New York Islanders (6) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (-130) Preview & Prediction (11/19/2019)

The New York Islanders will be on the road Tuesday taking the ice against the Penguins at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh. The Islanders will be looking for a fourth consecutive win after beating the Flyers 4-3 in Philadelphia on Saturday. The Penguins will be looking for back-to-back wins after a 6-1 win at home against the Toronto Maple Leafs their last time on the ice.

The New York Islanders are now 14-3-1 on the season following a 3-4 shootout win in Philadelphia against the Flyers. The Islanders were able to outshoot Philadelphia 36-31 in the game while winning 26 of 49 faceoffs. New York was able to score a goal on one of their three power-play opportunities while defending the net two of the three times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 13 blocked shots and five takeaways in the game.

The Islanders have been good for an average of 3.11 goals per game this season while giving up 2.33 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 28.2 shots per game while allowing 31.7 on the defensive end of the ice. New York has scored eight power-play goals for a 23.5 conversion rate to go with an 84.6 penalty kill percentage.

The Pittsburgh Penguins are now 11-7-2 following a 6-1 win at home against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Pittsburgh was able to outshoot Toronto 38-33 in the game but only managed to win 18 of 57 faceoffs. The Penguins were able to light up the lantern on their only power-play opportunity while defending the net both of the times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 17 blocked shots and 10 takeaways in the game.

Pittsburgh has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 3.30 goals per game for the season while giving up 2.50 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 34.8 shots per game while allowing 28.9 on the defensive end of the ice. They have eight power-play goals this season for a 14.5 conversion rate to go with an 89.1 penalty kill percentage.

The Penguins will take the ice on Tuesday as -130 favorites while the Islanders skate into the game as +110 underdogs. The total is sitting at six on the game. Every week it becomes more and more difficult to bet against the Islanders. As much as I like the payback on New York as an underdog, I like the total staying under six in this one. Both teams have been able to hold their opponents under two and a half goals per game and they both are solid defending the net with a man in the box. I look at this being a low scoring game.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • The under is 20-5-1 in the slanders previous 26 games as a +110 to +150 underdog.
  • The under is 6-0 in Pittsburgh’s previous six home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage over .600.
  • The under is 6-1-1 in Pittsburgh’s last eight games after scoring at least five goals in the previous game.
New York Islanders    ( 110 ) Vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins   ( -130 ) Vs. New York Islanders
New York Islanders (6) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (-130) Preview & Prediction (11/19/2019)

New York Islanders
O/U :6

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-19
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
New York Islanders (6) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (-130) Preview & Prediction (11/19/2019)

Pittsburgh Penguins
SIDE :-130

2.81 Forecast
(O/U 6.11 )
3.3
11% C.O.W 56%
52% C.O.G.O 52%
-144 DMVI -112
(A) BULLISH MVI (B) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
New York Islanders Pittsburgh Penguins
Season Record : 14-4 Season Record : 11-9
Away Record : 5-1 Away Record : 4-5
Home Record : 9-3 Home Record : 7-4
Line : Line :
O/U : 6 O/U : 6
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 4 – 3 vs Philadelphia Flyers Last game: Won 1 – 6 vs Toronto Maple Leafs
SU: 29-29 ATS: 37-21-0 O/U: 21-33-4
SU: 20-15 ATS: 16-24-0 O/U: 13-23-4
Current game: vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Current game: vs. New York Islanders
SU: 23-39 ATS: 34-31-0 O/U: 37-24-4
SU: 39-23 ATS: 31-34-0 O/U: 37-24-4
Next Game: Vs. PITTSBURGH Next Game: At NY ISLANDERS
SU: 16-25 ATS: 21-20-0 O/U: 22-18-1
SU: 32-25 ATS: 28-29-1 O/U: 34-21-3
Days Rest : 2 (Road) Days Rest : 2 (Home)
(L) SU:  (53.1 %) ATS:  (56.3%) O/U: (56.3%)
(L) SU: (61.8%) ATS: (47.4%) O/U: (48.7%)
(T) SU: (2-1) ATS: (1-2-0) O/U: (2-1-0)
(T) SU: (2-1) ATS: (2-1-0) O/U: (1-2-0)
Streaks : Streaks :
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: % Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 6 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.44 – (GA)2.67 Home Favorite: 6 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.56 – (GA)2
Home Underdog: 3 Win -0 Lost   (GF)3.33 – (GA)1.67 Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (GF)1.5 – (GA)2.5
Road Favorite: 2 Win -0 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)2.5 Road Favorite: 0 Win -2 Lost   (GF)1.5 – (GA)2.5
Road Underdog: 3 Win -1 Lost   (GF)2.25 – (GA)2 Road Underdog: 4 Win -3 Lost   (GF)4.14 – (GA)3.14
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (GF)3.67 – (GA)2.67 Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (GF)3 – (GA)2
Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3.6 – (GA)2.6 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (GF)3.2 – (GA)2.2
Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (GF)3.43 – (GA)2.14 Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)2.71
Last 10 game: 9 Win 1 Lost   (GF)3.7 – (GA)2.2 Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (GF)3.3 – (GA)2.3
Last 15 game: 13 Win 2 Lost   (GF)3.4 – (GA)2.27 Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (GF)3.27 – (GA)2.4
Situations (New York Islanders) Situations (Pittsburgh Penguins)
Coming off a road favorite win (PHI) Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (TOR)
Coming off a 3 game winning streak Coming off a home fav win
Coming off 2 overs Coming off 1 game winning streak
Scored 4 or more goals FOR in last game Coming off 1 over
Scored 3 or less goals AGAINST in last game Scored 6 or more goals FOR in last game
Coming off a scored 3 goals AGAINST in last game Scored 1 goal AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 4 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 1 goal AGAINST in last game
Coming off a 1 goal win Coming off a scored 6 goals FOR in last game
Coming off 2 days off Coming off a 5 goal win
Coming off 2 days off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
Query ATS SU O/U
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Vs Eastern conference opponent – With 2 days off – Allowed 1 goals AGAINST in their last game 7-9-1 13-3 6-8-3
When PITTSBURGH team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 5 years – playing on Tuesday – Coming off 1 over 6-5-0 9-2 4-6-1

 

 

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