Dallas Stars (5.5) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (-138) Preview & Prediction (10/18/2019)

The Dallas Stars will be on the road in Pittsburgh on Friday taking the ice against the Penguins at PPG Paints Arena. The Stars will be looking to put an end to a four-game skid after losing 3-2 in Columbus against the Blue Jackets 3-2 on Wednesday.

The Pittsburgh Penguins will be looking to make it five wins in a row after getting the best of the Colorado Avalanche 3-2 at home their last time on the ice. Just a little defense will go a long way in the Pens getting the win against Dallas on Friday.

The Dallas Stars are now 1-6-1 after losing 3-2 on the road against the Blue Jackets Wednesday night. The Stars were outshot 35-32 in the game but managed to win 31 of 58 faceoffs. Dallas was given two power-play opportunities in the game but failed to find the net on both of them. They did manage to defend the nylon each of the three times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. The Stars were good for 13 blocked shots and five takeaways on the game.

It’s been a rough start to the season for Dallas at best. They have put the puck in the net for an average of just 1.88 goals per game while giving up 3.13 to their opponents. They have managed to fire an average of 28 shots per game while allowing 28.3 on the defensive end of the ice. Dallas has one goal this year for just a 4.2 conversion percentage of=n the power-play with an 80.6 penalty kill percentage.

The Pittsburgh Penguins are now 5-2-0 on the year following a 3-2 win in overtime at home against the Colorado Avalanche their last time on the ice. The Penguins outshot Colorado 33-28 in the game and won 41 of 69 faceoffs. Pittsburgh was given three power-play opportunities but was unable to put the puck in the net on any of them. They were strong defending the net each of the three times they were forced to skate shorthanded. The Penguins had 17 blocked shots and eight takeaways in the game.

On the season, the Pens have been good for an average of four goals per game while giving up 2.57 to the opposition. They have been able to fire an average of 33 shots per game while allowing 30.7 on the defensive end of the ice. Pittsburgh has found the net six times for a 23.1 conversion percentage on the power-play with an 82.4 penalty kill percentage.

There isn’t a whole lot to say about this one. Take the penguins at home in this one.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • Dallas is 1-5 previous six against a team with a winning record.
  • Dallas is 1-5 previous six games on the road.
  • Dallas is 2-14 previous 16 games on one day of rest.
  • Penguins are 4-0 previous four games vs. Western Conference.
  • Penguins are 4-1 previous five vs. team with a winning percentage below 400.

Stars vs. Penguins Game Notes

Dallas Stars    ( 118 ) Vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins   ( -138 ) Vs. Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars (5.5) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (-138) Preview & Prediction (10/18/2019)

Dallas Stars
O/U :5.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-18
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Dallas Stars (5.5) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (-138) Preview & Prediction (10/18/2019)

Pittsburgh Penguins
SIDE :-138

2.56 Forecast
(O/U 5.98 )
3.42
94% C.O.W 14%
67% C.O.G.O 67%
124 DMVI -111
(C) BEARISH MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Dallas Stars Pittsburgh Penguins
Season Record : 1-7 Season Record : 5-2
Away Record : 1-4 Away Record : 2-0
Home Record : 0-3 Home Record : 3-2
Line : Line :
O/U : 5.5 O/U : 5.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 2 – 3 vs Columbus Blue Jackets Last game: Won 2 – 3 vs Colorado Avalanche
SU: 8-10 ATS: 11-9-2 O/U: 7-15-0
SU: 7-9 ATS: 5-11-0 O/U: 5-9-2
Current game: vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Current game: vs. Dallas Stars
SU: 4-10 ATS: 4-10-1 O/U: 5-8-2
SU: 10-4 ATS: 10-4-1 O/U: 5-8-2
Next Game: At PHILADELPHIA Next Game: Vs. VEGAS
SU: 7-10 ATS: 8-9-1 O/U: 8-9-1
SU: 0-1 ATS: 0-1-0 O/U: 0-0-1
Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (51 %) ATS:  (55.1%) O/U: (53.1%)
(L) SU: (60.4%) ATS: (50%) O/U: (50%)
(T) SU: (1-3) ATS: (2-2-0) O/U: (1-3-0)
(T) SU: (2-0) ATS: (1-1-0) O/U: (1-1-0)
Streaks : Streaks :
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: % Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 0 Win -2 Lost   (GF)1 – (GA)3 Home Favorite: 2 Win -2 Lost   (GF)2.75 – (GA)2.5
Home Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)3 Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)2
Road Favorite: 0 Win -3 Lost   (GF)1.67 – (GA)3.67 Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)3 Road Underdog: 2 Win -0 Lost   (GF)7 – (GA)3
Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (GF)1 – (GA)3.67 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (GF)5.67 – (GA)2.67
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (GF)1.8 – (GA)3.4 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4 – (GA)2.6
Last 7 game: 1 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)3.43 Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)2.57
Last 10 game: 1 Win 7 Lost   (GF)1.88 – (GA)3.25 Last 10 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)2.57
Last 15 game: 1 Win 7 Lost   (GF)1.88 – (GA)3.25 Last 15 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)2.57
Situations (Dallas Stars) Situations (Pittsburgh Penguins)
Coming off a road favorite lost (CLB) Coming off a home underdog win (COL)
Coming off a 4 game losing streak Coming off a 4 game winning streak
Coming off 4 unders Coming off 1 under
Scored 2 or less goals FOR in last game Scored 3 or more goals FOR in last game
Scored 3 or more goals AGAINST in last game Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 3 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 3 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 1 goal loss Coming off a 1 goal win
Coming off 2 game road stand Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When DALLAS team played as a Road team – During the month of October – Coming off a 2 game Road stand 12-2-0 9-5 8-5-1
When DALLAS team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Before a non division game – After a non division game – Coming off a Road loss as a Favorite – Scored 2 or less goals FOR in their last game 13-2-1 10-3 8-7-1
Query ATS SU O/U
When PITTSBURGH team played as a home team – Last 3 years – Coming off 1 under – Coming off a 1 goal win 2-8-0 8-2 3-5-2
When PITTSBURGH team played as a home team – Last 5 years – Coming off a 1 goal win – Coming off 1 under 5-11-0 14-2 5-9-2

What is the Raymond Report?

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