New Orleans Saints (44) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (1) Preview & Prediction (10/13/2019)

This week, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the New Orleans Saints at Jacksonville Jaguars for Sunday, October 13th, 2019.

The New Orleans Saints 4-1 SU travel to the Sunshine State to battle the Jacksonville Jaguars 2-3 SU in a battle of the two most polarizing backup QBs in the NFL. Yes there are many other backups playing right now, but who has a back story like Gardner Minshew or a journey like Teddy Bridgewater. The Saints are seemingly the best team in the NFC, but have yet to blow anyone away. Their only loss was on the road to the defending NFC champs, with Drew Brees getting injured in the first quarter. The Jags have a bit of dysfunction in them right now with the Jalen Ramsey drama, but still have a legit shot at winning the AFC South.

New Orleans Saints at Jacksonville Jaguars Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: New Orleans Saints at Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX -1)
  • Game Time & Date: Sunday October 6th, 2019 – Kick-off: 1:00 PM
  • Location: TIAA Bank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
  • NFL Odds: New Orleans Saints (+100) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (-120) OVER/UNDER: 44
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Prediction:

How long can the legend of Gardner Minshew last? The Jags have two wins against two teams that have a combined win total of 3 games. We might need to pump the brakes here, even though it is a great story. The Saints are great on both sides of the ball, and will need to neutralize Leonard Fournette. This is doable and this will be a hard fought road victory for the Saints. NEW ORLEANS 27 JACKSONVILLE 23

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Saints vs. Jaguars Game Notes

New Orleans Saints 1   ( 102 ) Vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars -1  ( -122 ) Vs. New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints (44) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (1) Preview & Prediction (10/13/2019)

New Orleans Saints
O/U :44

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-13
Time: 13:00:00

Generated from
Previous Games
New Orleans Saints (44) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (1) Preview & Prediction (10/13/2019)

Jacksonville Jaguars
SIDE :1

25.21 Forecast
(O/U 46.96 )
21.75
20% C.O.C 37%
37% C.O.G.O 37%
1.17 MSV 1.25
(A) BULLISH MVI (C) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
MLB Betting
New Orleans Saints Jacksonville Jaguars
Season Record : 4-1 Season Record : 2-3
Away Record : 1-1 Away Record : 1-2
Home Record : 3-0 Home Record : 1-1
Line : 1 Line : -1
O/U : 44 O/U : 44
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Win 24 – 31 vs TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS Last game: Lost 27 – 34 vs CAROLINA PANTHERS
SU: 11-11 ATS: 15-7-0 O/U: 14-8-0
SU: 4-3 ATS: 4-3-0 O/U: 5-2-0
Current game: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Current game: vs. New Orleans Saints
SU: 1-2 ATS: 2-1-0 O/U: 1-2-0
SU: 2-1 ATS: 1-2-0 O/U: 1-2-0
Next Game: At CHICAGO BEARS Next Game: At CINCINNATI BENGALS
SU: 10-5 ATS: 7-8-0 O/U: 8-7-0
SU: 3-5 ATS: 2-6-0 O/U: 3-5-0
Days Rest : 6 (RD) Days Rest : 6 (HF)
(L) SU:  (31.7 %) ATS:  (49.5%) O/U: (50.5%)
(L) SU: (67.8%) ATS: (46.7%) O/U: (50.2%)
(T) SU: (46-83) ATS: (72-54-3) O/U: (71-55-3)
(T) SU: (47-28) ATS: (31-42-2) O/U: (39-35-1)
Streaks : 3 SU Win – 3 ATS Win – 1 Over Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 2 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.44% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.55%
Home Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (PF)30.5 – (PA)26 Home Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)12 – (PA)10 Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)23 – (PA)23.5
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)21 – (PA)27 Road Underdog: 1 Win -2 Lost   (PF)21.67 – (PA)23.67
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)25.33 – (PA)20.33 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)24.33 – (PA)21.67
Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)23 – (PA)23.2 Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (PF)22.2 – (PA)23.6
Last 7 game: 4 Win 1 Lost   (PF)23 – (PA)23.2 Last 7 game: 2 Win 3 Lost   (PF)22.2 – (PA)23.6
Last 10 game: 4 Win 1 Lost   (PF)23 – (PA)23.2 Last 10 game: 2 Win 3 Lost   (PF)22.2 – (PA)23.6
Last 15 game: 4 Win 1 Lost   (PF)23 – (PA)23.2 Last 15 game: 2 Win 3 Lost   (PF)22.2 – (PA)23.6
Situations (New Orleans Saints) Situations (Jacksonville Jaguars)
Coming off a vsNFC South opponent (T.B.) Coming off a vsNFC South opponent (CAR)
Coming off a home fav win Coming off a road underdog lost
Coming off a 3 game winning streak Coming off 2 overs
Coming off 1 over Coming off a game scored 27 points or less
Coming off a game scored 31 points or more Coming off a game scored 34 points or more against
Coming off a game scored 24 points or less against Coming off 2 game road stand
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off 1 ATS lost
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When NEW ORLEANS SAINTS team played as a Road team – Vs Non Division Opponent – Last 3 years – Scored 31 points or more FOR in their last game 9-2-0 6-5 3-8-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS team played as a Home team – After a non division game – Scored 22 – 28 POINTS FOR in their last game – Scored more than 20 points in back to back games 3-7-0 5-5 1-9-0

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