Colorado Avalanche (5.5) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-150) Preview & Prediction (10/19/2019)

The Colorado Avalanche will be on the road in TampaBay Saturday to take the ice against the Lightning at Amalie Arena. Colorado will be on the ice against the Florida Panthers on Friday before this big showdown gets underway

The Tampa Bay Lightning will be looking for a third consecutive win after beating the Bruins 4-3 in a shootout on Thursday night. This will be their first game at home following a long trip on the road.

The Colorado Avalanche will be on the ice Friday night against the Panthers following their first loss of the season, 3-2 against the Penguins in Pittsburgh. The Avalanche were outshot 28-33 and were only able to win 28 of 69 faceoffs.

Colorado was given three power-play opportunities in the game but failed to find the net on any of them. They were able to defend the goal each of the three times they were forced to skate shorthanded.

The Av’s had 13 blocked shots and six takeaways in the game.

Heading into Friday’s game, Colorado has been able to put the puck in the net for an average of 4.00 goals per game while giving up 2.50 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 30.8 shots per night while allowing 33.8 on the defensive end of the ice.

They have been able to score six power-play goals for a 24.0 conversion rate to go along with an 82.4 penalty kill percentage.

The Tampa Bay Lightning will be looking for a third consecutive win after getting the best of the Boston Bruins 4-3 in a shootout on Thursday night.

The Lightning were outshot 36-37 in the game but managed to win 34 of 62 faceoffs. They were held scoreless on each of their four power-play opportunities while giving up three goals on the five times they were forced to skate with a man in the box.

Tampa Bay had 12 blocked shots and seven takeaways in the game.

On the season, the Lightning have been able to put the puck in the back of the net for an average of 3.71 goals per game while giving up 3.00 to their opponents.

They have been able to score five goals on the power-play for a 25.0 conversion rate to go along with a 67.9 penalty kill percentage.

My deadline’s creeping up and I have to make this quick. I’ve got two reasons why your money needs to go on Tampa Bay. You ready?

This will be Colorado’s second game in as many days. This will be the Lightning’s first home game following a very impressive road trip. Enough said.

Avalanche vs. Lightning Game Notes

Colorado Avalanche    (  ) Vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning   (  ) Vs. Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche (5.5) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-150) Preview & Prediction (10/19/2019)

Colorado Avalanche
SIDE :5.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-19
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Colorado Avalanche (5.5) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-150) Preview & Prediction (10/19/2019)

Tampa Bay Lightning
O/U :-150

2.1 Forecast
(O/U 5.61 )
3.51
24% C.O.W 38%
41% C.O.G.O 41%
-138 DMVI -118
(A) BULLISH MVI (B) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Colorado Avalanche Tampa Bay Lightning
Season Record : 6-1 Season Record : 4-3
Away Record : 2-1 Away Record : 3-3
Home Record : 4-0 Home Record : 1-0
Line : Line :
O/U : O/U :
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 5 – 4 vs Florida Panthers Last game: Won 4 – 3 vs Boston Bruins
SU: 10-9 ATS: 11-9-0 O/U: 7-13-0
SU: 31-24 ATS: 29-27-0 O/U: 24-25-7
Current game: vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Current game: vs. Colorado Avalanche
SU: 7-8 ATS: 9-7-0 O/U: 7-9-0
SU: 8-7 ATS: 7-9-0 O/U: 7-9-0
Next Game: At ST LOUIS Next Game: Vs. PITTSBURGH
SU: 12-14 ATS: 15-12-0 O/U: 11-13-3
SU: 13-17 ATS: 10-21-0 O/U: 16-13-2
Days Rest : 0 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (30 %) ATS:  (45%) O/U: (60%)
(L) SU: (63.5%) ATS: (51.9%) O/U: (48.1%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Over Streaks : 2 SU Win – 2 ATS Win – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 50% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 41.16%
Home Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)2.33 Home Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)5 – (GA)2
Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)2 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)3 Road Favorite: 1 Win -3 Lost   (GF)2.75 – (GA)3.25
Road Underdog: 2 Win -0 Lost   (GF)5.5 – (GA)3.5 Road Underdog: 2 Win -0 Lost   (GF)5.5 – (GA)3
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4.33 – (GA)3.33 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3 – (GA)2.67
Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4 – (GA)2.8 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (GF)3.8 – (GA)3
Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (GF)4.14 – (GA)2.71 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3.86 – (GA)3
Last 10 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (GF)4.14 – (GA)2.71 Last 10 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3.86 – (GA)3
Last 15 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (GF)4.14 – (GA)2.71 Last 15 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3.86 – (GA)3
Situations (Colorado Avalanche) Situations (Tampa Bay Lightning)
Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (FLO) Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (BOS)
Coming off a road underdog win Coming off a road underdog win
Coming off 1 game winning streak Coming off a 2 game winning streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 1 over
Scored 5 or more goals FOR in last game Scored 4 or more goals FOR in last game
Scored 4 or less goals AGAINST in last game Scored 3 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 4 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 3 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 5 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 4 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 1 goal win Coming off 6 game road stand
Coming off 3 game road stand Coming off a 1 goal win
Back to back games Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U

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