Anaheim Ducks (6) vs. Florida Panthers (-195) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

The Anaheim Ducks  will be on the road Thursday taking the ice against the Panthers at the BB&T Center in Sunrise, Florida. Anaheim will be looking for their second win in three games following a 5-2 loss against the Capitals in Washington on Monday. The Panthers will be looking for a third win in a row following a 5-2 win at home against the Philadelphia Flyers on Tuesday.

The Anaheim Ducks are now 10-10-2 on the season following a 5-2 loss against the Capitals in Washington. The Ducks were able to outshoot Washington 34-31 in the game with both teams winning 26 faceoffs. Anaheim was able to score a goal on one of their four power-play opportunities while giving the goal back the one time they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 13 blocked shots and six takeaways in the game

The Ducks have been good for an average of 3.442.68 goals per game this season while giving up 2.91 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 28.9 shots per game while allowing 32.9 on the defensive end of the ice. Anaheim has scored six power-play goals for a 10.2 conversion rate to go with a 79.2 penalty kill percentage.

The Florida Panthers are now 11-5-5 on the year following a 5-2 win at home against the Philadelphia Flyers. Florida was outshot 26-37 in the game while winning 25 of 48 faceoffs. The Panthers were unable to score on any of their three power-play opportunities while defending the net both of the times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 18 blocked shots and 12 takeaways in the game.

Florida has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 3.62 goals per game for the season while giving up 3.48 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 34.2 shots per game while allowing 31.0 on the defensive end of the ice. The Panthers have 17 power-play goals this season for a 25.8 conversion rate to go with an 83.3 penalty kill percentage.

The Panthers will take the ice as -195 favorites in this game with the Ducks skating in as 166 underdogs. The total is sitting at six. I’m liking the total going over six in this one. Both teams are right around three in both goals per game and goals given up per night.

The Ducks spend an average of 240 minutes per game in the penalty box and the Panthers have a 25.8 power-play percentage. I can easily see two or three of the seven goals being scored coming off a power-play opportunity.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • The over is 5-0 in Anaheim’s last five games against an opponent allows two goals or less in the previous game.
  • The over is 5-0 in Anaheim’s previous five games vs. the Eastern Conference.
  • The over is 4-1 in Anaheim’s previous five games as an underdog.
  • The over is 4-0 in Florida’s previous four games vs. the Pacific division.
  • The over is 4-1 in Florida’s previous five games at home vs. a team with a losing record on the road.
Anaheim Ducks    ( 166 ) Vs. Florida Panthers Florida Panthers   ( -195 ) Vs. Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks (6) vs. Florida Panthers (-195) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

Anaheim Ducks
O/U :6

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-21
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Anaheim Ducks (6) vs. Florida Panthers (-195) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

Florida Panthers
SIDE :-195

2.65 Forecast
(O/U 6.21 )
3.56
61% C.O.W 40%
36% C.O.G.O 36%
166 DMVI 103
(C) BEARISH MVI (B) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Anaheim Ducks Florida Panthers
Season Record : 10-12 Season Record : 11-10
Away Record : 4-6 Away Record : 6-6
Home Record : 6-6 Home Record : 5-4
Line : Line :
O/U : 6 O/U : 6
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 2 – 5 vs Washington Capitals Last game: Won 2 – 5 vs Philadelphia Flyers
SU: 6-14 ATS: 9-12-1 O/U: 9-10-3
SU: 19-15 ATS: 22-15-0 O/U: 15-18-4
Current game: vs. Florida Panthers Current game: vs. Anaheim Ducks
SU: 8-7 ATS: 9-7-0 O/U: 6-9-1
SU: 7-8 ATS: 6-10-0 O/U: 6-9-1
Next Game: At TAMPA BAY Next Game: At CAROLINA
SU: 5-13 ATS: 8-10-0 O/U: 8-6-4
SU: 26-24 ATS: 25-27-1 O/U: 24-24-5
Days Rest : 2 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (54.5 %) ATS:  (57.1%) O/U: (54.5%)
(L) SU: (57.2%) ATS: (47%) O/U: (50%)
(T) SU: (1-1) ATS: (1-1-0) O/U: (1-1-0)
(T) SU: (2-1) ATS: (1-2-0) O/U: (3-0-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 2 Under Streaks : 2 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 5 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 61.22% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 57.14%
Home Favorite: 5 Win -5 Lost   (GF)2.9 – (GA)2.8 Home Favorite: 4 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.86 – (GA)3.14
Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3.5 – (GA)3.5 Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)4
Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)1 Road Favorite: 3 Win -2 Lost   (GF)4.2 – (GA)3.2
Road Underdog: 3 Win -6 Lost   (GF)2.22 – (GA)3.11 Road Underdog: 3 Win -4 Lost   (GF)3.29 – (GA)4.29
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (GF)3 – (GA)3.67 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4 – (GA)3
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (GF)2.8 – (GA)4.2 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4.6 – (GA)3.6
Last 7 game: 1 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2.57 – (GA)4 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)3.57
Last 10 game: 3 Win 7 Lost   (GF)2.9 – (GA)3.8 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.8 – (GA)3.5
Last 15 game: 5 Win 10 Lost   (GF)2.73 – (GA)3.47 Last 15 game: 9 Win 6 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)3.47
Situations (Anaheim Ducks) Situations (Florida Panthers)
Coming off a road underdog lost (WAS) Coming off a home fav win (PHI)
Coming off a 1 game losing streak Coming off a 2 game winning streak
Coming off 2 unders Coming off 5 overs
Scored 2 or less goals FOR in last game Scored 5 or more goals FOR in last game
Scored 5 or more goals AGAINST in last game Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 5 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 5 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 3 goal loss Coming off 3 game home stand
Coming off 2 game road stand Coming off a 3 goal win
Coming off 2 days off Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANAHEIM team played as a Road team – Vs Non Division Opponent – Last 2 years – Coming off a 1 game loss – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog 9-2-0 7-4 2-8-1
When ANAHEIM team played as a Road team – playing on Thursday – Allowed 5 or more goals AGAINST in their last game 13-5-0 9-9 3-14-1
Query ATS SU O/U

 

 

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