Colorado Avalanche (6) vs. St Louis Blues (-137) Preview & Prediction (10/21/2019)

The Colorado Avalanche will be in St. Louis on Monday taking the ice against the Blues at the Enterprise Center. The Avalanche will be looking for a third consecutive win after getting the best of the Lightning 2-6 in Tampa Bay on Saturday. The Blues will be looking to end a four-game skid after falling 2-5 at home against Montreal their last time on the ice.

The Colorado Avalanche are coming off back-to-back wins after beating the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-6 on the road. The Av’s were outshot 24 to 46 in the game and only managed to win 28 of 62 faceoffs. They were given two power-play opportunities but failed to score on both of them. Colorado was able to defend the net both times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 15 blocked shots and nine takeaways in the game.

The Avalanche are scoring an average of 4.38 goals per game this season while giving up 2.63 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 31.3 shots per night while allowing 36.5 on the defensive end of the ice. Colorado has found the net for six power-play goals for a 20.0 conversion rate to go along with an 87.0 penalty kill percentage.

The St. Louis Blues are now 3-2-3 after falling 2-5 against the Canadiens on Saturday. St. Louis outshot Montreal 34 to 25 in the game and won 35 of 59 faceoffs. They were kept out of the net on each of their three power-play opportunities and gave up two goals the five times they were forced to skate shorthanded in the game. The Blues had just two blocked shots and 10 takeaways in the game.

On the season, St. Louis has been able to score an average of three goals per game while giving up 3.50 to their opponents. They have fired an average of 30.3 shots per night while allowing 31.6 on the defensive end of the ice. The Blues have four power-play goals on the season for an 18.2 conversion rate to go along with an 86.4 penalty kill percentage.

The Blues have been in a funk and things aren’t going to get any easier Monday night at home. St. Louis has only scored 10 goals in their previous four games and the Avalanche have been solid on the defensive end of the ice. The only positive the Blues have going into this one is they spend an average of 28 fewer minutes in the penalty box per game. If they can turn that into a power-play goal or two, they will have a much easier time winning this one. I just don’t see it happening like that. I like Colorado on the road, here.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • Colorado is 4-0 last four games after allowing two goals or less in the previous game.
  • Colorado is 4-0 previous four games vs. the Central Division.
  • Blues are 1-4 previous five games at home.
  • Blues are 0-4 previous four games overall.

Avalanche vs. Blues Game Notes

 

Colorado Avalanche 1.5   ( 117 ) Vs. St Louis Blues St Louis Blues -1.5  ( -137 ) Vs. Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche

Colorado Avalanche
O/U :6

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-21
Time: 20:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
St Louis Blues

St Louis Blues
SIDE :-137

3.17 Forecast
(O/U 6.76 )
3.59
23% C.O.W 81%
37% C.O.G.O 37%
-125 DMVI -118
(A) BULLISH MVI (C) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Colorado Avalanche St Louis Blues
Season Record : 7-1 Season Record : 3-5
Away Record : 3-1 Away Record : 2-2
Home Record : 4-0 Home Record : 1-3
Line : 1.5 Line : -1.5
O/U : 6 O/U : 6
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 6 – 2 vs Tampa Bay Lightning Last game: Lost 5 – 2 vs Montreal Canadiens
SU: 15-6 ATS: 16-5-0 O/U: 13-6-2
SU: 10-5 ATS: 9-6-0 O/U: 8-6-1
Current game: vs. St Louis Blues Current game: vs. Colorado Avalanche
SU: 19-25 ATS: 22-24-0 O/U: 17-25-4
SU: 25-19 ATS: 24-22-0 O/U: 17-25-4
Next Game: At VEGAS Next Game: Vs. LOS ANGELES
SU: 0-2 ATS: 1-1-0 O/U: 1-1-0
SU: 13-11 ATS: 12-12-0 O/U: 6-14-4
Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (49.2 %) ATS:  (58.7%) O/U: (50.8%)
(L) SU: (59%) ATS: (47.5%) O/U: (49.2%)
(T) SU: (2-1) ATS: (2-1-0) O/U: (2-1-0)
(T) SU: (0-1) ATS: (0-1-0) O/U: (1-0-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Win – 2 ATS Win – 2 Over Streaks : 4 SU Lost – 4 ATS Lost – 2 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 44.9%
Home Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)2.33 Home Favorite: 1 Win -3 Lost   (GF)2.5 – (GA)3.5
Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)2 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)3 Road Favorite: 1 Win -2 Lost   (GF)3.67 – (GA)4.33
Road Underdog: 3 Win -0 Lost   (GF)5.67 – (GA)3 Road Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)2
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4.33 – (GA)3 Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (GF)2.33 – (GA)4
Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4.4 – (GA)2.8 Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (GF)3.2 – (GA)4.4
Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (GF)4.29 – (GA)2.57 Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.14 – (GA)3.71
Last 10 game: 7 Win 1 Lost   (GF)4.38 – (GA)2.63 Last 10 game: 3 Win 5 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)3.63
Last 15 game: 7 Win 1 Lost   (GF)4.38 – (GA)2.63 Last 15 game: 3 Win 5 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)3.63
Situations (Colorado Avalanche) Situations (St Louis Blues)
Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (T.B.) Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (MTL)
Coming off a road underdog win Coming off a home fav lost
Coming off a 2 game winning streak Coming off a 4 game losing streak
Coming off 2 overs Coming off 2 overs
Scored 6 or more goals FOR in last game Scored 2 or less goals FOR in last game
Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game Scored 5 or more goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 5 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 6 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 4 goal win Coming off 2 game home stand
Coming off 4 game road stand Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When COLORADO team played as a Road team – Vs Western conference opponent – Last 4 years – 3 games in 4 nights 8-8-0 5-11 3-12-1
Query ATS SU O/U
When ST LOUIS team played as a home team – During the month of October – After a non division game – Scored 2 or less goals FOR in their last game – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite 5-8-0 8-5 2-9-2
When ST LOUIS team Played as Home team as a Favorite – After a non conference game – Allowed 5 goals AGAINST in their last game 7-7-0 11-2 6-8-0
When ANY NHL Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Total is 6.0 – Last 5 years – Coming off 2 overs – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite 9-13-0 18-4 9-9-4

 

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