Miami Dolphins (44) vs. Indianapolis Colts (11.5) Preview & Prediction (11/10/2019)

This week, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts for Sunday, November 10th, 2019.

The Miami Dolphins 1-7 SU look to make it two in a row against the Indianapolis Colts 5-3 SU at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Dolphins stumped the New York Jets at home in Week 9 while the Colts lost a nail biter to the Steelers. Miami is just running out of personnel and will struggle mightily moving forward. The Colts will be looking to bounce back after a miserable loss including the loss of their starting QB for the game due to injury.

Miami Dolphins vs. Indianapolis Colts Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts (IND -11)
  • Game Time & Date: Sunday November 10th 2019 – Kick-off: 1:00 PM
  • Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
  • NFL Odds: Miami Dolphins (+475) vs. Indianapolis Colts (-650) OVER/UNDER: 44
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Prediction:

Ryan Fitzpatrick still has a few weapons and pass catcher in his magic bag of tricks, but it will not be enough to cover the spread. INDIANAPOLIS 31 MIAMI 17

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Miami Dolphins 11.5   ( 452 ) Vs. Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts -11.5  ( -609 ) Vs. Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins (44) vs. Indianapolis Colts (11.5) Preview & Prediction (11/10/2019)

Miami Dolphins
O/U :44

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-10
Time: 16:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Miami Dolphins (44) vs. Indianapolis Colts (11.5) Preview & Prediction (11/10/2019)

Indianapolis Colts
SIDE :11.5

15.42 Forecast
(O/U 42.4 )
26.98
25% C.O.C 58%
42% C.O.G.O 42%
18.5 MSV -0.63
(C) BEARISH MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Miami Dolphins Indianapolis Colts
Season Record : 1-7 Season Record : 5-3
Away Record : 0-3 Away Record : 2-2
Home Record : 1-4 Home Record : 3-1
Line : 11.5 Line : -11.5
O/U : 44 O/U : 44
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 18 – 26 vs NEW YORK JETS Last game: Lost 24 – 26 vs PITTSBURGH STEELERS
SU: 21-12 ATS: 20-11-2 O/U: 14-19-0
SU: 2-4 ATS: 2-4-0 O/U: 1-5-0
Current game: vs. Indianapolis Colts Current game: vs. Miami Dolphins
SU: 15-9 ATS: 15-9-0 O/U: 9-15-0
SU: 9-15 ATS: 9-15-0 O/U: 9-15-0
Next Game: Vs. BUFFALO BILLS Next Game: Vs. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
SU: 15-14 ATS: 15-14-0 O/U: 12-17-0
SU: 10-5 ATS: 8-6-1 O/U: 5-10-0
Days Rest : 6 (RD) Days Rest : 6 (HF)
(L) SU:  (31.7 %) ATS:  (49.5%) O/U: (50.5%)
(L) SU: (67.8%) ATS: (46.7%) O/U: (50.3%)
(T) SU: (47-71) ATS: (58-56-4) O/U: (50-67-1)
(T) SU: (96-33) ATS: (59-64-6) O/U: (56-72-1)
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 4 ATS Win – 1 Over Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 2 ATS Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.56% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 66.67%
Home Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Favorite: 3 Win -1 Lost   (PF)24 – (PA)22.75
Home Underdog: 1 Win -4 Lost   (PF)12.4 – (PA)33.4 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Underdog: 0 Win -3 Lost   (PF)13.67 – (PA)29.67 Road Underdog: 2 Win -2 Lost   (PF)21.5 – (PA)21.5
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)20.33 – (PA)25.33 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)23 – (PA)20.67
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (PF)17.4 – (PA)24.6 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)22.4 – (PA)21.2
Last 7 game: 1 Win 6 Lost   (PF)13.29 – (PA)28.14 Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (PF)22.57 – (PA)21
Last 10 game: 1 Win 7 Lost   (PF)12.88 – (PA)32 Last 10 game: 5 Win 3 Lost   (PF)22.75 – (PA)22.13
Last 15 game: 1 Win 7 Lost   (PF)12.88 – (PA)32 Last 15 game: 5 Win 3 Lost   (PF)22.75 – (PA)22.13
Situations (Miami Dolphins) Situations (Indianapolis Colts)
Coming off a vs AFC East opponent (NYJ) Coming off a vs AFC North opponent (PIT)
Coming off a home underdog win Coming off a road underdog lost
Coming off 1 over Coming off 1 over
Coming off a game scored 24 points or more Coming off a game scored 24 points or less
Coming off a game scored 20 points or less against Coming off a game scored 24 points or more against
Coming off 4 ATS win Coming off 2 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When MIAMI DOLPHINS team played as a Road team – With 6 day off – Coming off a Home win as a Underdog 6-5-0 4-7 2-9-0
When MIAMI DOLPHINS team played as a 10 or more Road Underdog – With 6 day off – Allowed 20 points or less AGAINST in their last game 6-4-0 2-8 2-8-0
When MIAMI DOLPHINS team played as a Road team – Vs AFC South opponent – Scored 24 points or more FOR in their last game 5-7-2 7-7 2-11-1
Query ATS SU O/U
When INDIANAPOLIS COLTS team played as a Home team – Before a conference game – Coming off a 0-3 point loss 3-9-0 4-8 2-9-1
When ANY NFL Team played as a -10.0 or more Home Favorite – During the month of November – During Week 8 to 12 – With 6 days off – Scored 24 points or more AGAINST in their last game – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog 11-10-0 18-3 10-11-0

 

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