Calgary Flames (6) vs. Nashville Predators (-153) Preview (10/31/2019)

The Calgary Flames will be on the road Thursday taking the ice against the Predators at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville. The Flames will be looking to put an end to a two-game skid after falling 2-1 against the Hurricanes in Carolina. The Predators will be looking for a fifth consecutive win after beating the Chicago Blackhawks 3-0 at home on Tuesday.

 

The Calgary Flames are now 6-6-2 on the season following a 2-1 loss in Carolina against the Hurricanes their last time on the ice. Calgary managed to outshoot the Hurricanes 29-28 but only won 28 of 60 faceoffs. They were unable to put the puck in the net on ay of their three power-play opportunities and gave up a goal one of the three times they were forced to skate shorthanded. Calgary was good for 19 blocked shots and seven takeaways in the game.

 

The Flames have been good for an average of 2.50 goals per game this season while giving up 2.93 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 30.8 shots per game while allowing 31.0 on the defensive end of the ice. Calgary has scored eight power-play goals for a 17.8 conversion rate to go with an 86.8 penalty kill percentage.

 

The Nashville Predators have now won four in a row following a 3-0 win at home against the Chicago Blackhawks. The Predators outshot Chicago 51-20 in the game and won 31 of 59 faceoffs. The Preds were unable to score on any of their five power-play opportunities but were able to defend the net each of the three times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 24 blocked shots and three takeaways in the game

 

Nashville has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 4.00 goals per game for the season while giving up 2.75 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 33.5 shots per game while allowing 29.3 on the defensive end of the ice. They have nine power-play goals this season for a 19.6 conversion rate to go with a 73.7 penalty kill percentage.

 

The Predators take the ice in this one as -153 favorites with the total sitting at six. Nashville has been much stronger this season on the offensive end of the ice and are spending an average of 60 minutes less per game in the penalty box. Calgary has been strong while skating shorthanded, but I’m liking the Nashville offense in this one. I think they end up with a goal or two on the power-play leading them to another win at home.

 NHL Stats and Trends

  • Calgary is 2-6 in their previous eight games as an underdog on the road.
  • Calgary is 2-6 in their previous eight games on one day of rest.
  • Nashville is 4-0 in their last four after allowing two goals or less in the previous game.
  • Nashville is 5-1 in their previous six games as a favorite at home.
Calgary Flames 1.5   ( 133 ) Vs. Nashville Predators Nashville Predators -1.5  ( -153 ) Vs. Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames

Calgary Flames
O/U :6

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-31
Time: 20:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Nashville Predators

Nashville Predators
SIDE :-153

2.33 Forecast
(O/U 5.34 )
3.01
62% C.O.W 17%
66% C.O.G.O 66%
103 DMVI -142
(C) NEUTRAL MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Calgary Flames Nashville Predators
Season Record : 6-8 Season Record : 8-4
Away Record : 2-6 Away Record : 2-2
Home Record : 4-2 Home Record : 6-2
Line : 1.5 Line : -1.5
O/U : 6 O/U : 6
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 1 – 2 vs Carolina Hurricanes Last game: Won 0 – 3 vs Chicago Blackhawks
SU: 8-4 ATS: 10-4-0 O/U: 6-6-2
SU: 40-23 ATS: 28-35-0 O/U: 20-31-12
Current game: vs. Nashville Predators Current game: vs. Calgary Flames
SU: 18-19 ATS: 20-18-0 O/U: 17-17-4
SU: 19-18 ATS: 18-20-0 O/U: 17-17-4
Next Game: At COLUMBUS Next Game: Vs. NY RANGERS
SU: 15-17 ATS: 20-12-1 O/U: 13-13-7
SU: 4-7 ATS: 5-7-0 O/U: 3-6-3
Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (41.9 %) ATS:  (51.6%) O/U: (48.4%)
(L) SU: (60.9%) ATS: (54.3%) O/U: (47.8%)
(T) SU: (1-3) ATS: (0-4-0) O/U: (1-3-0)
(T) SU: (2-2) ATS: (1-3-0) O/U: (2-2-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 1 ATS Win – 2 Under Streaks : 4 SU Win – 4 ATS Win – 3 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 42.86% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02%
Home Favorite: 4 Win -2 Lost   (GF)3.83 – (GA)2.67 Home Favorite: 6 Win -2 Lost   (GF)4.25 – (GA)2.25
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Favorite: 1 Win -2 Lost   (GF)1.67 – (GA)2.67 Road Favorite: 0 Win -2 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)6
Road Underdog: 1 Win -4 Lost   (GF)1.8 – (GA)3.4 Road Underdog: 2 Win -0 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)2
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (GF)2.67 – (GA)3 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (GF)3.33 – (GA)0.67
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (GF)2.6 – (GA)3 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3.6 – (GA)1.2
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)2.71 – (GA)2.86 Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (GF)3.57 – (GA)1.86
Last 10 game: 4 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2.5 – (GA)3 Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)2.7
Last 15 game: 6 Win 8 Lost   (GF)2.64 – (GA)2.93 Last 15 game: 8 Win 4 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)2.83
Situations (Calgary Flames) Situations (Nashville Predators)
Coming off a road underdog lost (CAR) Coming off a home fav win (CHI)
Coming off a 2 game losing streak Coming off a 4 game winning streak
Coming off 2 unders Coming off 3 unders
Scored 1 goal FOR in last game Scored 3 or more goals FOR in last game
Scored 2 or more goals AGAINST in last game Scored 0 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 0 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 1 goal FOR in last game Coming off a scored 3 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 1 goal loss Coming off a Division sandwich
Coming off 2 game road stand Coming off a 3 goal win
Coming off 1 day off Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – Vs Western conference opponent – Coming off vs Eastern Conference opponent – Coming off 2 unders 12-3-1 8-7 6-7-3
When CALGARY team played as a Road team – With 1 day off – playing on Thursday – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog – Coming off a 2 game losing streak 8-2-0 7-3 2-6-2
When CALGARY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Non Division Opponent – With 1 day off – Coming off a 2 game losing streak – Allowed 2 goals AGAINST in their last game 8-1-1 4-5 2-8-0
Query ATS SU O/U

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