Raymond Report Super Bowl Fact Sheet
Sports handicapper Ron Raymond, this fact sheet provides key insights, trends, and betting angles for Super Bowl Sunday. Use this data-driven analysis to make informed wagers and maximize your edge.
Super Bowl Matchup:
- Kansas City Chiefs (-1) (-112) vs. Philadelphia Eagles (+1) (-101)
- Total: 48.5
- Date: Sunday, February 9, 2025
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
Game Forecast:
- Projected Score: Kansas City Chiefs 26.62 – Philadelphia Eagles 23.73
- Projected Total: 50.35 (leans OVER)
Recent Form:
- Kansas City Chiefs: 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U in last 5 games
- Philadelphia Eagles: 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U in last 5 games
Chances of Winning (C.O.W.):
- Chiefs: 60.87%
- Eagles: 35%
Chances of Covering (C.O.C.):
Chances Game Going Over (C.O.G.O.):
Value Index (PVI-SOS):
- Chiefs: Neutral
- Eagles: Bullish
Last Game Performance:
- Chiefs: Won 32-29 vs. Buffalo Bills
- Eagles: Won 55-23 vs. Washington Commanders
Overall Performance:
- Kansas City Chiefs: 17-2 SU, 9-10 ATS, 8-11 O/U
- Philadelphia Eagles: 17-3 SU, 13-7 ATS, 9-11 O/U
Home & Away Splits:
- Chiefs Home: 10-0 SU, 4-6 ATS, 5-5 O/U
- Eagles Home: 11-1 SU, 7-5 ATS, 5-7 O/U
- Chiefs Away: 7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS, 3-6 O/U
- Eagles Away: 6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS, 4-4 O/U
Situational Stats:
- Chiefs as Road Favorites: 5-0 SU, 25.8 PF – 16.2 PA
- Eagles as Road Favorites: 3-2 SU, 29.6 PF – 19.6 PA
- Chiefs Last 3 Games: 2-1 SU, 18.33 PF – 27 PA
- Eagles Last 3 Games: 3-0 SU, 35 PF – 18.33 PA
- Chiefs Last 5 Games: 4-1 SU, 22.2 PF – 22 PA
- Eagles Last 5 Games: 5-0 SU, 33.2 PF – 15 PA
- Chiefs Last 10 Games: 8-2 SU, 22.1 PF – 20.8 PA
- Eagles Last 10 Games: 9-1 SU, 30.9 PF – 17.9 PA
Head-to-Head Matchup:
- Last 7 Meetings: Chiefs 5-2 SU
- Most Recent Meeting (11/20/23): Eagles 21-17 @ Chiefs
- Super Bowl 57 (2/12/23): Chiefs 38-35 vs. Eagles
Market Conditions:
- Overall NFL Market: Home Favorites winning 69.14%, covering 53.45% ATS
- Road Favorites: SU 71.43%, ATS 54.90%
- Home Teams Last 30 Days: SU 83.33%, ATS 66.67%
- Road Teams Last 30 Days: SU 16.67%, ATS 33.33%
Team Trends & Situational Angles:
- Chiefs:
- 12-8 SU, 12-8 ATS, 13-7 O/U vs. Eagles (Since 1983)
- 3-2 SU, 4-1 O/U in last 5 matchups vs. Eagles
- 7-8 ATS with 13 days off (Since 1983)
- 4-5 ATS, 5-4 O/U in games with a 48.5 total
- 8-11 ATS vs. NFC East (Since 1983)
- 2-3 SU last 5 games after facing Buffalo Bills
- Eagles:
- 1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS vs. Chiefs (Last 7 Matchups)
- 16-11-2 ATS after playing Washington Commanders
- 9-14-1 ATS with 13 days off (Since 1983)
- 8-5 ATS in games with a 48.5 total
- 8-13 ATS vs. AFC West (Since 1983)
- 4-3 ATS coming off a 5-game win streak (Since 1983)
Offensive & Defensive Matchups:
- Chiefs Offense (Season Averages):
- Overall: 23.16 PPG, 19.42 PPG Allowed
- Home: 24.5 PPG, 19.2 PPG Allowed
- Road: 21.67 PPG, 19.67 PPG Allowed
- Last 3 Games: 18.33 PPG, 27 PPG Allowed
- Eagles Offense (Season Averages):
- Overall: 28.4 PPG, 17.9 PPG Allowed
- Home: 28.67 PPG, 17.67 PPG Allowed
- Road: 28 PPG, 18.25 PPG Allowed
- Last 3 Games: 35 PPG, 18.33 PPG Allowed
Betting Insights:
- Strength of Schedule (Last 3 Games):
- Chiefs: 55.56% (Played tougher teams)
- Eagles: 33.33% (Played weaker teams)
- Public Betting Psychology:
- Chiefs: Neutral
- Eagles: Bullish
- Law of Averages (LOA) Indicator: No clear edge
- MSV (Market Spread Value): Chiefs -3.08, Eagles +3.00 (Market is tight)
Key Super Bowl Betting Angles:
- Super Bowl teams off a 5-game winning streak: 4-3 ATS
- Super Bowl teams with 13+ days rest: Historically cover 48.9% ATS
- Chiefs 7-2 SU on neutral sites last 10 years
- Eagles 6-2 ATS last 8 neutral site games
Final Takeaways:
- Chiefs’ defense has struggled last 3 games (27 PA), but played tougher competition.
- Eagles’ offense has been on fire, averaging 35 PPG in last 3 games.
- Public perception is bullish on Eagles, but Chiefs are historically strong in big games.
- If betting total, consider OVER trends in Chiefs vs. Eagles matchups (4-1 last 5 meetings).
- If looking for a side, Chiefs have the market value (-3.08 MSV), but Eagles have ATS momentum (13-7 YTD).
Good luck with your Super Bowl bets! Stay sharp and bet with confidence using the Raymond Report.