New York Islanders (-210) vs. Detroit Red Wings (5.5) Preview & Prediction (12/02/2019)

The New York Islanders will be on the road Monday taking the ice against the Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit. The Islanders will be looking for back-to-back wins after beating the Columbus Blue Jackets at home 2-0 on Saturday. The Red Wings will look to end their losing streak following a 2-5 loss at home against the Washington Capitals their last time on the ice.

The New York Islanders are now 17-5-2 on the season following a 2-0 win at home against the Columbus Blue Jackets. The Islanders were outshot 27-39 in the game while winning just 19 of 44 faceoffs. New York didn’t have a power-play opportunity in the game but they were able to defend the net the one time they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 14 blocked shots and 10 takeaways in the game.

The Islanders have been good for an average of 2.88 goals per game this season while giving up 2.42 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 28.3 shots per game while allowing 31.1 on the defensive end of the ice. New York has scored 10 power-play goals for an 18.2 conversion rate to go with an 83.6 penalty kill percentage.

The Detroit Red Wings are now 7-19-3 following a 2-5 loss at home against the Washington Capitals. Detroit was outshot 27-34 in the game while winning 34 of 61 faceoffs. The Red Wings were able to score a goal on one of their four power-play opportunities while defending the net two of the three times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 10 blocked shots and three takeaways in the game.

Detroit has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 2.14 goals per game for the season while giving up 3.93 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 29.1 shots per game while allowing 32.7 on the defensive end of the ice. They have 12 power-play goals this season for a 13.6 conversion rate to go with a 72.2 penalty kill percentage.

The Islanders will take the ice as -205 favorites with the Red Wings skating in as 172 underdogs in this one. The total is sitting at five and a half for the game. I’m liking the total to go over, here. Detroit is giving up just under four goals a game while finding the net for an average of two goals per night themselves.

The Islanders are coming off a win at home, but they were just beaten up pretty bad on a road trip. If they want to be viewed as a serious contender in the Eastern Conference, New York has to show that they can win on the road. I think they come out ready to impress on Monday night. My money’s on the Islanders doing most of the work in taking the total over five and a half.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • The total has gone over in five of the Islanders’ previous six games following a win.
  • The total has gone over in four of the Islanders’ previous five games vs. the Eastern Conference.
  • The over is 3-0-1 in Detroit’s previous four games on one day of rest.
  • The over is 3-1-1 in Detroit’s previous five games following a loss of at least three goals.
New York Islanders    ( -210 ) Vs. Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings   ( 176 ) Vs. New York Islanders
New York Islanders (-210) vs. Detroit Red Wings (5.5) Preview & Prediction (12/02/2019)

New York Islanders
SIDE :-210

Vs.
Date: 2019-12-02
Time: 19:35:00

Generated from
Previous Games
New York Islanders (-210) vs. Detroit Red Wings (5.5) Preview & Prediction (12/02/2019)

Detroit Red Wings
O/U :5.5

2.65 Forecast
(O/U 5.37 )
2.72
48% C.O.W 88%
58% C.O.G.O 58%
-161 DMVI 162
(A) NEUTRAL MVI (C) BEARISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
New York Islanders Detroit Red Wings
Season Record : 17-7 Season Record : 7-22
Away Record : 6-4 Away Record : 3-12
Home Record : 11-3 Home Record : 4-10
Line : Line :
O/U : 5.5 O/U : 5.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 0 – 2 vs Columbus Blue Jackets Last game: Lost 5 – 2 vs Washington Capitals
SU: 7-4 ATS: 8-3-0 O/U: 5-5-1
SU: 14-6 ATS: 13-7-0 O/U: 5-9-6
Current game: vs. Detroit Red Wings Current game: vs. New York Islanders
SU: 9-10 ATS: 9-10-0 O/U: 8-10-1
SU: 10-9 ATS: 10-9-0 O/U: 8-10-1
Next Game: At MONTREAL Next Game: Vs. PITTSBURGH
SU: 7-18 ATS: 10-16-2 O/U: 17-8-3
SU: 12-4 ATS: 9-10-0 O/U: 11-8-0
Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (40.8 %) ATS:  (55.2%) O/U: (48.8%)
(L) SU: (58.2%) ATS: (45.9%) O/U: (51.4%)
(T) SU: (1-3) ATS: (1-3-0) O/U: (0-4-0)
(T) SU: (3-5) ATS: (4-4-0) O/U: (3-5-0)
Streaks : 3 SU Lost – 4 ATS Lost – 3 Under Streaks : 8 SU Lost – 4 ATS Lost – 1 Over
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 57.14%
Home Favorite: 8 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.36 – (GA)2.45 Home Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)4
Home Underdog: 3 Win -0 Lost   (GF)3.33 – (GA)1.67 Home Underdog: 4 Win -9 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)3.62
Road Favorite: 2 Win -3 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)2.8 Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Underdog: 4 Win -1 Lost   (GF)2.8 – (GA)2.4 Road Underdog: 3 Win -12 Lost   (GF)2.2 – (GA)4.27
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (GF)1 – (GA)2.33 Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (GF)1 – (GA)5.67
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (GF)1.6 – (GA)2.4 Last 5 game: 0 Win 5 Lost    (GF)0.8 – (GA)4.8
Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)2.43 – (GA)2.71 Last 7 game: 0 Win 7 Lost   (GF)1.57 – (GA)4.71
Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (GF)2.7 – (GA)2.8 Last 10 game: 1 Win 9 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)4.3
Last 15 game: 11 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.07 – (GA)2.4 Last 15 game: 3 Win 12 Lost   (GF)1.93 – (GA)4.13
Situations (New York Islanders) Situations (Detroit Red Wings)
Coming off a home fav win (CLB) Coming off a home underdog lost (WAS)
Coming off 1 game winning streak Coming off a 9 game losing streak
Coming off 4 unders Coming off 2 overs
Scored 2 or more goals FOR in last game Scored 2 or less goals FOR in last game
Scored 0 or less goals AGAINST in last game Scored 5 or more goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 0 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 5 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 2 goal win 3 game in 4 nights
Coming off 1 day off Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NHL Team Played as Road team as a Favorite – Vs Conference Opponent – Last 4 years – Allowed 0 or less goals AGAINST in their last game – Scored 2 or more goals FOR in their last game 13-9-0 20-2 9-10-3
Query ATS SU O/U
When DETROIT team played as a home team – With 1 day off – After a conference game – Allowed 5 goals AGAINST in their last game 11-5-0 13-3 7-8-1

 

 

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