Minnesota Vikings (50) vs. Seattle Seahawks (2.5) Preview (12/02/2019)

The Minnesota Vikings will be on the road Monday night taking the field against the Seahawks at CenturyLink Field in Seattle. The Vikings will be looking for a third consecutive win after beating the Denver Broncos 27-23 at home last week. The Seahawks will be looking for a fifth straight win after beating the Eagles 17-9 in Philadelphia their last time on the field.

 

The Minnesota Vikings are now 8-3 on the season following a 27-23 win at home against the Denver Broncos. Kirk Cousins was able to complete 29 of 35 passes for 319 yards and three touchdowns.

 

Dalvin Cook was able to run for 26 yards and a score on 11 carries while Stefon Diggs racked up 121 receiving yards and a touchdown on five receptions.

 

The Vikings have been able to find the endzone for an average of 26.3 points per game. They have been able to move the ball for an average of 393.0 yards per week, 250.5 through the air with 142.5 on the ground.

 

On the defensive side of the ball, Minnesota is giving up an average of 18.6 points to their opponents. They allow 360.0 total yards, 265.8 passing, and 94.2 rushing.

 

The Seattle Seahawks are now 9-2 following a 17-9 win against the Eagles in Philadelphia. Russell Wilson was able to complete 13 of 25 passes for 200 yards, a touchdown, and one interception.

 

Rashaad Penny ran the ball for 129 yards and a score on 14 carries while Tyler Lockett hauled in 38 yards on his only reception.

 

The Seahawks have been able to score an average of 26.5 points per game this season. Seattle has been moving the ball for an average of 403.9 total yards, 267.0 through the air and 136.9 on the ground.

 

Defensively, they give up an average of 23.9 points per game. They allow their opponents to gain 384.2 total yards, 282.6 passing, and 101.5 rushing.

 

The Seahawks will take the field on Monday as three-point favorites with the total sitting at 50 on the game. I’m liking Seattle to cover this spread. My main reasoning is with how much better the Seahawks play at home. Yes, they are giving up more points per game than Minnesota with both teams scoring 26 a week. That being said, I think the Seahawks defense will be much tougher with the 12th man behind them. My money’s on Seattle -3.

 NFL STATS & TRENDS

  • Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in their previous five games vs. Seattle.
  • Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in their previous six games played in December.
  • Seattle is 4-2 ATS in their previous six games.
  • Seattle is 10-0 ATS in their previous 10 week 13 games.

 

 

Minnesota Vikings 2.5   ( 123 ) Vs. Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks -2.5  ( -143 ) Vs. Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings
O/U :50

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-02
Time: 20:15:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Seattle Seahawks

Seattle Seahawks
SIDE :2.5

21.65 Forecast
(O/U 42.07 )
20.42
56% C.O.C 20%
31% C.O.G.O 31%
-8.13 MSV -2.22
(A) NEUTRAL PVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

PVI = (Performance Value Index) – The Performance Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.
Raymond Report
Minnesota Vikings Seattle Seahawks
Season Record : 8-3 Season Record : 9-2
Away Record : 3-3 Away Record : 6-0
Home Record : 5-0 Home Record : 3-2
Line : 2.5 Line : -2.5
O/U : 50 O/U : 50
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 23 – 27 vs DENVER BRONCOS Last game: Win 17 – 9 vs PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
SU: 1-4 ATS: 2-3-0 O/U: 2-3-0
SU: 5-2 ATS: 5-2-0 O/U: 6-1-0
Current game: vs. Seattle Seahawks Current game: vs. Minnesota Vikings
SU: 2-6 ATS: 2-6-0 O/U: 6-2-0
SU: 6-2 ATS: 6-2-0 O/U: 6-2-0
Next Game: Vs. DETROIT LIONS Next Game: At LOS ANGELES RAMS
SU: 11-18 ATS: 14-15-0 O/U: 16-13-0
SU: 7-4 ATS: 4-7-0 O/U: 4-6-1
Days Rest : 14 (RD) Days Rest : 7 (HF)
(L) SU:  (31.9 %) ATS:  (48.3%) O/U: (49.2%)
(L) SU: (69%) ATS: (49.8%) O/U: (50.7%)
(T) SU: (5-9) ATS: (5-9-0) O/U: (8-6-0)
(T) SU: (9-3) ATS: (4-6-2) O/U: (6-6-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 3 Over Streaks : 4 SU Win – 3 ATS Win – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.44% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.56%
Home Favorite: 5 Win -0 Lost   (PF)29.2 – (PA)15.6 Home Favorite: 3 Win -2 Lost   (PF)26.8 – (PA)29.2
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 2 Win -1 Lost   (PF)31 – (PA)22 Road Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost   (PF)23.67 – (PA)13
Road Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)22 – (PA)22.5 Road Underdog: 3 Win -0 Lost   (PF)29 – (PA)26
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)26 – (PA)24.33 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)28 – (PA)22.33
Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)27.8 – (PA)22.4 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)25.4 – (PA)23.4
Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)29.29 – (PA)20.29 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)27 – (PA)24.86
Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (PF)26.1 – (PA)19.3 Last 10 game: 8 Win 2 Lost   (PF)27.1 – (PA)24.3
Last 15 game: 8 Win 3 Lost   (PF)26.27 – (PA)18.64 Last 15 game: 9 Win 2 Lost   (PF)26.55 – (PA)23.91
Situations (Minnesota Vikings) Situations (Seattle Seahawks)
Coming off a vs AFC West opponent (DEN) Coming off a vs NFC East opponent (PHI)
Coming off a home fav win Coming off a road favorite win
Coming off a 2 game winning streak Coming off a 4 game winning streak
Coming off 3 overs Coming off 1 under
Coming off a game scored 27 points or more Coming off a game scored 17 points or more
Coming off a game scored 24 points or less against Coming off a game scored 13 points or less against
Coming off 1 ATS lost Coming off 2 game road stand
Coming off 3 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When SEATTLE SEAHAWKS team played as a Home team – During the month of December – After a conference game – Scored 17 points or more FOR in their last game 11-2-0 10-3 4-9-0
When SEATTLE SEAHAWKS team played as a Home team – During the month of December – Coming off 2 game Road stand 7-3-1 10-1 5-6-0

 

What is the Raymond Report?

The Raymond Report is a unique Sports Analytics tip sheet based on the 3-Key Fundamentals of Sports Handicapping;
A) Line/Price Value ($): When calculating the “Value” of a line or price, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a past game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game. (Perception vs. Reality = Value)
B) Percentage Play (%): Every time a team wins or covers (Side or Totals), their chances of repeating that same action decreases, based on the law of average theory.
C) V.I.C. (Vegas Index Cycle): The intangibles of special circumstances. (Letdown factor, Look ahead, Line-moves, Shelf Scouting, Gut Feeling, etc…)

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