Graded Matchups, Market Confidence & Value Angles from the Raymond Report
Tuesday night’s NHL card features a full slate of games and plenty of price traps for bettors chasing momentum instead of value. Using the Raymond Report Card, we grade every matchup by market confidence, C.O.W. (Chance of Winning), and the team’s current Market Value Index (MVI) cycle — Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish — to help you make sharper plays at the window.
🔥 Bullish Teams to Watch
The “A” teams on tonight’s report card are worth your attention — these clubs are playing with confidence and generating market value week over week.
- Carolina Hurricanes (-182 @ Vegas) – The Canes are riding one of the hottest MVI streaks in the league (Bullish 19). At 78% C.O.W., they’re the most trustworthy road favorite on the board. Vegas is solid at home, but the metrics tilt hard to Carolina.
- Detroit Red Wings (-111 @ St. Louis) – The Wings’ 5-1 record and Bullish (13) cycle signal a team buying in early. Their depth scoring and special teams edge give them the upper hand against a Bearish Blues squad that’s been leaking goals.
- Montreal Canadiens (-141 @ Seattle) – Quietly steady. The Habs are 3-1 on the road and rank Bullish (8) on the MVI. Seattle’s been streaky, and the market hasn’t caught up to Montreal’s improved structure.
- Winnipeg Jets (-116 @ Minnesota) – Another Bullish play. Winnipeg’s 3-0 home mark and defensive consistency give them a situational edge over a Minnesota team still trying to find its rhythm.
⚖️ Neutral Matchups – Handle With Care
When both teams sit in Neutral cycles, that’s usually where the oddsmakers earn their paycheck. These games tend to settle close to the number.
- Philadelphia (-200) vs Pittsburgh – Classic rivalry game where perception meets value. Philly’s home form is good, but the Penguins are in a Bullish cycle, making them a potential live dog if they get the first goal.
- Florida (-244) vs Anaheim – The Panthers are overpriced based on recent form. They win more than they cover. If you’re looking for parlay filler, fine — but tread lightly on the puckline.
- Ottawa (-161) @ Chicago – The Sens are steady but not dominant. Their Neutral (3) sentiment suggests efficiency, not momentum. Chicago’s metrics make this one closer than the line implies.
- Colorado (-192) vs New Jersey – Both in positive cycles, but Colorado’s Neutral tone and the Devils’ Bullish surge hint at upset potential. The total (6.5) could be more reliable than the side.
🧊 Bearish Fade Candidates
When the report tags a team as Bearish, it’s not personal — it’s mathematical. These clubs are struggling with consistency, defense, or goaltending form.
- Calgary Flames (+215 @ Toronto) – A C-grade with a 40% C.O.W. The Leafs have been shaky defensively, but Calgary’s metrics say they’re not ready to capitalize.
- St. Louis Blues (vs Detroit) – Confidence index in freefall. Fade until they show signs of life.
- San Jose Sharks (vs Los Angeles) – Bearish (210) is as bad as it gets. Even the Sharks’ “value” prices aren’t worth the risk.
💰 Value Angles
- Live Dogs with Bite: Washington (+100), New Jersey (+100), Utah (+100)
- Reliable Chalk: Carolina, Detroit, Montreal
- Totals to Target:
- PIT/PHI Over 6 (rivalry tempo + goalie fatigue)
- NJD/COL Over 6.5 (speed and offensive depth both ways)
- MTL/SEA Under 5.5 (tight-checking potential)
🧠 Raymond Report Betting Insight
“The letter grades don’t just measure who’s good — they measure who’s trustworthy. Bullish teams win because they’re playing within their market value range. Bearish teams lose because the market hasn’t adjusted yet.”
🚨 Final Thoughts
Tonight’s board has several overvalued favorites — don’t get caught chasing logos. The Raymond Report Card highlights where the real betting value hides: Bullish underdogs and Bearish fade spots.
For the full MVI charts, C.O.W. data, and daily sports betting tools — visit ATSstats.com and upgrade to an All-Star Membership.
