Welcome to today’s NHL Sports Betting Markets Report, where we approach hockey like traders, not ticket-rippers. Forget picking winners like a fan — we’re hunting price inefficiencies, market overreactions, and sneaky value spots the public sleeps on.
Every number below comes straight from the Raymond Report Market Value Index (MVI) — measuring team cycles, strength vs classes, and line value so we’re not betting logos, we’re betting market behavior.
Favorites win games.
Smart money wins seasons.
Let’s dive into today’s board, separate chalk traps from live dogs, and attack the best ROI spots on the ice.
(Ordered by value edge + market posture)
✅ Value Dog of the Day
Utah + money vs Tampa Bay
- Grade: A
- Cycle: Bullish (12-day run)
- Tampa Cycle: Neutral – no momentum push
- Forecast Edge: UTAH 44.16% vs TB 81.82% — but DMVI signals Tampa overpriced (-141)
Play: Utah ML
Utah is riding confidence; Tampa is priced like 2021 Lightning but skates like 2025 Lightning. Value lives with the scrappy dog.
✅ Columbus + money
- Grade: A
- Cycle: Bullish (4)
- Forecast Says: 44% win prob
- DMVI: +100 — market underestimation
Play: Columbus ML
Books are slow adjusting to CBJ momentum. We gladly step in front before the price catches up.
✅ NY Islanders -133
- Grade: C (yeah, I know — but price + situation says go)
- Cycle: Neutral(15) — stale but ready to pop
- Forecast: 64.95% win expectancy
- DMVI: -135 = fair price, slight value
Play: NYI ML
Ugly wins still cash. Islanders are the NHL version of eating plain oatmeal — boring, but profitable in the right spots.
⚠️ Risk/Reward Dog Shot
Anaheim ML sprinkle
- Grade: A
- Forecast vs price: Overvalued opponent + sneaky Ducks
- DMVI: +185 — serious mispricing signal
- Cycle: Neutral (22) — ready for a surprise bump
Play: Anaheim small ML sprinkle only
This is the “don’t tell your buddies you did this” bet. But hey, big lines fade when motivation dips.
🚫 Pass / Stay Away
| Team | Why |
|---|---|
| Calgary | Bearish(19), no floor, no pulse, no thank you |
| San Jose | DMVI good, but team analytics scream nope |
| Detroit | Too chalky for value, number inflated |
| Philadelphia | Bullish + fav = low ROI spot |
| New Jersey | Bullish(17) but price dried up |
Remember: good teams don’t always equal good bets.
🧾 Official ATS STATS Card
| Side | Confidence |
|---|---|
| ✅ Utah ML | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| ✅ Columbus ML | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| ✅ NY Islanders ML | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| 🎯 Anaheim ML (sprinkle) | ⭐⭐ |
| 🚫 Pass on chalk traps | — |
💣 Betting Philosophy of the Day
“When the market overreacts, smart bettors over-collect.”
We don’t chase teams.
We chase mispriced edges.
📣 Call to Action
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