Detroit Red Wings (6.5) vs. Edmonton Oilers (-200) Preview & Prediction (10/18/2019)

The Detroit Red Wings will be on the road in Edmonton on Friday taking the ice against the Oilers at Rogers Place. Detroit will be looking to bounce back from a 1-5 loss in Calgary on Thursday. The Oilers will be looking for back-to-back wins following a 6-3 victory over the Philadelphia Flyers on Wednesday.

The Detroit Red Wings will be looking to put the brakes on a three-game skid following a 1-5 loss to the Flames in Calgary Thursday night. Detroit was outshot 28-37 in the game and was held to just 25 wins on 52 faceoffs. The Red Wings were given two power-play opportunities in the game but failed to put the puck in the net on either of them. They gave up two goals while skating shorthanded on five different occasions. Detroit had 23 blocked shots to go with four takeaways in the game.

The Red Wings have been held to an average of just 2.83 goals per game this season while giving up 3.50 to their opponents. They have been good for an average of 30.2 shots per night while allowing 33.5 to the defensive end of the ice. Detroit has two power-play goals this year for an 11.1 conversion rate and a 72.2 penalty kill percentage.

The Edmonton Oilers are now 6-1-0 after getting the best of the Philadelphia Flyers 6-3 on Wednesday night. The Oilers were outshot 52-22 in the game with both teams winning 31 faceoffs. Edmonton was able to put the puck in the net on both of their power-play opportunities while giving up two goals while skating a man down on six different occasions. Edmonton was good for 19 blocked shots and 10 takeaways in the game.

The Oilers have been able to find the net for an average of four goals per game this season while giving up 2.71 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 25.6 shots per game while allowing 33.0 on the defensive end of the ice. Edmonton has 10 power-play goals on the year for a 45.5 conversion rate to go along with an 88.5 penalty kill percentage.

The Oilers will be heavy favorites in this game and I look for them to dominate the WIngs in every aspect of the game. Detroit flat struggled in Calgary on Thursday and tonight’s game isn’t going to be any easier. I’m taking Edmonton.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • Detroit is 0-4 previous four games vs. Pacific Division.
  • Detroit is 0-4 previous four games as an underdog.
  • Oilers are 4-0 previous four games vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Oilers are 7-1 previous eight overall.

Red Wings vs. Oilers Game Notes

Detroit Red Wings    ( 170 ) Vs. Edmonton Oilers Edmonton Oilers   ( -200 ) Vs. Detroit Red Wings
Detroit Red Wings (6.5) vs. Edmonton Oilers (-200) Preview & Prediction (10/18/2019)

Detroit Red Wings
O/U :6.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-18
Time: 21:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Detroit Red Wings (6.5) vs. Edmonton Oilers (-200) Preview & Prediction (10/18/2019)

Edmonton Oilers
SIDE :-200

3.25 Forecast
(O/U 6.45 )
3.2
79% C.O.W 24%
34% C.O.G.O 34%
142 DMVI -129
(B) NEUTRAL MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Detroit Red Wings Edmonton Oilers
Season Record : 3-4 Season Record : 6-1
Away Record : 2-2 Away Record : 3-1
Home Record : 1-2 Home Record : 3-0
Line : Line :
O/U : 6.5 O/U : 6.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 1 – 5 vs Calgary Flames Last game: Won 3 – 6 vs Philadelphia Flyers
SU: 22-24 ATS: 22-27-1 O/U: 19-26-5
SU: 1-5 ATS: 2-4-0 O/U: 3-3-0
Current game: vs. Edmonton Oilers Current game: vs. Detroit Red Wings
SU: 17-17 ATS: 14-25-1 O/U: 19-19-2
SU: 17-17 ATS: 25-14-1 O/U: 19-19-2
Next Game: Vs. VANCOUVER Next Game: At WINNIPEG
SU: 25-13 ATS: 24-19-0 O/U: 21-18-4
SU: 7-4 ATS: 6-5-1 O/U: 8-4-0
Days Rest : 0 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (33.3 %) ATS:  (44.4%) O/U: (61.1%)
(L) SU: (60.4%) ATS: (50%) O/U: (50%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (1-0) ATS: (1-0-0) O/U: (1-0-0)
Streaks : Streaks :
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: % Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Home Favorite: 3 Win -0 Lost   (GF)5 – (GA)3.33
Home Underdog: 1 Win -2 Lost   (GF)2.33 – (GA)3.67 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Underdog: 2 Win -2 Lost   (GF)2.75 – (GA)3.75 Road Underdog: 3 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3.5 – (GA)2.25
Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (GF)1.33 – (GA)5 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3.67 – (GA)2.33
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (GF)1.8 – (GA)4 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4 – (GA)2.4
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)2.57 – (GA)3.71 Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (GF)4.14 – (GA)2.71
Last 10 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)2.57 – (GA)3.71 Last 10 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (GF)4.14 – (GA)2.71
Last 15 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)2.57 – (GA)3.71 Last 15 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (GF)4.14 – (GA)2.71
Situations (Detroit Red Wings) Situations (Edmonton Oilers)
Coming off a road underdog lost (CAL) Coming off a home fav win (PHI)
Coming off a 3 game losing streak Coming off 1 game winning streak
Coming off 2 pushes Coming off 1 over
Scored 1 goal FOR in last game Scored 6 or more goals FOR in last game
Scored 5 or more goals AGAINST in last game Scored 3 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 5 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 3 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 1 goal FOR in last game Coming off a scored 6 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 4 goal loss Coming off a 3 goal win
Coming off 2 game road stand Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When DETROIT team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Coming off vs Western Conference opponent – Coming off a 3 game losing streak 10-1-0 7-4 5-4-2
When DETROIT team played as a Road team – Vs Non Division Opponent – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog – Coming off a 3 game losing streak 9-2-0 7-4 6-2-3
When DETROIT team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Non Division Opponent – After a non conference game – Coming off a 2 game Road stand 8-2-0 7-3 2-8-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When EDMONTON team played as a home team – Last 4 years – Allowed 3 goals AGAINST in their last game – Coming off 1 over 1-10-0 7-4 1-10-0

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