Indianapolis Colts (45.5) vs. Houston Texans (3.5) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

This week, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans for Thursday November 21st, 2019

The Indianapolis Colts 6-4 SU go into the Lone Star state to take on the Houston Texans 6-4 SU in divisional battle for first place. The only problem for the Colts is that they are banged up in a big way. TY Hilton is likely still out, Marlon Mack is out as well and Jacoby Brissette did not look right last week. The Texans will be hotter than a Texas Tamale after the beat down they just received from the Ravens, so this could very well be a “get out of the way” game for the Colts, who can ill-afford to lose.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (HOUS -3.5)
  • Game Time & Date: Thursday November 21th, 2019– Kick-off: 8:20 PM
  • Location: NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
  • NFL Odds: Indianapolis Colts (+165) vs. Houston Texans (-185) OVER/UNDER: 45.5
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Prediction:

There is no reason to believe that the Texans wont do to the Colts what just happened to them as they have all the motivation in the world to show out at home. The only thing that the Colts have going for them, is that the Texans have a terrible defense and if Brissette can get hot with limited offensive weapons this game could stay close. Deshaun Watson comes back with a vengeance HOUSTON 31 INDIANAPOLIS 17

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Indianapolis Colts 3.5   ( 166 ) Vs. Houston Texans Houston Texans -3.5  ( -195 ) Vs. Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts (45.5) vs. Houston Texans (3.5) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

Indianapolis Colts
O/U :45.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-21
Time: 20:20:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Indianapolis Colts (45.5) vs. Houston Texans (3.5) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

Houston Texans
SIDE :3.5

21.07 Forecast
(O/U 43.26 )
22.19
58% C.O.C 58%
59% C.O.G.O 59%
-1.75 MSV -1.88
(A) NEUTRAL MVI (A) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Indianapolis Colts Houston Texans
Season Record : 6-4 Season Record : 6-4
Away Record : 2-2 Away Record : 3-3
Home Record : 4-2 Home Record : 3-1
Line : 3.5 Line : -3.5
O/U : 45.5 O/U : 45.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 13 – 33 vs JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS Last game: Lost 7 – 41 vs BALTIMORE RAVENS
SU: 7-4 ATS: 6-3-2 O/U: 7-4-0
SU: 3-1 ATS: 1-3-0 O/U: 3-1-0
Current game: vs. Houston Texans Current game: vs. Indianapolis Colts
SU: 13-5 ATS: 9-7-2 O/U: 10-8-0
SU: 5-13 ATS: 7-9-2 O/U: 10-8-0
Next Game: Vs. TENNESSEE TITANS Next Game: Vs. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
SU: 8-7 ATS: 10-4-1 O/U: 10-5-0
SU: 8-8 ATS: 6-10-0 O/U: 7-9-0
Days Rest : 3 (RD) Days Rest : 3 (HF)
(L) SU:  (29.2 %) ATS:  (43.1%) O/U: (52.6%)
(L) SU: (70.8%) ATS: (54%) O/U: (52.6%)
(T) SU: (1-1) ATS: (1-1-0) O/U: (2-0-0)
(T) SU: (1-1) ATS: (1-1-0) O/U: (2-0-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Over Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 3 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.56% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 77.78%
Home Favorite: 4 Win -2 Lost   (PF)23.5 – (PA)20 Home Favorite: 3 Win -1 Lost   (PF)25.75 – (PA)21
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Underdog: 2 Win -2 Lost   (PF)21.5 – (PA)21.5 Road Underdog: 3 Win -3 Lost   (PF)23.67 – (PA)24.67
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)23 – (PA)18.33 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)20 – (PA)22.67
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)22.8 – (PA)18.2 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)22.8 – (PA)24.4
Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (PF)22.43 – (PA)19.29 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (PF)25.29 – (PA)24.29
Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (PF)22.7 – (PA)20.6 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (PF)24.5 – (PA)23.2
Last 15 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (PF)22.7 – (PA)20.6 Last 15 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (PF)24.5 – (PA)23.2
Situations (Indianapolis Colts) Situations (Houston Texans)
Coming off a vs AFC South opponent (JAX) Coming off a vs AFC North opponent (BAL)
Coming off a home fav win Coming off a road underdog lost
Coming off 1 over Coming off 3 unders
Coming off a game scored 31 points or more Coming off a game scored 7 points or less
Coming off a game scored 13 points or less against Coming off a game scored 40 points or more against
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off 2 game road stand
Coming off 1 ATS win Coming off 1 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When INDIANAPOLIS COLTS team played as a Road team – During the month of November – Coming off 2 game Home stand 6-5-0 4-7 9-2-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When HOUSTON TEXANS team played as a Home team – Total is between 44.5 to 47 – Coming off 2 game Road stand 6-4-0 8-2 5-5-0
When HOUSTON TEXANS team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 4 years – After a non division game – Coming off 1 ATS lost 6-3-1 8-2 6-4-0

 

 

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