The first week of the NFL season brought plenty of excitement and some surprises, but most importantly, it gave us key insights for betting moving forward. Using our ATS STATS 80% Club and the results from Week 1, we can start building a strategy for Week 2. Let’s take a look at the highlights, trends, and how the numbers played out.
Game 1: New York Jets vs. San Francisco 49ers
- Result: 49ers 32, Jets 19
- Spread: 49ers (-3.5) ✅
- Total: Over 41.5 (53 points) ✅
- Key Insight: The Niners continued to assert their dominance, and this game sailed over the total, backing up the 80% Club trend that the Over is a great play when the Jets are coming off an AFC matchup.
Game 2: Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints
- Result: Saints 47, Panthers 10
- Spread: Saints (-3.5) ✅
- Total: Over 41.5 (57 points) ✅
- Key Insight: The Saints crushed the Panthers, and the Over hit easily, continuing a pattern where the Panthers struggle to stop high-powered offenses early in the season.
Game 3: Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts
- Result: Colts 29, Texans 27
- Spread: Colts (-3) ❌
- Total: Over 46.5 (56 points) ✅
- Key Insight: Even though the Colts won outright, they failed to cover the spread, while the Over cashed comfortably. Week 1 division matchups can often turn into shootouts, and this was no exception.
Game 4: Arizona Cardinals vs. Buffalo Bills
- Result: Bills 34, Cardinals 28
- Spread: Bills (-6.5) ❌
- Total: Over 45.5 (62 points) ✅
- Key Insight: The Bills’ defense faltered late, allowing the Cardinals to cover the spread, but the Over was never in doubt. The 80% Club trend where the Bills hit the Over against non-conference teams came through.
Game 5: Minnesota Vikings vs. New York Giants
- Result: Vikings 28, Giants 6
- Spread: Vikings (-1) ✅
- Total: Under 42.5 (34 points) ✅
- Key Insight: The Vikings dominated as expected and the game easily went Under. When the Vikings are favorites, their defense often shows up, making them an excellent bet to cover.
Game 6: New England Patriots vs. Cincinnati Bengals
- Result: Patriots 16, Bengals 10
- Spread: Patriots (+9.5) ✅
- Total: Under 42.5 (26 points) ✅
- Key Insight: This low-scoring affair followed the trend of the Bengals struggling to hit the Over against strong defenses. Betting the Under in games involving the Patriots’ methodical offense might continue to be profitable.
Game 7: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Miami Dolphins
- Result: Dolphins 20, Jaguars 17
- Spread: Dolphins (-3.5) ❌
- Total: Under 49.5 (37 points) ✅
- Key Insight: The Jaguars managed to cover while keeping the game well under the total. Early season divisional games can sometimes be tighter than expected, and the 80% Club’s suggestion of Under plays with the Dolphins paid off.
Game 8: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Result: Falcons 10, Steelers 18
- Spread: Steelers (+4) ✅
- Total: Under 42.5 (28 points) ✅
- Key Insight: The Steelers continued their Under trend, especially when playing as small road underdogs. If you followed the 80% Club here, you cashed on both the spread and total.
Game 9: Tennessee Titans vs. Chicago Bears
- Result: Bears 24, Titans 17
- Spread: Bears (-4) ✅
- Total: Over 41.5 (41 points) ❌
- Key Insight: The Bears took care of business, but the total barely missed the Over. The Titans’ offense needs to be watched, as they tend to underperform on the road early in the season.
Game 10: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Result: Chargers 22, Raiders 10
- Spread: Chargers (-1.5) ✅
- Total: Under 40.5 (32 points) ✅
- Key Insight: Both the spread and Under cashed easily. This game followed the 80% Club trend of the Chargers dominating in low-scoring affairs when at home.
Game 11: Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks
- Result: Seahawks 26, Broncos 20
- Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) ✅
- Total: Over 40.5 (46 points) ✅
- Key Insight: The Seahawks came through as expected, and the Over hit in what turned into a higher-scoring game than anticipated.
Game 12: Washington Commanders vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Result: Buccaneers 37, Commanders 20
- Spread: Buccaneers (-4) ✅
- Total: Over 42.5 (57 points) ✅
- Key Insight: The Buccaneers blew the Commanders out, and the Over hit easily, showcasing their offensive firepower early in the season.
Game 13: Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns
- Result: Cowboys 33, Browns 17
- Spread: Cowboys (-1.5) ✅
- Total: Under 40.5 (50 points) ✅
- Key Insight: The Cowboys continued their home dominance and hit the Over despite being a game pegged for a lower-scoring affair.
Game 14: Los Angeles Rams vs. Detroit Lions
- Result: Lions 26, Rams 20
- Spread: Lions (-5.5) ✅
- Total: Under 52.5 (46 points) ✅
- Key Insight: The Lions covered the spread and the game stayed under. The Rams tend to keep games closer than the oddsmakers expect.
Game 15: Green Bay Packers vs. Philadelphia Eagles
- Result: Eagles 34, Packers 29
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5) ✅
- Total: Over 49.5 (63 points) ✅
- Key Insight: This game easily cleared the total, and the Eagles showed that they are a force to be reckoned with in high-scoring contests. The Packers put up a fight but couldn’t cover.
Game 16: Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs
- Result: Chiefs 27, Ravens 20
- Spread: Chiefs (-3) ✅
- Total: Over 46.5 (47 points) ✅
- Key Insight: The Chiefs, following the 80% Club trends, managed to cover the spread and hit the Over. They are a solid bet when at home after a win.
Final Thoughts:
Week 1 gave us a great start with many trends holding strong, especially with teams like the Chargers, Saints, and Chiefs. As we move into Week 2, expect more data to fine-tune our bets and continue cashing in on those 80% Club stats.
Stay tuned for Week 2 analysis and trends!