Colorado Avalanche (6) vs. Boston Bruins (-150) Preview & Prediction (12/07/2019)

The Colorado Avalanche will be on the road Saturday taking the ice against the Bruins at TD Garden in Boston. Colorado will look to extend their winning streak following a 3-2 win against the Canadiens in Montreal on Thursday. The Bruins will be looking for their second win in three games following a 3-4 loss in overtime at home against the Chicago Blackhawks their last time on the ice.

The Colorado Avalanche are now 18-8-2 following a 3-2 win in Montreal against the Canadiens. The Avalanche were outshot 35 to 40 in the game while winning just 28 of 61 faceoffs. Colorado was unable to score a goal on any of their three power-play opportunities while defending the net two of the three times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 22 blocked shots and three takeaways in the game.

The Avalanche have been good for an average of 3.68 goals per game this season while giving up 2.79 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 32.3 shots per game while allowing 33.0 on the defensive end of the ice. Colorado has scored 21 power-play goals for a 19.3 conversion rate to go with a 78.3 penalty kill percentage.

The Boston Bruins are now 20-3-6 on the season following a 3-4 loss at home against the Chicago Blackhawks. Boston was able to outshoot the Blackhawks 40 to 31 in the game while winning just 26 of 54 faceoffs. The Bruins were unable to score a goal on any of their four power-play opportunities while defending the net two of the three times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 10 blocked shots and 10 takeaways in the game.

Boston has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 3.59 goals per game for the season while giving up 2.24 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 31.6 shots per game while allowing 31.7 on the defensive end of the ice. The Bruins have 25 power-play goals this season for a 29.4 conversion rate to go with an 84.3 penalty kill percentage.

The Bruins will take the ice as -145 favorites with Colorado skating in as 125 underdogs. The total is sitting at six on the game. I think this will be where Colorado’s winning streak comes to an end. Boston has a tough defense to score against, especially when they’re skating at home. The Garden will be packed with a rowdy weekend crowd and I think that will be enough for Boston to get things back on track.

 NHL Stats and Trends:

  • Colorado is 4-10 in their previous 14 third games of a 3-in-4 situation.
  • Boston is 41-17 in their previous 58 games as a favorite.
  • Boston is 27-9 in their last 36 games vs. the Western Conference.
  • Boston is 70-31 in their previous 101 games at home.
Colorado Avalanche    ( 130 ) Vs. Boston Bruins Boston Bruins   ( -150 ) Vs. Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche (6) vs. Boston Bruins (-150) Preview & Prediction (12/07/2019)

Colorado Avalanche
O/U :6

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-07
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Colorado Avalanche (6) vs. Boston Bruins (-150) Preview & Prediction (12/07/2019)

Boston Bruins
SIDE :-150

2.62 Forecast
(O/U 5.81 )
3.19
18% C.O.W 32%
57% C.O.G.O 57%
-142 DMVI -182
(A) BULLISH MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Colorado Avalanche Boston Bruins
Season Record : 18-10 Season Record : 20-9
Away Record : 10-6 Away Record : 8-4
Home Record : 8-4 Home Record : 12-5
Line : Line :
O/U : 6 O/U : 6
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 3 – 2 vs Montreal Canadiens Last game: Lost 4 – 3 vs Chicago Blackhawks
SU: 7-13 ATS: 9-12-0 O/U: 10-10-1
SU: 8-13 ATS: 7-14-1 O/U: 9-10-3
Current game: vs. Boston Bruins Current game: vs. Colorado Avalanche
SU: 11-3 ATS: 12-2-1 O/U: 4-8-3
SU: 3-11 ATS: 1-13-1 O/U: 4-8-3
Next Game: Vs. CALGARY Next Game: At OTTAWA
SU: 30-26 ATS: 37-22-1 O/U: 31-28-1
SU: 19-23 ATS: 18-28-0 O/U: 20-22-4
Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (88-127-0) ATS:  (120-95-0) O/U:  (99-107-9)
(L) SU:  (137-101-0) ATS: (106-132-0) O/U: (105-126-7)
(T) SU: (4-4) ATS: (5-3-0) O/U: (5-3-0)
(T) SU: (9-3) ATS: (6-6-0) O/U: (5-6-1)
Streaks : 5 SU Win – 5 ATS Win – 2 Under Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 42.86% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 40.82%
Home Favorite: 6 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.67 – (GA)2.67 Home Favorite: 12 Win -5 Lost   (GF)3.53 – (GA)2.29
Home Underdog: 2 Win -1 Lost   (GF)5.33 – (GA)3.67 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)3 Road Favorite: 5 Win -2 Lost   (GF)3.86 – (GA)2.14
Road Underdog: 10 Win -5 Lost   (GF)3.47 – (GA)2.67 Road Underdog: 3 Win -2 Lost   (GF)3.4 – (GA)3
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (GF)4.33 – (GA)2 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)2.67 – (GA)1.67
Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (GF)4.4 – (GA)1.8 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)2.6 – (GA)1.6
Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (GF)3.86 – (GA)2.43 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (GF)3.71 – (GA)1.86
Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3.7 – (GA)2.9 Last 10 game: 8 Win 2 Lost   (GF)3.6 – (GA)1.9
Last 15 game: 10 Win 5 Lost   (GF)3.67 – (GA)2.8 Last 15 game: 9 Win 6 Lost   (GF)3.47 – (GA)2.53
Situations (Colorado Avalanche) Situations (Boston Bruins)
Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (MTL) Coming off a home fav lost (CHI)
Coming off a road underdog win Coming off a 1 game losing streak
Coming off a 5 game winning streak Coming off 1 over
Coming off 2 unders Scored 3 or less goals FOR in last game
Scored 3 or more goals FOR in last game Scored 4 or more goals AGAINST in last game
Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 4 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 3 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a scored 3 goals FOR in last game Coming off 4 game home stand
Coming off a 1 goal win Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U

 

 

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