Arizona Coyotes (6) vs. Washington Capitals (-175) Preview & Prediction (11/11/2019)

The Arizona Coyotes will be on the road Monday taking the ice against the Capitals at Capital One Arena in Washington D.C. The Coyotes will be looking to end a three-game skid after losing 3-4 at home against the Minnesota Wild on Saturday. The Capitals will look to keep their winning streak going after beating the Las Vegas Golden Knights 5-2 their last time on the ice.

The Arizona Coyotes are now 9-6-2 on the year following a 3-4 loss against the Minnesota WIld. The Coyotes were able to outshoot Minnesota 35-24 in the game while winning 35 of 53 faceoffs. Arizona was unable to score a goal on any of their three power-play opportunities and gave up a goal the one time they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had seven blocked shots and four takeaways in the game.

The Coyotes have been able to find the back of the net for an average of 2.82 goals per game for the season while giving up 2.41 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 31.5 shots per game while allowing 30.9 on the defensive end of the ice. They have nine power-play goals this season for a 16.7 conversion rate to go with a 78.4 penalty kill percentage.

Washington has now won seven games in a row following a 5-2 win at home against the Las Vegas Golden Knights. The Capitals were able to outshoot Las Vegas 34-32 in the game while winning 33 of 62 faceoffs. Washington was able to score a goal on one of their six power-play opportunities while defending the net three of the four times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 14 blocked shots and five takeaways in the game.

The Capitals have been good for an average of 4.06 goals per game this season while giving up 3.06 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 31.0 shots per game while allowing 31.1 on the defensive end of the ice. Washington has scored 16 power-play goals for a 25.0 conversion rate to go with an 85.1 penalty kill percentage.

The Capitals will take the ice as -175 favorites in this game with the total sitting at six. Washington is scoring more goals per game but they are also giving up more goals to their opponents. They spend 58 minutes longer in the penalty box a game than Arizona but they have been strong when skating a man down. They have even been able to score three shorthanded goals this season. I like the Capitals winning streak to continue in this one.

NHL Stats and Trends:

Coyotes are 0-4 in their previous four games vs. Eastern Conference.
Coyotes are 0-4 in their previous four games playing on one day of rest.
Washington is 5-0 in their previous five games following a win.
Washington is 4-0 in their previous four games vs. a team with a winning record.

Arizona Coyotes ( 151 ) Vs. Washington Capitals

Washington Capitals ( -175 ) Vs. Arizona Coyotes

Arizona Coyotes O/U :6	Vs. Date: 2019-11-11 Time: 19:05:00 Generated from Previous Games	Washington Capitals SIDE :-175
2.47	Forecast (O/U 5.5 )	3.03
74%	C.O.W	14%
40%	C.O.G.O	40%
101	DMVI	-162
(B) NEUTRAL	MVI	(A) BULLISH

WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)

C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Arizona Coyotes

Washington Capitals

Season Record : 9-8

Season Record : 13-5

Away Record : 5-4

Away Record : 8-2

Home Record : 4-4

Home Record : 5-3

Line :

O/U : 6

LINEMOVES

Last game: Lost 4 – 3 vs Minnesota Wild

Last game: Won 2 – 5 vs Vegas Golden Knights

SU: 8-18

ATS: 14-13-0

O/U: 13-11-3

SU: 2-0

ATS: 2-0-0

O/U: 1-1-0

Current game: vs. Washington Capitals

Current game: vs. Arizona Coyotes

SU: 6-8

ATS: 10-5-1

O/U: 2-13-1

SU: 8-6

ATS: 5-10-1

O/U: 2-13-1

Next Game: At ST LOUIS

Next Game: At PHILADELPHIA

SU: 13-23

ATS: 18-20-2

O/U: 17-19-4

SU: 27-12

ATS: 21-20-1

O/U: 18-22-2

Days Rest : 1 (Road)

Days Rest : 1 (Home)

(L) SU: (39.8 %)

ATS: (52.8%)

O/U: (49.6%)

(L) SU: (59%)

ATS: (48.5%)

O/U: (50.7%)

(T) SU: (1-2)

ATS: (2-1-0)

O/U: (1-2-0)

(T) SU: (4-1)

ATS: (3-2-0)

O/U: (4-1-0)

Streaks :

Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %

Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %

Home Favorite: 2 Win -3 Lost (GF)2.8 – (GA)2.6

Home Favorite: 5 Win -3 Lost (GF)4 – (GA)2.88

Home Underdog: 2 Win -1 Lost (GF)3 – (GA)1.33

Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A

Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost (GF)3 – (GA)2

Road Favorite: 2 Win -1 Lost (GF)4.33 – (GA)3.67

Road Underdog: 4 Win -4 Lost (GF)2.88 – (GA)2.75

Road Underdog: 6 Win -1 Lost (GF)4.14 – (GA)3

Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost (GF)2.67 – (GA)3.67

Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost (GF)4.67 – (GA)2.67

Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost (GF)2.8 – (GA)2.6

Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost (GF)4.8 – (GA)2.4

Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost (GF)2.57 – (GA)2.71

Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost (GF)4.71 – (GA)3

Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost (GF)2.8 – (GA)2.8

Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost (GF)4.8 – (GA)2.9

Last 15 game: 9 Win 6 Lost (GF)3.2 – (GA)2.53

Last 15 game: 11 Win 4 Lost (GF)4.47 – (GA)3.27

Situations (Arizona Coyotes)

Situations (Washington Capitals)

Coming off a home fav lost (MIN)

Coming off a home fav win (Vegas)

Coming off a 3 game losing streak

Coming off a 6 game winning streak

Coming off 1 over

Coming off 2 overs

Scored 3 or less goals FOR in last game

Scored 5 or more goals FOR in last game

Scored 4 or more goals AGAINST in last game

Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game

Coming off a scored 4 goals AGAINST in last game

Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game

Coming off a scored 3 goals FOR in last game

Coming off a scored 5 goals FOR in last game

Coming off a 1 goal loss

Coming off a 3 goal win

Coming off 2 game home stand

Coming off 1 day off

Trends

Query

ATS

O/U

Query	ATS	SU	O/U
When WASHINGTON team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Coming off vs Western Conference opponent – Coming off 2 overs	7-8-0	12-3	6-8-1
When WASHINGTON team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Coming off vs Western Conference opponent – After a non conference game – Coming off 2 overs	7-8-0	12-3	6-8-1
When WASHINGTON team played as a home team – playing on Monday – Scored 5 or more goals FOR in their last game	6-4-0	8-2	5-4-1

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