This report analyzes the Raymond Report Computer Forecast data, translating proprietary metrics like Projected Score, Calculated Odds of Winning (C.O.W.), and the crucial Value Index (V.I.) into betting insights for tonight’s slate. A positive V.I. indicates the model believes the team is undervalued by the market, presenting a potential edge.
Game 1: Dallas Stars (2.77) vs. New Jersey Devils (3.26)
Puck Drop: 7:00 PM EST @ Prudential Center
| Metric | Dallas Stars | New Jersey Devils | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model Score | 2.77 | 3.26 | Devils are the projected winner. |
| Market Line | +112 (Implied) | -132 (Favorite) | Market favors Devils. |
| V.I. | 117 (BULLISH) | -167.33 (Neutral) | Top Value Play of the Night. |
| Streaks | 4 SU Win, 7-3 L10 | 2 SU Lost, 5-5 L10 | Stars are the hotter team. |
| Rest | 0 Days Rest | 1 Day Rest | Schedule favors Devils’ legs. |
Betting Angle: Value on Dallas
Despite the Devils being the favorite and having a rest advantage, the V.I. screams value on the Dallas Stars Moneyline. The 4-game winning streak suggests Dallas is overcoming the scheduling disadvantage, and the market has not adjusted to their current form. The Computer Total (6.03) narrowly edges the market O/U (6), suggesting a slight lean toward the Over 6.
Game 2: Winnipeg Jets (3.40) vs. Montreal Canadiens (2.69)
Puck Drop: 7:30 PM EST @ Bell Centre
| Metric | Winnipeg Jets | Montreal Canadiens | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model Score | 3.40 | 2.69 | Jets are the projected winner. |
| Market Line | -141 (Favorite) | +120 (Implied) | Market favors Jets. |
| V.I. | 0 (Neutral) | 0 (Neutral) | Market is accurately priced; no strong edge. |
| O/U Trend | 7-3 to the Over L10 | 7-2-1 to the Over L10 | Both teams are high-Over bets. |
Betting Angle: Strong Under Signal
The model and market are aligned on the Winnipeg Jets winning this game outright, but the biggest signal is on the total. The computer projects a combined 6.09 goals against a high market O/U of 6.5. Despite both teams’ strong recent trend to the Over, the model forecasts a low-scoring affair. Play the Under 6.5 with high confidence.
Game 3: Buffalo Sabres (2.94) vs. Philadelphia Flyers (3.59)
Puck Drop: 7:30 PM EST @ Wells Fargo Center
| Metric | Buffalo Sabres | Philadelphia Flyers | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model Score | 2.94 | 3.59 | Computer favors Flyers by margin. |
| Market Line | -120 (Favorite) | +100 (Implied) | Market favors Sabres. |
| V.I. | 0 (Neutral) | 106.67 (BULLISH) | Strong Value Play. |
| O/U Trend | 5-game Under streak | 5-3-2 to the Over L10 | Conflicting O/U signals. |
Betting Angle: Flyers Upset & Over
This is the second major value opportunity of the night. The computer’s projected score (3.59) and the BULLISH V.I. of 106.67 both suggest the Philadelphia Flyers are the superior team and are mispriced as the underdog in the market. The smart bet is on the Flyers Moneyline.
For the total, the market O/U is 6, while the computer projects 6.53 goals. This projects a break in Buffalo’s 5-game Under streak. Bet the Over 6.
Game 4: Utah Mammoth (3.42) vs. Anaheim Ducks (2.89)
Puck Drop: 10:00 PM EST @ Honda Center
| Metric | Utah Mammoth | Anaheim Ducks | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model Score | 3.42 | 2.89 | Mammoth are the projected winner. |
| Market Line | -120 (Favorite) | +100 (Implied) | Market favors Mammoth. |
| V.I. | 143.33 (BEARISH) | -175 (Neutral) | Model warns against betting Utah. |
| Streaks | 4 SU Lost, 2-8 L10 | 1 SU Win, 5-5 L10 | Utah is ice-cold. |
Betting Angle: Fade the Favorite
Despite the Mammoth being the favorite, the BEARISH V.I. of 143.33 acts as a major warning sign—the model believes the Utah Mammoth (-120) are severely overvalued. Combined with their 4-game losing streak and poor 2-8 L10 record, the recommendation is to fade the favorite and take the value on the Anaheim Ducks Moneyline at home. The computer total (6.31) against the market O/U (6.5) leans toward the Under 6.5.
Game 5: Washington Capitals (3.16) vs. San Jose Sharks (2.86)
Puck Drop: 10:00 PM EST @ SAP Center
| Metric | Washington Capitals | San Jose Sharks | Insight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model Score | 3.16 | 2.86 | Capitals are the projected winner. |
| Market Line | -192 (Heavy Favorite) | +170 (Implied) | Market heavily favors Capitals. |
| V.I. | -111.5 (BULLISH) | 161.5 (NEUTRAL) | Caps are a poor value bet at -192. |
| Streaks | 4 SU Win, 8-2 L10 | 1 SU Win, 3 ATS Win | Both teams are winning lately. |
| Rest | 0 Days Rest | 1 Day Rest | Fatigue factor against Caps. |
Betting Angle: Under and Value Upset
The Washington Capitals are rolling, but the -192 moneyline is an astronomical price for a team on 0 days rest. The negative V.I. of -111.5 confirms the price is inflated. The smart money here is on the Under 6.5 goals, as the computer projects a low total of 6.02. For risk-takers, the V.I. on San Jose (161.5) provides a faint signal of value in taking the Sharks on the Moneyline as a deep home upset play against a tired Washington squad.
