Carolina Hurricanes (-190) vs. Ottawa Senators (6.5) Preview & Prediction (11/09/2019)

The Carolina Hurricanes will be on the road Saturday taking the ice against the Senators at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. The Hurricanes will be looking to put an end to a three-game skid after losing 2-4 at home to the New York Rangers on Thursday. The Senators will be looking for their third win in four games after winning 3-2 at home against the Los Angeles Kings their last time on the ice.

 

The Carolina Hurricanes are now 9-6-1 on the season after losing three in a row, most recently a 2-4 loss at home against the New York Rangers. The Hurricanes outshot New York 47-19 in the game and won 31 of 51 faceoffs. Carolina was unable to score a goal on either of their two power-play opportunities while giving up a goal one of the two times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had four blocked shots and 11 takeaways in the game.

 

The Hurricanes have been good for an average of 3.19 goals per game this season while giving up 2.88 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 33.3 shots per game while allowing 28.6 on the defensive end of the ice. Carolina has scored 11 power-play goals for a 21.6 conversion rate to go with a 79.7 penalty kill percentage.

 

The Ottawa Senators are now 5-9-1 on the season following a 3-2 win at home in overtime against the Los Angeles Kings their last time on the ice. Ottawa was able to outshoot L.A. 33-28 in the game while winning 33 of 63 faceoffs. The Senators were unable to score a goal on either of their two power-play opportunities but managed to defend the net both of the times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 10 blocked shots and four takeaways in the game.

 

Ottawa has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 2.73 goals per game for the season while giving up 3.27 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 31.0 shots per game while allowing 34.1 on the defensive end of the ice. They have four power-play goals this season for a 7.4 conversion rate to go with an 80.3 penalty kill percentage.

 

The Hurricanes take the ice in Ottawa as heavy -195 favorites with the total sitting at six and a half. There couldn’t have been a better time on the schedule for Carolina to faceoff against the Senators. The Hurricanes are the stronger team on both ends of the ice. This will be a perfect opportunity for Carolina to get things back on track. My money’s on Carolina in this one.

 

The Hurricanes are 8-0 in their previous eight games vs. the Atlantic division.

The Hurricanes are 6-2 in their previous eight games as a favorite on the road.

The Senators are 6-20 in their previous 26 games after giving up two goals or less in the previous game.

 

 

Carolina Hurricanes -1.5   ( -190 ) Vs. Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators 1.5  ( 163 ) Vs. Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes
SIDE :-190

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-09
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Ottawa Senators

Ottawa Senators
O/U :6.5

3.02 Forecast
(O/U 5.83 )
2.81
72% C.O.W 50%
56% C.O.G.O 56%
-168 DMVI 156
(B) NEUTRAL MVI (C) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Carolina Hurricanes Ottawa Senators
Season Record : 9-6 Season Record : 4-10
Away Record : 3-4 Away Record : 1-6
Home Record : 6-2 Home Record : 3-4
Line : -1.5 Line : 1.5
O/U : 6.5 O/U : 6.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 4 – 2 vs New York Rangers Last game: Won 2 – 3 vs Los Angeles Kings
SU: 11-21 ATS: 19-14-1 O/U: 15-18-1
SU: 6-3 ATS: 6-4-0 O/U: 3-7-0
Current game: vs. Ottawa Senators Current game: vs. Carolina Hurricanes
SU: 16-23 ATS: 23-17-0 O/U: 18-17-5
SU: 23-16 ATS: 17-23-0 O/U: 18-17-5
Next Game: Vs. OTTAWA Next Game: At CAROLINA
SU: 15-17 ATS: 22-10-1 O/U: 18-13-2
SU: 26-10 ATS: 22-14-1 O/U: 19-17-1
Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (40.2 %) ATS:  (52.7%) O/U: (48.2%)
(L) SU: (58.3%) ATS: (49.2%) O/U: (49.2%)
(T) SU: (2-1) ATS: (2-1-0) O/U: (2-1-0)
(T) SU: (4-2) ATS: (4-2-0) O/U: (3-3-0)
Streaks : 3 SU Lost – 3 ATS Lost – 2 Under Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 2 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.9% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.1%
Home Favorite: 5 Win -2 Lost   (GF)3.86 – (GA)2.43 Home Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)5 – (GA)2
Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)3 Home Underdog: 2 Win -4 Lost   (GF)2.67 – (GA)3.33
Road Favorite: 1 Win -3 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)3 Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Underdog: 2 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3.67 – (GA)3.33 Road Underdog: 1 Win -6 Lost   (GF)2.43 – (GA)3.71
Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (GF)2 – (GA)4.33 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3.33 – (GA)2.67
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (GF)3 – (GA)3.4 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (GF)3.4 – (GA)3
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.14 – (GA)3 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3.43 – (GA)3
Last 10 game: 4 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2.8 – (GA)3 Last 10 game: 4 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2.9 – (GA)3.1
Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (GF)3.2 – (GA)2.87 Last 15 game: 5 Win 10 Lost   (GF)2.73 – (GA)3.33
Situations (Carolina Hurricanes) Situations (Ottawa Senators)
Coming off a home fav lost (NYR) Coming off a home underdog win (LAK)
Coming off a 3 game losing streak Coming off 1 game winning streak
Coming off 2 unders Coming off 2 unders
Scored 2 or less goals FOR in last game Scored 3 or more goals FOR in last game
Scored 4 or more goals AGAINST in last game Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 4 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 3 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 2 goal loss Coming off a 1 goal win
Coming off 1 day off Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When OTTAWA team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Last 2 years – Coming off 2 unders 11-1-0 5-7 7-5-0

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