Boston Bruins (-130) vs. Montreal Canadiens (6) Preview & Prediction (11/26/2019)

The Boston Bruins  will be on the road Tuesday taking the ice against the Canadiens at the Bell Centre in Montreal. Boston will be looking for a fourth consecutive win after beating the Minnesota Wild 5-4 in Boston on Saturday. The Canadiens will be looking to end a four-game skid after losing 5-6 at home against the New York Rangers their last time on the ice.

The Boston Bruins are now 15-3-5 on the season following a 5-4 win in overtime at home against the Minnesota Wild. The Bruins were able to outshoot the Wild 39-36 with both teams winning 34 faceoffs. Boston was able to score a goal on one of their three power-play opportunities and managed to defend the net five of the seven times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 13 blocked shots and six takeaways in the game.

The Bruins have been good for an average of 3.61 goals per game this season while giving up 3.43 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 32.0 shots per game while allowing the same number on the defensive end of the ice. Boston has scored 22 power-play goals for a 31.0 conversion rate to go with an 82.2 penalty kill percentage.

The Montreal Canadiens are now 11-7-5 on the year following a 5-6 loss at home against the New York Rangers. Montreal was able to outshoot New York 43-34 in the game with both teams winning 30 faceoffs. The Canadiens were unable to score a goal on any of their five power-play opportunities while defending the net each of the three times they were forced to skate a man down. They had 12 blocked shots and four takeaways in the game.

Montreal has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 3.39 goals per game for the season while giving up 3.22 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 34.3 shots per game while allowing 32.2 on the defensive end of the ice. They have 14 power-play goals this season for a 19.4 conversion rate to go with a 73.6 penalty kill percentage.

The Boston Bruins will take the ice on Tuesday as -128 favorites with the Canadiens skating in as 107 underdogs. The total is sitting at six for the game. I’m liking the Bruins to win on the road, here. They have been improving on the offensive end of the ice but I think it will be a solid defense that gets it done on Tuesday. Boston spends an average of 70 more minutes in the penalty box per game but they have been solid when skating a man down. I think defense wins this game. My money is on Boston.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • Boston is 7-1 in their previous eight games vs. an opponent that scores five goals or more in their previous game.
  • Boston is 5-1 in their last six games after scoring at least five goals in the previous game.
  • Boston is 8-3 in their previous 11 games as a favorite on the road.
  • Montreal is 1-8 in their last nine games after scoring at least five goals in their previous game.
Boston Bruins    ( -130 ) Vs. Montreal Canadiens Montreal Canadiens   ( 110 ) Vs. Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins (-130) vs. Montreal Canadiens (6) Preview & Prediction (11/26/2019)

Boston Bruins
SIDE :-130

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-26
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Boston Bruins (-130) vs. Montreal Canadiens (6) Preview & Prediction (11/26/2019)

Montreal Canadiens
O/U :6

2.84 Forecast
(O/U 5.88 )
3.04
17% C.O.W 76%
38% C.O.G.O 38%
-191 DMVI -167
(A) NEUTRAL MVI (C) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Boston Bruins Montreal Canadiens
Season Record : 15-8 Season Record : 11-12
Away Record : 6-4 Away Record : 5-6
Home Record : 9-4 Home Record : 6-6
Line : Line :
O/U : 6 O/U : 6
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 4 – 5 vs Minnesota Wild Last game: Lost 6 – 5 vs New York Rangers
SU: 4-12 ATS: 8-8-0 O/U: 7-6-3
SU: 21-27 ATS: 17-32-1 O/U: 29-16-5
Current game: vs. Montreal Canadiens Current game: vs. Boston Bruins
SU: 34-43 ATS: 40-38-1 O/U: 37-32-10
SU: 43-34 ATS: 38-40-1 O/U: 37-32-10
Next Game: At OTTAWA Next Game: Vs. NEW JERSEY
SU: 21-33 ATS: 31-24-1 O/U: 21-27-8
SU: 22-21 ATS: 19-25-1 O/U: 25-15-5
Days Rest : 2 (Road) Days Rest : 2 (Home)
(L) SU:  (53.1 %) ATS:  (58%) O/U: (54.3%)
(L) SU: (58.4%) ATS: (44.9%) O/U: (48.3%)
(T) SU: (3-1) ATS: (3-1-0) O/U: (2-2-0)
(T) SU: (2-2) ATS: (0-4-0) O/U: (2-2-0)
Streaks : Streaks :
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: % Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 9 Win -4 Lost   (GF)3.77 – (GA)2.46 Home Favorite: 5 Win -5 Lost   (GF)3.3 – (GA)3
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3.5 – (GA)3
Road Favorite: 3 Win -2 Lost   (GF)3.4 – (GA)2.6 Road Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)5
Road Underdog: 3 Win -2 Lost   (GF)3.4 – (GA)3 Road Underdog: 5 Win -5 Lost   (GF)3.8 – (GA)3.4
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (GF)4.33 – (GA)2.33 Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (GF)2.67 – (GA)4.33
Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3.8 – (GA)2.4 Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (GF)3.2 – (GA)3.8
Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3.57 – (GA)2.86 Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.14 – (GA)3.29
Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (GF)3.7 – (GA)3.3 Last 10 game: 4 Win 6 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)3.4
Last 15 game: 10 Win 5 Lost   (GF)4.07 – (GA)2.8 Last 15 game: 7 Win 8 Lost   (GF)3.27 – (GA)3.27
Situations (Boston Bruins) Situations (Montreal Canadiens)
Coming off a home fav win (MIN) Coming off a home fav lost (NYR)
Coming off a 3 game winning streak Coming off a 4 game losing streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 1 over
Scored 5 or more goals FOR in last game Scored 5 or less goals FOR in last game
Scored 4 or less goals AGAINST in last game Scored 6 or more goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 4 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 6 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 5 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 5 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 1 goal win Coming off 2 game home stand
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off 2 days off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When BOSTON team played as a Road team – Vs Division Opponent – Last 3 years – Coming off 1 over 11-10-0 12-9 3-17-1
When ANY NHL Team Played as Road team as a Favorite – before a division game – Last 2 years – Allowed 4 or less goals AGAINST in their last game – Coming off 1 over 12-9-0 17-4 9-11-1
Query ATS SU O/U

 

 

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