Indianapolis Colts (56) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (11) Preview & Prediction (10/06/2019)

This week, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs for Sunday, October 6th, 2019.

The Kansas City Chiefs 4-0 SU prepare to host the Indianapolis Colts 2-2 SU in a game that looked like an epic Sunday night battle before Andrew Luck decided to take care of his beat down old body. The Chiefs defense is terrible, but Patrick Mahommes is a once in a generation QB who will find ways for his team to win. The Colts are rung up pretty good with injuries, but if T.Y. Hilton and other defense other defensive cogs return this is going to be a game.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs (KC -11)
  • Game Time & Date: Sunday October 6th, 2019 – Kick-off: 8:20 PM
  • Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
  • NFL Odds: Indianapolis Colts (+450) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-600) OVER/UNDER: 56
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Prediction:

If the Chiefs score more than 30 points they win. If they score more than 40 points they cover. Scoring 40 will depend on Indianapolis fielding a healthy unit of starters. The Colts have been over 31 points just once in Jacoby Brissettes 19 starts. The cover is hard to call but take the OVER all day long. KANSAS CITY 41 INDIANAPOLIS 31

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Colts vs. Chiefs Game Notes

The Indianapolis Colts are coming off a 31-24 lost to the OAKLAND RAIDERS and will be facing HOUSTON TEXANS on Sunday. Plus, the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS are currently 2-2 SU on the season and are . Also the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS are currently 4-0 SU on the season, won their last game over the DETROIT LIONS.

In closing, the Kansas City Chiefs will be playing the HOUSTON TEXANS on Sunday.

Indianapolis Colts 11   ( 434 ) Vs. Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs -11  ( -580 ) Vs. Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts (56) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (11) Preview & Prediction (10/06/2019)

Indianapolis Colts
O/U :56

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-06
Time: 20:20:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Indianapolis Colts (56) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (11) Preview & Prediction (10/06/2019)

Kansas City Chiefs
SIDE :11

20.4 Forecast
(O/U 58 )
37.6
42% C.O.C 29%
29% C.O.G.O 29%
2 MSV -8.5
(B) NEUTRAL MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
MLB Betting
Indianapolis Colts Kansas City Chiefs
Season Record : 2-2 Season Record : 4-0
Away Record : 1-1 Away Record : 3-0
Home Record : 1-1 Home Record : 1-0
Line : 11 Line : -11
O/U : 56 O/U : 56
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 31 – 24 vs OAKLAND RAIDERS Last game: Win 34 – 30 vs DETROIT LIONS
SU: 0-2 ATS: 0-2-0 O/U: 0-2-0
SU: 0-1 ATS: 0-1-0 O/U: 0-1-0
Current game: vs. Kansas City Chiefs Current game: vs. Indianapolis Colts
SU: 7-3 ATS: 7-3-0 O/U: 4-6-0
SU: 3-7 ATS: 3-7-0 O/U: 4-6-0
Next Game: Vs. HOUSTON TEXANS Next Game: Vs. HOUSTON TEXANS
SU: 4-4 ATS: 5-3-0 O/U: 2-5-1
SU: 10-8 ATS: 9-9-0 O/U: 4-14-0
Days Rest : 6 (RD) Days Rest : 6 (HF)
(L) SU:  (31.6 %) ATS:  (49.5%) O/U: (50.5%)
(L) SU: (67.9%) ATS: (46.7%) O/U: (50.2%)
(T) SU: (50-105) ATS: (76-78-1) O/U: (80-73-2)
(T) SU: (95-45) ATS: (61-75-4) O/U: (59-77-4)
Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 2 Over Streaks : 4 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 2 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 33.33% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.44%
Home Favorite: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)25.5 – (PA)27.5 Home Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)33 – (PA)28
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost   (PF)34 – (PA)22
Road Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)21.5 – (PA)23.5 Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)23.33 – (PA)24 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)31.67 – (PA)22.67
Last 5 game: 2 Win 2 Lost    (PF)23.5 – (PA)25.5 Last 5 game: 4 Win 0 Lost    (PF)33.75 – (PA)23.5
Last 7 game: 2 Win 2 Lost   (PF)23.5 – (PA)25.5 Last 7 game: 4 Win 0 Lost   (PF)33.75 – (PA)23.5
Last 10 game: 2 Win 2 Lost   (PF)23.5 – (PA)25.5 Last 10 game: 4 Win 0 Lost   (PF)33.75 – (PA)23.5
Last 15 game: 2 Win 2 Lost   (PF)23.5 – (PA)25.5 Last 15 game: 4 Win 0 Lost   (PF)33.75 – (PA)23.5
Situations (Indianapolis Colts) Situations (Kansas City Chiefs)
Coming off a vs AFC West opponent (OAK) Coming off a vs NFC North opponent (DET)
Coming off a home fav lost Coming off a road favorite win
Coming off 2 overs Coming off a 4 game winning streak
Coming off a game scored 24 points or less Coming off 2 overs
Coming off a game scored 31 points or more against Coming off a game scored 34 points or more
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off a game scored 30 points or less against
Coming off 1 ATS lost Coming off 1 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When INDIANAPOLIS COLTS team played as a 10 or more Road Underdog – During the month of October – Scored 24 points or less FOR in their last game 5-6-0 1-10 9-2-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as a Home team – Before a conference game – Scored 34 points or more FOR in their last game 10-10-0 16-4 10-8-2
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as Home team as a Favorite – During Week 4 to 8 – Coming off back to back SU wins 8-8-1 14-3 6-11-0
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as Home team as a Favorite – During the month of October – Coming off a Road win 10-3-0 12-1 5-8-0
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as Home team as a Favorite – During the month of October – During Week 4 to 8 – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite 7-3-0 9-1 3-7-0
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as a Home team – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a 4-7 point win 8-4-0 11-1 7-5-0
When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – With 6 day off – Coming off a Road win 5-8-0 11-2 5-8-0
When ANY NFL Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – Vs Non Division Opponent – With 6 days off – Coming off back to back SU wins – Coming off a win on dome 16-18-0 32-2 14-20-0
When ANY NFL Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – Vs Non Division Opponent – With 6 days off – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite – Scored more than 30 points in back to back games 12-14-1 25-2 14-13-0

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