (PF)31.25 – (PA)4.25
Road Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)21.5 – (PA)28 Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)23.67 – (PA)29.33 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)33.67 – (PA)7
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (PF)21.4 – (PA)22.2 Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (PF)29.4 – (PA)9
Last 7 game: 2 Win 4 Lost   (PF)20 – (PA)25.67 Last 7 game: 7 Win 0 Lost   (PF)31.86 – (PA)6.86
Last 10 game: 2 Win 4 Lost   (PF)20 – (PA)25.67 Last 10 game: 7 Win 0 Lost   (PF)31.86 – (PA)6.86
Last 15 game: 2 Win 4 Lost   (PF)20 – (PA)25.67 Last 15 game: 7 Win 0 Lost   (PF)31.86 – (PA)6.86
Situations (Cleveland Browns) Situations (New England Patriots)
Coming off a vs NFC West opponent (SEA) Coming off a vs AFC East opponent (NYJ)
Coming off a home fav lost Coming off a road favorite win
Coming off a 2 game losing streak Coming off a 7 game winning streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 1 under
Coming off a game scored 28 points or less Coming off a game scored 31 points or more
Coming off a game scored 31 points or more against Coming off a game scored 3 points or less against
Coming off 2 ATS lost Coming off 3 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off back to back SU wins 9-5-1 15-0 9-6-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as Home team as a Favorite – Total is between 44.5 to 47 – Coming off a Road win 11-9-1 18-3 10-11-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as a Home team – Vs Conference Opponent – Scored 31 points or more FOR in their last game – Coming off back to back SU wins 5-9-1 12-3 10-5-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 4 years – Coming off a 1 under 8-3-0 9-2 5-6-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – After a division game – Scored 31 points or more FOR in their last game 11-1-0 12-0 9-3-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – Last 3 years – Coming off back to back SU wins 8-2-0 9-1 5-5-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – Total is between 44.5 to 47 – Coming off vs American Conference opponent 6-4-0 9-1 3-7-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as Home team as a Favorite – After a division game – Scored more than 30 points in back to back games 5-6-1 10-2 7-5-0
When ANY NFL Team played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Non Division Opponent – During the month of October – Coming off a Road win – Coming off a Win over AFC East opponent 28-20-3 41-10 25-25-1
When ANY NFL Team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – Vs Non Division Opponent – During Week 4 to 8 – Coming off a Road win – Coming off 1 under 14-8-1 21-2 15-8-0
When ANY NFL Team played as a Home team – Vs Non Division Opponent – During Week 4 to 8 – With 5 days off – Coming off back to back SU wins – Coming off Monday Night Win 12-13-0 20-5 15-10-0

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