Minnesota Wild (5.5) vs. Anaheim Ducks (-140) Preview & Prediction (11/05/2019)

The Minnesota Wild will be on the road Tuesday taking the ice against the Ducks at the Honda Center in Anaheim. Minnesota will be looking to end a three-game skid after losing 3-4 at home against the St. Louis Blues on Saturday. The Ducks will be looking for their third win in four games after losing 2-3 at home against the Chicago Blackhawks on Sunday.

The Minnesota Wild are now 4-9-1 following a 3-4 loss in overtime at home against the St. Louis Blues their last time on the ice. The Wild were outshot 23-29 in the game but managed to win 36 of 59 faceoffs. Minnesota was able to find the back of the net on one of their two power-play opportunities and managed to defend the net each of the three times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 17 blocked shots and three takeaways in the game.

The Wild have been good for an average of 2.36 goals per game this season while giving up 3.50 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 29.0 shots per game while allowing 30.4 on the defensive end of the ice. Minnesota has scored nine power-play goals for a 19.1 conversion rate to go with an 82.2 penalty kill percentage.

The Anaheim Ducks are now 9-6-1 on the season following a 2-3 loss in overtime at home against the Chicago Blackhawks on Sunday. Anaheim was able to outshot Chicago 38-37 in the game and was able to win 33 of 61 faceoffs. The Ducks were able to score a goal on one of their four power-play opportunities but gave the goal back one of the five times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 18 blocked shots and two takeaways in the game.

Anaheim has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 2.69 goals per game for the season while giving up 2.44 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 28.3 shots per game while allowing 32.9 on the defensive end of the ice. They have four power-play goals this season for a 10.0 conversion rate to go with an 81.4 penalty kill percentage.

Anaheim will take the ice on Tuesday as -140 favorites with the total sitting at five and a half. I’m liking the Ducks to get the win in this one. They have been able to score more goals per game and have been better when it comes to defending the net. The only thing that concerns me is the amount of time Anaheim spends per game in the penalty box. That being said, they have been able to score a total of three shorthanded goals this season. I like the edge playing at home gives them. My money is on the Ducks.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • Minnesota is 1-10 in their previous 11 games on the road.
  • Minnesota is 0-4 in their previous four games playing on two days of rest.
  • Anaheim is 9-2 in their previous 11 games at home.
  • Anaheim is 12-4 in their last 16 games after scoring two goals or less in the previous game.

 

Minnesota Wild    ( 120 ) Vs. Anaheim Ducks Anaheim Ducks   ( -140 ) Vs. Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild (5.5) vs. Anaheim Ducks (-140) Preview & Prediction (11/05/2019)

Minnesota Wild
O/U :5.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-05
Time: 22:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Minnesota Wild (5.5) vs. Anaheim Ducks (-140) Preview & Prediction (11/05/2019)

Anaheim Ducks
SIDE :-140

2.53 Forecast
(O/U 5.63 )
3.1
86% C.O.W 39%
50% C.O.G.O 50%
152 DMVI 115
(C) NEUTRAL MVI (A) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Minnesota Wild Anaheim Ducks
Season Record : 4-10 Season Record : 9-7
Away Record : 1-8 Away Record : 3-5
Home Record : 3-2 Home Record : 6-2
Line : Line :
O/U : 5.5 O/U : 5.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 4 – 3 vs St Louis Blues Last game: Lost 3 – 2 vs Chicago Blackhawks
SU: 17-19 ATS: 18-18-0 O/U: 19-12-5
SU: 22-15 ATS: 16-21-0 O/U: 16-14-7
Current game: vs. Anaheim Ducks Current game: vs. Minnesota Wild
SU: 14-24 ATS: 21-17-0 O/U: 13-18-7
SU: 24-14 ATS: 17-21-0 O/U: 13-18-7
Next Game: At SAN JOSE Next Game: Vs. EDMONTON
SU: 10-21 ATS: 18-14-0 O/U: 17-13-2
SU: 17-11 ATS: 13-19-4 O/U: 15-17-4
Days Rest : 2 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (55.6 %) ATS:  (63.9%) O/U: (52.8%)
(L) SU: (56.7%) ATS: (50%) O/U: (49%)
(T) SU: (0-1) ATS: (0-1-0) O/U: (1-0-0)
(T) SU: (4-2) ATS: (4-2-0) O/U: (3-3-0)
Streaks : Streaks :
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: % Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 3 Win -2 Lost   (GF)3.8 – (GA)3 Home Favorite: 5 Win -2 Lost   (GF)3.14 – (GA)2
Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)2
Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)0 Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)1
Road Underdog: 0 Win -8 Lost   (GF)1.5 – (GA)4.25 Road Underdog: 2 Win -5 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)3.14
Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (GF)2.33 – (GA)4 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3.67 – (GA)2.67
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (GF)2.4 – (GA)3.4 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (GF)3.6 – (GA)3
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)2.71 – (GA)2.86 Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)2.86 – (GA)3.29
Last 10 game: 4 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2.3 – (GA)2.8 Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)2.9
Last 15 game: 4 Win 10 Lost   (GF)2.36 – (GA)3.5 Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (GF)2.73 – (GA)2.53
Situations (Minnesota Wild) Situations (Anaheim Ducks)
Coming off a home fav lost (STL) Coming off a home fav lost (CHI)
Coming off a 3 game losing streak Coming off a 1 game losing streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 2 unders
Scored 3 or less goals FOR in last game Scored 2 or less goals FOR in last game
Scored 4 or more goals AGAINST in last game Scored 3 or more goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 4 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 3 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 3 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 1 goal loss Coming off 3 game home stand
Coming off 2 days off Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When MINNESOTA team played as a Road team – Vs Non Division Opponent – playing on Tuesday – Coming off 1 over 9-2-0 9-2 5-6-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NHL Team Played as Home team as a Favorite – before a division game – Last 5 years – Coming off a 3 game Home stand – Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite 14-17-0 26-5 17-12-2

 

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