New York Jets (43.5) vs. New England Patriots (-22.5) Betting Preview (09/22/2019)

 

This week at Gillette Stadium, ATS Stats provides a preview and prediction on the game between the New York Jets vs. New England Patriots for Sunday, September 22nd, 2019.

WEEK 2 NFL GAME PREVIEW:New York Jets vs. New England Patriots

The New England Patriots 2-0 SU will host the New York Jets 0-2 SU in what will have one of the most historic Vegas lines in NFL history.  Vegas is throwing out a huge teaser here after the Dolphins game where the spread was 18.5 points in for the Patriots on the road.  Now they are at home, against a team that is much better on paper, has more playmakers and has a better defense.  So the question is, if the Patriots beat the Dolphins 43-0 on the road can they beat the Jets 45-0 at home?  There’s no telling, because if they are up by 30 in the fourth they will divert to the running game.  IF you think the Jets will score on the Patriots unlike the Dolphins and unlike the Jets in Week 2 at home against Cleveland than you should absolutely take the over.  Is this a fade for you, or something you want take on.

New York Jets vs. New England Patriots Preview & Prediction

  • Game Preview: New York Jets at New England Patriots (-23)
  • Game Time & Date: Sunday September 22nd, 2019 – Kick-off: 1:00 PM
  • Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
  • NFL Odds: New York Jets (+1500) vs. New England Patriots (-5000) OVER/UNDER: 44.0
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Des Boodam’s Prediction:

The Patriots will win this game handily, but the Jets have a couple of playmakers that will put them in field goal range.  The game will be so far in hand by the 4th, that the Patriots offense will go on shut down mode.  NEW ENGLAND 41 NEW YORK 3

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New York Jets 22.5   ( 1322 ) Vs. New England Patriots New England Patriots -22.5  ( -3200 ) Vs. New York Jets
New York Jets

New York Jets
O/U :43.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-09-22
Time: 13:00:00

Generated from
Previous Games
New England Patriots

New England Patriots
SIDE :22.5

13.48 Forecast
(O/U 45.47 )
31.99
100% C.O.C 0%
100% C.O.G.O 100%
5.25 MSV -15
(C) BEARISH MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (CFL, CFB and NFL)
C.O.C. = (Chances of Covering) – The ‘C.O.C.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record from a ‘Point Spread’ perspective and not their ‘straight up’ (SU) record, using the teams short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that team in their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.
C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.
MSV = (Market Spread Value) – The MSV is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the MSV, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 3-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (3-0) in their last 3 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (1-2 or 2-3) in their last 3 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-3) in their last 3 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
MLB Betting
New York Jets New England Patriots
Season Record : 0-2 Season Record : 2-0
Away Record : 0-0 Away Record : 1-0
Home Record : 0-2 Home Record : 1-0
Line : 22.5 Line : -22.5
O/U : 43.5 O/U : 43.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 23 – 3 vs CLEVELAND BROWNS Last game: Win 43 – 0 vs MIAMI DOLPHINS
SU: 5-3 ATS: 5-2-1 O/U: 3-4-1
SU: 24-10 ATS: 21-12-1 O/U: 21-13-0
Current game: vs. New England Patriots Current game: vs. New York Jets
SU: 13-25 ATS: 20-17-1 O/U: 23-15-0
SU: 25-13 ATS: 17-20-1 O/U: 23-15-0
Next Game: At PHILADELPHIA EAGLES Next Game: At BUFFALO BILLS
SU: 5-11 ATS: 5-10-1 O/U: 6-10-0
SU: 12-11 ATS: 10-11-2 O/U: 14-9-0
Days Rest : 5 (RD) Days Rest : 6 (HF)
(L) SU:  (33.6 %) ATS:  (49.9%) O/U: (48.9%)
(L) SU: (68%) ATS: (46.7%) O/U: (50.3%)
(T) SU: (8-8) ATS: (10-6-0) O/U: (10-6-0)
(T) SU: (116-38) ATS: (76-74-4) O/U: (79-74-1)
Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 2 ATS Lost – 2 Under Streaks : 2 SU Win – 2 ATS Win – 2 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 75% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 0%
Home Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)16 – (PA)17 Home Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)33 – (PA)3
Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (PF)3 – (PA)23 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (PF)43 – (PA)0
Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A Road Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A – (PA)N/A
Last 3 game: 0 Win 2 Lost    (PF)9.5 – (PA)20 Last 3 game: 2 Win 0 Lost    (PF)38 – (PA)1.5
Last 5 game: 0 Win 2 Lost    (PF)9.5 – (PA)20 Last 5 game: 2 Win 0 Lost    (PF)38 – (PA)1.5
Last 7 game: 0 Win 2 Lost   (PF)9.5 – (PA)20 Last 7 game: 2 Win 0 Lost   (PF)38 – (PA)1.5
Last 10 game: 0 Win 2 Lost   (PF)9.5 – (PA)20 Last 10 game: 2 Win 0 Lost   (PF)38 – (PA)1.5
Last 15 game: 0 Win 2 Lost   (PF)9.5 – (PA)20 Last 15 game: 2 Win 0 Lost   (PF)38 – (PA)1.5
Situations (New York Jets) Situations (New England Patriots)
Coming off a vs AFC North opponent (CLE) Coming off a vs AFC East opponent (MIA)
Coming off a home underdog lost Coming off a road favorite win
Coming off a 2 game losing streak Coming off a 2 game winning streak
Coming off 2 unders Coming off 2 unders
Coming off a game scored 3 points or less Coming off a game scored 40 points or more
Coming off a game scored 21 points or more against Coming off a game scored 3 points or less against
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off 2 ATS win
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When NEW YORK JETS team played as Road team as a Underdog – Coming off vs American Conference opponent – Coming off a Loss over AFC North opponent 4-7-0 4-7 10-1-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 4 years – After a division game – Coming off vs American Conference opponent 15-2-0 16-1 9-8-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 4 years – Coming off a Road win as a Favorite 10-2-2 13-1 8-6-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – With 6 day off – Coming off a Win over AFC East opponent 10-2-0 11-1 6-6-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – After a conference game – Coming off 2 game winning streak 9-6-1 14-2 9-7-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as Home team as a Favorite – Total is between 44.5 to 47 – Coming off back to back SU wins 10-4-1 13-2 5-10-0
When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as a -10.0 or more Favorite – With 6 day off – Coming off a Road win 12-11-0 21-2 15-8-0

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