Denver Broncos (37.5) vs. Buffalo Bills (3.5) Preview & Prediction (11/24/2019)

This week, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills  for Sunday, November 24th, 2019.

The Denver Broncos 3-7 SU continue their brutal run when they visit the Buffalo Bills 7-3 SU in another big time game for the Bills. The Broncos have had 4 heart breaking losses and are better than their record indicates. The Bills have a top rated defense and a QB that is getting better every week. This is going to be another close game, but check out the UNDER in this one – it seems a bit low.

Denver Broncos vs. Buffalo Bills Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: Denver Broncos at Buffalo Bills (BUF -4)
  • Game Time & Date: Sunday November 24th 2019 – Kick-off: 1:00 PM
  • Location: New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
  • NFL Odds: Denver Broncos (+175) vs. Buffalo Bills (-200) OVER/UNDER: 38
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Prediction:

The Broncos will sadly find another way to lose a close game. The Buffalo defense is better than the Vikings defense, and that will likely be the difference in this game BUFFALO 21 DENVER 20

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Denver Broncos 3.5   ( 163 ) Vs. Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills -3.5  ( -190 ) Vs. Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos (37.5) vs. Buffalo Bills (3.5) Preview & Prediction (11/24/2019)

Denver Broncos
O/U :37.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-24
Time: 13:00:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Denver Broncos (37.5) vs. Buffalo Bills (3.5) Preview & Prediction (11/24/2019)

Buffalo Bills
SIDE :3.5

17.7 Forecast
(O/U 39.01 )
21.31
20% C.O.C 17%
58% C.O.G.O 58%
2.5 MSV -4.1
(C) NEUTRAL MVI (A) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Denver Broncos Buffalo Bills
Season Record : 3-7 Season Record : 7-3
Away Record : 1-4 Away Record : 4-1
Home Record : 2-3 Home Record : 3-2
Line : 3.5 Line : -3.5
O/U : 37.5 O/U : 37.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 23 – 27 vs MINNESOTA VIKINGS Last game: Win 37 – 20 vs MIAMI DOLPHINS
SU: 3-3 ATS: 3-3-0 O/U: 2-4-0
SU: 17-23 ATS: 12-26-3 O/U: 20-21-0
Current game: vs. Buffalo Bills Current game: vs. Denver Broncos
SU: 5-7 ATS: 6-5-1 O/U: 7-5-0
SU: 7-5 ATS: 5-6-1 O/U: 7-5-0
Next Game: Vs. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS Next Game: At DALLAS COWBOYS
SU: 11-12 ATS: 10-13-0 O/U: 11-12-0
SU: 2-1 ATS: 3-0-0 O/U: 2-1-0
Days Rest : 6 (RD) Days Rest : 6 (HF)
(L) SU:  (31.7 %) ATS:  (49.5%) O/U: (50.5%)
(L) SU: (67.9%) ATS: (46.7%) O/U: (50.3%)
(T) SU: (33-75) ATS: (52-50-6) O/U: (54-53-1)
(T) SU: (91-40) ATS: (69-59-3) O/U: (67-63-1)
Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 3 ATS Win – 2 Over Streaks : 1 SU Win – 2 ATS Win – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.56% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.45%
Home Favorite: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)20 – (PA)13 Home Favorite: 3 Win -1 Lost   (PF)22.25 – (PA)19.5
Home Underdog: 1 Win -2 Lost   (PF)14.67 – (PA)21.67 Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)10 – (PA)16
Road Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)16 – (PA)24 Road Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (PF)32.5 – (PA)17
Road Underdog: 1 Win -3 Lost   (PF)18 – (PA)20.5 Road Underdog: 2 Win -1 Lost   (PF)15.67 – (PA)14
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)20 – (PA)20.33 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)25.67 – (PA)16
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (PF)16.4 – (PA)18.2 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)24.2 – (PA)20
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (PF)18 – (PA)18.57 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (PF)20.71 – (PA)17.57
Last 10 game: 3 Win 7 Lost   (PF)17.2 – (PA)19.7 Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (PF)21.1 – (PA)17
Last 15 game: 3 Win 7 Lost   (PF)17.2 – (PA)19.7 Last 15 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (PF)21.1 – (PA)17
Situations (Denver Broncos) Situations (Buffalo Bills)
Coming off a vs NFC North opponent (MIN) Coming off a vs AFC East opponent (MIA)
Coming off a road underdog lost Coming off a road favorite win
Coming off 2 overs Coming off 1 over
Coming off a game scored 24 points or less Coming off a game scored 35 points or more
Coming off a game scored 27 points or more against Coming off a game scored 20 points or less against
Coming off 3 ATS win Coming off 2 game road stand
Coming off 1 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When DENVER BRONCOS team played as Road team as a Underdog – With 6 day off – Coming off 2 overs 12-3-0 6-9 6-8-1
Query ATS SU O/U
When BUFFALO BILLS team played as Home team as a Favorite – With 6 day off – vs. opponent with a 21% to 30% winning % 7-3-0 8-2 4-6-0

 

 

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