Dallas Cowboys (45) vs. New England Patriots (6.5) Preview & Prediction (11/24/2019)

This week, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between theDallas Cowboys vs. New England Patriots for Sunday, November 24th, 2019.

The Dallas Cowboys 6-4 SU have the daunting task of taking on a grump New England Patriots 9-1 SU team in Foxboro in the middle of November. This will be the coldest game the Cowboys have played all season, and it will also be the best defense they have faced by far. The Patriots should get a key O-linemen back, while returning back home for the first time in 4 weeks. Vegas loves the Patriots in the spot and considering that Pats just whipped the Eagles by 7 on the road it is clear Vegas sees both the Dallas and Philadelphia as equal.

Dallas Cowboys vs. New England Patriots Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots (NE -6.5)
  • Game Time & Date: Sunday November 24th 2019 – Kick-off: 4:25 PM
  • Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
  • NFL Odds: Dallas Cowboys (+245) vs. New England Patriots (-290) OVER/UNDER: 46
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Prediction:

Equal or not, the New England Patriots offense looked putrid on the road. Dallas on the other hand looked amazing on offense, and though Dak Prescott wont be able to huck the ball around like he did in Week 11, the Cowboys appear to have everything necessary to cover. NEW ENGLAND 27 DALLS 23

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Dallas Cowboys 6.5   ( 237 ) Vs. New England Patriots New England Patriots -6.5  ( -290 ) Vs. Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys (45) vs. New England Patriots (6.5) Preview & Prediction (11/24/2019)

Dallas Cowboys
O/U :45

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-24
Time: 16:25:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Dallas Cowboys (45) vs. New England Patriots (6.5) Preview & Prediction (11/24/2019)

New England Patriots
SIDE :6.5

18.57 Forecast
(O/U 43.63 )
25.06
37% C.O.C 32%
42% C.O.G.O 42%
-8.9 MSV -18.29
(A) NEUTRAL MVI (A) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Dallas Cowboys New England Patriots
Season Record : 6-4 Season Record : 9-1
Away Record : 3-2 Away Record : 5-1
Home Record : 3-2 Home Record : 4-0
Line : 6.5 Line : -6.5
O/U : 45 O/U : 45
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 35 – 27 vs DETROIT LIONS Last game: Win 17 – 10 vs PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
SU: 2-7 ATS: 5-4-0 O/U: 0-9-0
SU: 3-2 ATS: 1-3-1 O/U: 2-3-0
Current game: vs. New England Patriots Current game: vs. Dallas Cowboys
SU: 1-3 ATS: 2-2-0 O/U: 0-4-0
SU: 3-1 ATS: 2-2-0 O/U: 0-4-0
Next Game: Vs. BUFFALO BILLS Next Game: At HOUSTON TEXANS
SU: 2-1 ATS: 2-1-0 O/U: 2-1-0
SU: 4-1 ATS: 4-1-0 O/U: 3-2-0
Days Rest : 6 (RD) Days Rest : 6 (HF)
(L) SU:  (31.7 %) ATS:  (49.5%) O/U: (50.5%)
(L) SU: (67.9%) ATS: (46.7%) O/U: (50.3%)
(T) SU: (31-68) ATS: (47-46-6) O/U: (44-54-1)
(T) SU: (117-38) ATS: (76-75-4) O/U: (80-74-1)
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 3 Over Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 22.22% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 77.78%
Home Favorite: 3 Win -2 Lost   (PF)30.2 – (PA)19 Home Favorite: 4 Win -0 Lost   (PF)31.25 – (PA)11
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 3 Win -2 Lost   (PF)27 – (PA)20.4 Road Favorite: 5 Win -1 Lost   (PF)27 – (PA)10.67
Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)32 – (PA)24.33 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)21.33 – (PA)20
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)31 – (PA)21.4 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)26.4 – (PA)14.8
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (PF)27 – (PA)21.86 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)25.86 – (PA)13
Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (PF)28.6 – (PA)19.7 Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost   (PF)28.7 – (PA)10.8
Last 15 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (PF)28.6 – (PA)19.7 Last 15 game: 9 Win 1 Lost   (PF)28.7 – (PA)10.8
Situations (Dallas Cowboys) Situations (New England Patriots)
Coming off a vs NFC North opponent (DET) Coming off a vs NFC East opponent (PHI)
Coming off a road favorite win Coming off a road favorite win
Coming off 3 overs Coming off 1 under
Coming off a game scored 35 points or more Coming off a game scored 17 points or more
Coming off a game scored 27 points or less against Coming off a game scored 13 points or less against
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off 2 game road stand
Coming off 1 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – vs. opponent with a 51% to 60% winning % 7-2-1 8-2 6-4-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as a Home team – Last 2 years – Coming off a Road win 8-2-0 10-0 6-4-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as Home team as a Favorite – After a non division game – Coming off vs National Conference opponent – Coming off 2 game Road stand 6-5-0 9-2 2-9-0

 

 

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