Houston Texans (55) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (4) Preview & Prediction (10/13/2019)

This week, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs for Sunday, October 13th, 2019.

The Kansas City Chiefs 4-1 SU host the Houston Texans 3-2 SU in the ultimate teaser game of the week. The Chiefs have shown a chink in the old armour, and the Texans just dropped 50+ on a better defense. The narrative now, the Texans are good enough to win this game. Vegas has even dangled the carrot with 5 point spread daring the Texans to be the play. The only question you have to ask is, is Patrick Mahomes healthy enough to escape Houston pressure? The same pressure that got to Matt Ryan a bunch of times including two sacks and an INT. The Chief are decimated by injuries right now, and the Texans are trending up.

Houston Texans vs. Kansas City Chiefs Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs (KC -5)
  • Game Time & Date: Sunday October 6th, 2019 – Kick-off: 1:00 PM
  • Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • NFL Odds: Houston Texans (+195) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-235)OVER/UNDER: 54.5
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Prediction:

Patrick Mahomes is not right, and that is the only reason why the Chiefs lost on Sunday. Sammy Watkins is banged up, Tyreek Hill is not all the way right, and the running game is a disgrace. If Mahomes cannot make plays with his feet, there is no way the Chiefs offense can keep up with the Texans offense. I still think the Chiefs at home can pull this one, so I will need the 5 points here – KANSAS CITY 34 HOUSTON 31

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Texans vs. Chiefs Game Notes

The Houston Texans are coming off a 53-32 win over the ATLANTA FALCONS and will be facing INDIANAPOLIS COLTS on Sunday. Plus, the HOUSTON TEXANS are currently 3-2 SU on the season and are . Also the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS are currently 4-1 SU on the season, lost their last game to the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS.

In closing,the Kansas City Chiefs will be playing the DENVER BRONCOS on Thursday.

Houston Texans 4   ( 180 ) Vs. Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs -4  ( -215 ) Vs. Houston Texans
Houston Texans (55) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (4) Preview & Prediction (10/13/2019)

Houston Texans
O/U :55

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-13
Time: 13:00:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Houston Texans (55) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (4) Preview & Prediction (10/13/2019)

Kansas City Chiefs
SIDE :4

19.04 Forecast
(O/U 44.5 )
25.46
37% C.O.C 53%
50% C.O.G.O 50%
-3.92 MSV -5.75
(A) NEUTRAL MVI (A) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
MLB Betting
Houston Texans Kansas City Chiefs
Season Record : 3-2 Season Record : 4-1
Away Record : 1-1 Away Record : 3-0
Home Record : 2-1 Home Record : 1-1
Line : 4 Line : -4
O/U : 55 O/U : 55
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 32 – 53 vs ATLANTA FALCONS Last game: Lost 19 – 13 vs INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
SU: 2-2 ATS: 2-2-0 O/U: 3-1-0
SU: 2-1 ATS: 1-2-0 O/U: 2-1-0
Current game: vs. Kansas City Chiefs Current game: vs. Houston Texans
SU: 1-1 ATS: 2-0-0 O/U: 0-2-0
SU: 1-1 ATS: 0-2-0 O/U: 0-2-0
Next Game: At INDIANAPOLIS COLTS Next Game: At DENVER BRONCOS
SU: 11-6 ATS: 10-7-0 O/U: 6-11-0
SU: 17-7 ATS: 15-9-0 O/U: 12-12-0
Days Rest : 6 (RD) Days Rest : 6 (HF)
(L) SU:  (31.7 %) ATS:  (49.5%) O/U: (50.5%)
(L) SU: (67.8%) ATS: (46.7%) O/U: (50.2%)
(T) SU: (23-53) ATS: (37-38-1) O/U: (38-36-2)
(T) SU: (95-46) ATS: (61-76-4) O/U: (59-78-4)
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Over Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 2 ATS Lost – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.44% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.56%
Home Favorite: 2 Win -1 Lost   (PF)25.33 – (PA)20 Home Favorite: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)23 – (PA)23.5
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost   (PF)34 – (PA)22
Road Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)27.5 – (PA)25 Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)30 – (PA)22.67 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)26.67 – (PA)25.67
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)26.2 – (PA)22 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)29.6 – (PA)22.6
Last 7 game: 3 Win 2 Lost   (PF)26.2 – (PA)22 Last 7 game: 4 Win 1 Lost   (PF)29.6 – (PA)22.6
Last 10 game: 3 Win 2 Lost   (PF)26.2 – (PA)22 Last 10 game: 4 Win 1 Lost   (PF)29.6 – (PA)22.6
Last 15 game: 3 Win 2 Lost   (PF)26.2 – (PA)22 Last 15 game: 4 Win 1 Lost   (PF)29.6 – (PA)22.6
Situations (Houston Texans) Situations (Kansas City Chiefs)
Coming off a vsNFC South opponent (ATL) Coming off a vs AFC South opponent (IND)
Coming off a home fav win Coming off a home fav lost
Coming off 1 over Coming off 1 under
Coming off a game scored 40 points or more Coming off a game scored 13 points or less
Coming off a game scored 34 points or less against Coming off a game scored 17 points or more against
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off 2 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When HOUSTON TEXANS team played as a Road team – Last 4 years – Coming off 1 ATS win 6-4-0 3-7 8-2-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as a -3.5 to -6.5 Favorite – With 6 day off – Coming off vs American Conference opponent – Coming off a 1 under 5-5-0 9-1 6-4-0
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – After a conference game – Allowed 17 points or more AGAINST in their last game 6-6-0 8-4 2-9-1
When ANY NFL Team played as a -3.5 to -6.5 Favorite – Vs Non Division Opponent – With 6 days off – During Week 4 to 8 – Coming off a game scored 13 points or less – Coming off a Home loss 12-6-2 18-2 11-9-0

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