Tampa Bay Buccaneers (51) vs. Atlanta Falcons (4) Preview & Prediction (11/24/2019)

This week, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between theTampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons for Sunday, November 24th, 2019.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3-7 SU travel to Georgia to battle the Atlanta Falcons 3-7 SU in the battle of the bottom dwellers in the NFC South. The question, is, are the Falcons really bottom dwellers? Could they go 9-7, because they certainly look like they could. The odds are that the Falcons are a bit better than their record indicates, but the surge will likely come to and end in a few weeks. Tampa Bay has some real playmakers on offense, but this unit has been unable to string anything together offensively despite having the best rush defense and worst pass defense. Matt Ryan figures to have a big game while out pacing his QB counterpart on the other side.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons (ATL -4.5)
  • Game Time & Date: Sunday November 24th 2019 – Kick-off: 1:00 PM
  • Location: Merecedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
  • NFL Odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+190) vs. Atlanta Falcons (-230) OVER/UNDER: 51.5
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Prediction:

Fact – Jameis Winston is the worse QB in the league despite having the best WR tandem in the league. ATLANTA 34 TAMPA BAY 28

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4   ( 184 ) Vs. Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons -4  ( -220 ) Vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (51) vs. Atlanta Falcons (4) Preview & Prediction (11/24/2019)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
O/U :51

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-24
Time: 13:00:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (51) vs. Atlanta Falcons (4) Preview & Prediction (11/24/2019)

Atlanta Falcons
SIDE :4

24.47 Forecast
(O/U 51.37 )
26.9
90% C.O.C 33%
48% C.O.G.O 48%
3.7 MSV 5.34
(C) NEUTRAL MVI (C) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Atlanta Falcons
Season Record : 3-7 Season Record : 3-7
Away Record : 2-3 Away Record : 2-4
Home Record : 1-4 Home Record : 1-3
Line : 4 Line : -4
O/U : 51 O/U : 51
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 34 – 17 vs NEW ORLEANS SAINTS Last game: Win 29 – 3 vs CAROLINA PANTHERS
SU: 2-15 ATS: 7-9-1 O/U: 5-12-0
SU: 10-12 ATS: 7-14-1 O/U: 11-11-0
Current game: vs. Atlanta Falcons Current game: vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
SU: 10-13 ATS: 13-10-0 O/U: 14-8-1
SU: 13-10 ATS: 10-13-0 O/U: 14-8-1
Next Game: At JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS Next Game: Vs. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
SU: 11-13 ATS: 17-7-0 O/U: 15-9-0
SU: 8-9 ATS: 7-10-0 O/U: 10-7-0
Days Rest : 6 (RD) Days Rest : 6 (HF)
(L) SU:  (31.7 %) ATS:  (49.5%) O/U: (50.5%)
(L) SU: (67.9%) ATS: (46.7%) O/U: (50.3%)
(T) SU: (40-145) ATS: (90-86-9) O/U: (84-100-1)
(T) SU: (81-49) ATS: (55-67-8) O/U: (54-75-1)
Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 6 ATS Lost – 8 Over Streaks : 2 SU Win – 2 ATS Win – 4 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.56% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 66.67%
Home Favorite: 1 Win -2 Lost   (PF)26 – (PA)30 Home Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)10 – (PA)24
Home Underdog: 0 Win -2 Lost   (PF)21.5 – (PA)35.5 Home Underdog: 1 Win -2 Lost   (PF)18 – (PA)28
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)33 – (PA)34
Road Underdog: 2 Win -3 Lost   (PF)31 – (PA)30.4 Road Underdog: 2 Win -3 Lost   (PF)24.6 – (PA)24
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)27 – (PA)33.67 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)25 – (PA)13
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (PF)26 – (PA)33 Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (PF)23.6 – (PA)22
Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (PF)29.71 – (PA)33.71 Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (PF)22.86 – (PA)26.71
Last 10 game: 3 Win 7 Lost   (PF)27.6 – (PA)31.3 Last 10 game: 3 Win 7 Lost   (PF)22 – (PA)26.2
Last 15 game: 3 Win 7 Lost   (PF)27.6 – (PA)31.3 Last 15 game: 3 Win 7 Lost   (PF)22 – (PA)26.2
Situations (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) Situations (Atlanta Falcons)
Coming off a vsNFC South opponent (NWO) Coming off a vsNFC South opponent (CAR)
Coming off a home underdog lost Coming off a road underdog win
Coming off a game scored 17 points or less Coming off a 2 game winning streak
Coming off a game scored 34 points or more against Coming off 4 unders
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off a game scored 28 points or more
Coming off 5 ATS lost Coming off a game scored 3 points or less against
Coming off 2 game road stand
Coming off 2 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS team played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs NFC South opponent – Coming off 1 game loss 7-5-0 4-8 2-10-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When ATLANTA FALCONS team played as Home team as a Favorite – During the month of November – Scored more than 20 points in back to back games 4-5-2 8-3 1-10-0

 

 

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