Columbus Blue Jackets (6.5) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (-190) Preview & Prediction (10/21/2019)

The Columbus Blue Jackets will be in Toronto Monday taking the ice against the Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena. Columbus will be looking to put the brakes on a two-game skid after falling 2-3 against the Islanders on Saturday. The Maple Leafs will be looking to make it back-to-back wins after getting the best of the Boston Bruins 4-3 their last time on the ice.

The Blue Jackets will be looking to get back on track after falling 2-3 at home against the New York Islanders in overtime on Saturday. Columbus was able to outshoot the Islanders 36-34 and won 38 of 60 faceoffs. They were unable to put the puck in the net on their only power-play opportunity and didn’t spend any time in the penalty box. The Blue Jackets had nine blocked shots and six takeaways in the game.

Columbus has been good for an average of 2.25 goals per game this season while giving up 3.25 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 34.4 shots per game while allowing 30.1 on the defensive end of the ice. Columbus has scored three power-play goals for a 13.0 conversion rate to go with a 73.9 penalty kill percentage.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are now 5-3-1 on the season following a 4-3 win in overtime against the Boston Bruins Saturday. Toronto was outshot 29-46 in the game and only won 23 of 49 faceoffs. They didn’t have any power-play opportunities and gave up a goal one of the three times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. The Leafs had 14 blocked shots and 16 takeaways in the game.

Toronto has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 3.89 goals per game for the season while giving up 3.33 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 34.0 shots per game while allowing 32.7 on the defensive end of the ice. They have seven power-play goals this season for a 26.9 conversion rate to go with a 79.3 penalty kill percentage.

The numbers are close across the board in this one. Toronto is spending more minutes in the penalty box per game, but they are also stronger while skating shorthanded. Add in the fact they are averaging over more than a goal per night along with the home crowd behind them, and I like the Maple Leafs in this one.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • Columbus is 2-5 last seven games after scoring two goals or less in the previous game.
  • Columbus is 4-12 previous 16 games vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Toronto is 6-2 previous eight Monday games.
  • Toronto is 55-27 previous 82 games at home vs. a team with a road winning percentage under 400.

Blue Jackets vs. Leafs Game Notes

Columbus Blue Jackets 1.5   ( 163 ) Vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5  ( -190 ) Vs. Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus Blue Jackets

Columbus Blue Jackets
O/U :6.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-21
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto Maple Leafs
SIDE :-190

3.15 Forecast
(O/U 6.76 )
3.61
65% C.O.W 39%
51% C.O.G.O 51%
110 DMVI -105
(C) NEUTRAL MVI (B) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Columbus Blue Jackets Toronto Maple Leafs
Season Record : 3-5 Season Record : 5-4
Away Record : 1-2 Away Record : 2-1
Home Record : 2-3 Home Record : 3-3
Line : 1.5 Line : -1.5
O/U : 6.5 O/U : 6.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 3 – 2 vs New York Islanders Last game: Won 3 – 4 vs Boston Bruins
SU: 9-9 ATS: 12-6-0 O/U: 11-5-2
SU: 37-28 ATS: 38-32-2 O/U: 34-33-5
Current game: vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Current game: vs. Columbus Blue Jackets
SU: 8-6 ATS: 9-6-0 O/U: 5-7-3
SU: 6-8 ATS: 6-9-0 O/U: 5-7-3
Next Game: Vs. CAROLINA Next Game: At BOSTON
SU: 6-7 ATS: 9-5-0 O/U: 7-5-2
SU: 39-22 ATS: 27-35-0 O/U: 27-28-7
Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (49.2 %) ATS:  (58.7%) O/U: (50.8%)
(L) SU: (59%) ATS: (47.5%) O/U: (49.2%)
(T) SU: (0-1) ATS: (1-0-0) O/U: (0-1-0)
(T) SU: (0-1) ATS: (0-1-0) O/U: (0-1-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 5 Under Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Lost – 2 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.78% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 42.86%
Home Favorite: 1 Win -2 Lost   (GF)2.33 – (GA)2.67 Home Favorite: 3 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.83 – (GA)4
Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)3 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Road Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (GF)4.5 – (GA)1.5
Road Underdog: 1 Win -2 Lost   (GF)2.33 – (GA)4 Road Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)4
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (GF)2.33 – (GA)2.67 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3.67 – (GA)3
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (GF)2.2 – (GA)2.4 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (GF)3.8 – (GA)3.6
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)2.43 – (GA)3.14 Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.71 – (GA)3.86
Last 10 game: 3 Win 5 Lost   (GF)2.25 – (GA)3.25 Last 10 game: 5 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.89 – (GA)3.44
Last 15 game: 3 Win 5 Lost   (GF)2.25 – (GA)3.25 Last 15 game: 5 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.89 – (GA)3.44
Situations (Columbus Blue Jackets) Situations (Toronto Maple Leafs)
Coming off a home fav lost (NYI) Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (BOS)
Coming off a 2 game losing streak Coming off a home fav win
Coming off 5 or more unders Coming off 1 game winning streak
Scored 2 or less goals FOR in last game Coming off 2 overs
Scored 3 or more goals AGAINST in last game Scored 4 or more goals FOR in last game
Coming off a scored 3 goals AGAINST in last game Scored 3 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 3 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a 1 goal loss Coming off a scored 4 goals FOR in last game
3 game in 4 nights Coming off a 1 goal win
Coming off 1 day off Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When COLUMBUS team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Last 4 years – Coming off a 2 game losing streak 14-1-0 10-5 10-4-1
Query ATS SU O/U

 

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