NHL SBI (Sports Betting Index) Report (10/10/25)

The NHL season is just getting underway, and the early market signals are already showing their hand. After three nights of action, favorites have come out strong straight-up, but the puckline and totals markets are telling a very different story.

📊 Daily Breakdown

🧠 Market Interpretation

Straight-Up (SU) – “Favorites Leading Early”
Favorites are off to a BULLISH 64% win rate on Thursday, bouncing back from a sluggish 25% on opening night. The YTD mark at 52% is right in the neutral zone — suggesting a fairly balanced market, but early sharp action continues leaning toward the chalk in good matchup spots.

Over/Under (Totals) – “Neutral-to-Bearish”
Scoring has normalized after the usual October fireworks. Through three nights, the OVER is hitting at 41.7%, which marks a BEARISH trend for goal totals. Early goaltending form and underdog defensive effort are keeping games tighter than expected.

Against the Spread (ATS/Puckline) – “Dog Market in Control”
No sugar-coating this one — it’s been all underdogs on the puckline. Dogs have covered 71% of games, meaning if you’ve been fading the favorites on the -1.5 puckline, you’re living like a king. This BEARISH reading on favorites is consistent across all lookback windows.

🔎 SBI Summary

• Favorites (SU): 52% — ⚖️ Neutral Market
• Overs: 41.7% — 🧊 Bearish Trend
• ATS Favorites: 29% — 🐾 Underdog Market

Interpretation: The early-season betting landscape shows sharp value on underdogs and unders, especially in spots where the public is overreacting to name-brand teams or elite goaltenders. The books are shading lines toward the favorites, but the numbers show more balance — meaning there’s opportunity for disciplined bettors to pick off overvalued favorites.

💡 Raymond Report Takeaway

Treat this early stretch like the NHL preseason for bettors — let the market overadjust, stay disciplined, and remember:
📉 When the public chases chalk, the smart money shops for value.

Want today’s Top 25 NHL Betting Options and Rink Rat previews?
👉 Visit ATSStats.com — where data meets discipline.