Montreal Canadiens (6) vs. Minnesota Wild (-120) Preview (10/20/2019)

The Montreal Canadiens will be on the road Sunday in Minnesota taking the ice against the Wild at Xcel Energy Center. Montreal will be looking for a third consecutive win after coming out on top 5-2 in St. Louis against the Blues on Saturday.

 

The Wild will be looking to put the brakes on a two-game skid after falling 4-0 in Montreal on Thursday. They will need to get something going on the offensive end of the ice if they want to get the win at home.

 

The Canadiens were able to win 5-2 in St. Louis on Saturday. Montreal was outshot 25-34 in the game and only managed to win 24 of 59 faceoffs. Still, they did enough to get the win. They were able to put the puck in the net on two of their five power-play opportunities. The Canadiens were able to defend the net each of the three times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 11 blocked shots and nine takeaways in the game.

 

On the season, Montreal has been able to put the puck in the net for an average of 3.57 goals per game while giving up 3.29 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 35.0 shots per game while allowing 31.6 on the defensive end of the ice. The Canadiens have six power-play goals for a 23.1 conversion rate. Defensively, they have a 69.6 penalty kill percentage.

 

The Minnesota Wild have now dropped two games in a row after falling 4-0 against the Canadiens in Montreal last Thursday. The Wild were outshot 17-33 in the game with both teams winning 33 faceoffs. Minnesota was unable to score on any of their five power-play opportunities and allowed the Canadiens to score a goal one of the five times Minnesota skated shorthanded. The WIld had 14 blocked shots and seven takeaways in the game.

 

The Wild have been able to find the net for an average of 2.00 goals per game this season while giving up 4.14 to their opponents. They are firing an average of 32.0 shots per night while allowing 32.0 on the defensive end of the ice. Minnesota has three power-play goals on the year for a 12.0 conversion rate to go with a 77.8 penalty kill percentage.

 

The Canadiens have been solid on the offensive end of the ice this season. The Wild have struggled to keep anyone out of the net. Add on the fact Minnesota spends an average of 16 more minutes in the penalty box a game and I like Montreal getting the win on the road in this one.

 NHL Stats and Trends

  • Canadiens are 4-0 previous four games overall.
  • Canadiens are 8-0 previous eight games vs. Central Division.
  • Canadiens are 7-2 last nine games after allowing two goals or less in the previous game.
  • Wild is 1-5 previous six vs. Eastern Conference.

 

 

Montreal Canadiens -1.5   ( 100 ) Vs. Minnesota Wild Minnesota Wild 1.5  ( -120 ) Vs. Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens

Montreal Canadiens
O/U :6

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-20
Time: 17:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Minnesota Wild

Minnesota Wild
SIDE :-120

3.59 Forecast
(O/U 5.93 )
2.34
42% C.O.W 76%
59% C.O.G.O 59%
-103 DMVI 109
(C) NEUTRAL MVI (C) BEARISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Montreal Canadiens Minnesota Wild
Season Record : 3-4 Season Record : 1-6
Away Record : 1-2 Away Record : 1-5
Home Record : 2-2 Home Record : 0-1
Line : -1.5 Line : 1.5
O/U : 6 O/U : 6
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 5 – 2 vs St Louis Blues Last game: Lost 0 – 4 vs Montreal Canadiens
SU: 8-12 ATS: 8-12-0 O/U: 9-10-1
SU: 4-4 ATS: 4-4-0 O/U: 1-7-0
Current game: vs. Minnesota Wild Current game: vs. Montreal Canadiens
SU: 3-8 ATS: 6-5-0 O/U: 8-3-0
SU: 8-3 ATS: 5-6-0 O/U: 8-3-0
Next Game: Vs. SAN JOSE Next Game: Vs. EDMONTON
SU: 6-4 ATS: 7-3-1 O/U: 5-5-1
SU: 19-9 ATS: 18-13-0 O/U: 12-13-6
Days Rest : 0 (Road) Days Rest : 2 (Home)
(L) SU:  (39.1 %) ATS:  (52.2%) O/U: (56.5%)
(L) SU: (56%) ATS: (40%) O/U: (56%)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : 2 SU Win – 2 ATS Win – 1 Over Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 2 ATS Lost – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 40.82% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02%
Home Favorite: 1 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)2 Home Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)7
Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3.5 – (GA)3 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)0
Road Underdog: 1 Win -2 Lost   (GF)4.33 – (GA)4.67 Road Underdog: 0 Win -5 Lost   (GF)1.6 – (GA)4.4
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3.33 – (GA)1.67 Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (GF)1.33 – (GA)2.67
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (GF)3.6 – (GA)2.4 Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (GF)2 – (GA)4
Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)3.14 Last 7 game: 1 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)4.14
Last 10 game: 4 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.88 – (GA)3.25 Last 10 game: 1 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)4.14
Last 15 game: 4 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.88 – (GA)3.25 Last 15 game: 1 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)4.14
Situations (Montreal Canadiens) Situations (Minnesota Wild)
Coming off a road underdog win (STL) Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (MTL)
Coming off a 2 game winning streak Coming off a road underdog lost
Coming off 1 over Coming off a 2 game losing streak
Scored 5 or more goals FOR in last game Coming off 1 under
Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game Scored 0 or less goals FOR in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game Scored 4 or more goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 5 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 4 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a 3 goal win Coming off a scored 0 goals FOR in last game
Back to back games Coming off 3 game road stand
3 game in 4 nights Coming off 2 days off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NHL Team Played as Home team as a Underdog – Total is 6.0 – Last 4 years – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog – Coming off a 3 game Road stand 20-4-0 13-11 15-5-4

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