New Jersey Devils (6) vs. Montreal Canadiens (-170) Preview & Prediction (11/28/2019)

The New Jersey Devils will be on the road on Thanksgiving taking the ice against the Canadiens at the Bell Centre in Montreal. The Devils will be looking for their second win in three games following a 2-3 loss at home against the Minnesota Wild. The Canadiens will be looking to snap a losing streak after losing 1-8 at home against the Boston Bruins their last time on the ice.

The New Jersey Devils are now 8-11-4 on the season following a 2-3 loss at home against the Minnesota Wild. The Devils were able to outshoot Minnesota 34-29 while winning just 28 of 64 faceoffs. New Jersey was able to score a goal on one of their power-play opportunities while defending the net three of the four times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 11 blocked shots and six takeaways in the game.

The Devils have been good for an average of 2.52 goals per game this season while giving up 3.43 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 29.9 shots per game while allowing 30.1 on the defensive end of the ice. New Jersey has scored 12 power-play goals for a 14.6 conversion rate to go with a 77.2 penalty kill percentage.

The Montreal Canadiens are now 11-8-5 following a 1-8 loss at home against the Boston Bruins. Montreal was able to outshoot Boston 37-24 with both teams winning 29 faceoffs. The Canadiens were unable to score on either of their two power-play opportunities and gave up a goal both of the times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 12 blocked shots and 11 takeaways in the game.

Montreal has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 3.29 goals per game for the season while giving up 3.42 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 34.4 shots per game while allowing 31.9 on the defensive end of the ice. They have 14 power-play goals this season for an 18.9 conversion rate to go with a 71.6 penalty kill percentage.

Montreal will take the ice as -153 favorites with the Devils skating in as 133 underdogs. The total is sitting at six on the game. I’m liking the total going over six in this game. Both teams are giving up around three and a half goals per game.

The Canadiens are scoring around a goal more per game but I think both of these teams will be more aggressive skating with the puck facing a struggling defense. Also, both of these teams have struggled this season defending the net on the penalty kill. My money’s on the total going over.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • The over is 4-1 in New Jersey’s previous five games vs. the Atlantic division.
  • The over is 7-3-1 in New Jersey’s previous 11 games vs. the Eastern Conference.
  • The over is 4-0 in Montreal’s previous four games vs. the Metropolitan division.
  • The over is 5-1 in Montreal’s previous six games.
New Jersey Devils    ( 147 ) Vs. Montreal Canadiens Montreal Canadiens   ( -170 ) Vs. New Jersey Devils
New Jersey Devils (6) vs. Montreal Canadiens (-170) Preview & Prediction (11/28/2019)

New Jersey Devils
O/U :6

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-28
Time: 19:35:00

Generated from
Previous Games
New Jersey Devils (6) vs. Montreal Canadiens (-170) Preview & Prediction (11/28/2019)

Montreal Canadiens
SIDE :-170

2.53 Forecast
(O/U 5.67 )
3.14
66% C.O.W 77%
55% C.O.G.O 55%
134 DMVI -109
(C) NEUTRAL MVI (C) BEARISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
New Jersey Devils Montreal Canadiens
Season Record : 8-15 Season Record : 11-13
Away Record : 4-6 Away Record : 5-6
Home Record : 4-9 Home Record : 6-7
Line : Line :
O/U : 6 O/U : 6
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 3 – 2 vs Minnesota Wild Last game: Lost 8 – 1 vs Boston Bruins
SU: 6-8 ATS: 7-7-0 O/U: 6-7-1
SU: 47-36 ATS: 41-43-1 O/U: 37-40-8
Current game: vs. Montreal Canadiens Current game: vs. New Jersey Devils
SU: 26-16 ATS: 28-15-1 O/U: 13-26-5
SU: 16-26 ATS: 15-28-1 O/U: 13-26-5
Next Game: Vs. NY RANGERS Next Game: Vs. PHILADELPHIA
SU: 23-24 ATS: 23-27-1 O/U: 20-29-2
SU: 22-16 ATS: 16-24-0 O/U: 18-17-5
Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (41.2 %) ATS:  (55.1%) O/U: (49.2%)
(L) SU: (57.8%) ATS: (46.1%) O/U: (51.5%)
(T) SU: (1-2) ATS: (1-2-0) O/U: (1-2-0)
(T) SU: (4-0) ATS: (3-1-0) O/U: (2-2-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Under Streaks : 5 SU Lost – 5 ATS Lost – 2 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 46.94% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 57.14%
Home Favorite: 3 Win -6 Lost   (GF)3.11 – (GA)3.11 Home Favorite: 5 Win -5 Lost   (GF)3.3 – (GA)3
Home Underdog: 1 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.25 – (GA)4.75 Home Underdog: 1 Win -2 Lost   (GF)2.67 – (GA)4.67
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Road Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)5
Road Underdog: 4 Win -6 Lost   (GF)1.8 – (GA)3.5 Road Underdog: 5 Win -5 Lost   (GF)3.8 – (GA)3.4
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (GF)2.67 – (GA)2.67 Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (GF)2.33 – (GA)5.33
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (GF)2.6 – (GA)3.2 Last 5 game: 0 Win 5 Lost    (GF)2.4 – (GA)5
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)2.43 – (GA)3 Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (GF)2.86 – (GA)4.14
Last 10 game: 4 Win 6 Lost   (GF)2.1 – (GA)3.1 Last 10 game: 4 Win 6 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)3.8
Last 15 game: 6 Win 9 Lost   (GF)2.67 – (GA)3.4 Last 15 game: 7 Win 8 Lost   (GF)3.13 – (GA)3.53
Situations (New Jersey Devils) Situations (Montreal Canadiens)
Coming off a home fav lost (MIN) Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (BOS)
Coming off a 1 game losing streak Coming off a home underdog lost
Coming off 1 under Coming off a 5 or more game losing streak
Scored 2 or less goals FOR in last game Coming off 2 overs
Scored 3 or more goals AGAINST in last game Scored 1 goal FOR in last game
Coming off a scored 3 goals AGAINST in last game Scored 8 or more goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 8 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a 1 goal loss Coming off a scored 1 goal FOR in last game
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off 3 game home stand
Coming off 1 day off Coming off a Division sandwich
Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When NEW JERSEY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – playing on Thursday – Coming off a 2 game Home stand 8-6-0 7-7 8-2-4
When NEW JERSEY team played as a Road team – Before a conference game – Last 5 years – Coming off a 1 goal loss – Scored 2 or less goals FOR in their last game 8-2-0 4-6 4-5-1
When NEW JERSEY team Played as Road team as a Underdog – playing on Thursday – Last 5 years – Coming off 1 under 13-3-0 6-10 7-4-5
Query ATS SU O/U

 

 

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