New York Rangers (6.5) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-260) Preview & Prediction (11/14/2019)

The New York Rangers will be on the road Thursday taking the ice against the Lightning at Amalie Arena in Tampa. New York will be looking for back-to-back wins following a 3-2 win at home against the Pittsburgh Penguins on Tuesday. The Lightning will be looking for a third consecutive win after beating the Buffalo Sabres 5-3 on Saturday.

The New York Rangers are now 8-6-2 on the season following a 3-2 win at home against the Pittsburgh Penguins in overtime. The Rangers were outshot 27-32 in the game while losing the faceoff battle 22-23. New York was unable to score a goal on either of their two power-play opportunities but defended the net two of the three times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 18 blocked shots and 10 takeaways in the game.

The Rangers have been good for an average of 3.38 goals per game this season while giving up 3.25 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 29.4 shots per game while allowing 35.9 on the defensive end of the ice. New York has scored 13 power-play goals for a 23.2 conversion rate to go with a 79.7 penalty kill percentage.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are now 8-5-2 on the year following a 5-3 win against the Buffalo Sabres. Tampa Bay was outshot 40-43 in the game while winning 37 of 73 faceoffs. The Lightning were able to score a goal on two of their three power-play opportunities while defending the net both of the times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 18 blocked shots and four takeaways in the game.

Tampa Bay has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 3.40 goals per game for the season while giving up 3.47 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 317 shots per game while allowing 34.7 on the defensive end of the ice. The Lightning have 11 power-play goals this season for a 26.2 conversion rate to go with a 75.0 penalty kill percentage.

The Lightning will take the ice as -260 favorites in this one with the total sitting at six and a half. I’m liking the total going over in this one. Both teams are putting the puck in the net for around three and a half goals per game while giving up about the same number on the defensive end of the ice. Both of these teams spend a ton of time in the penalty box and they have both had difficulties at times defending the net with a man in the box. I like the total going over six and a half.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • The over is 4-1 in Tampa’s previous five games following a win.
  • The over is 5-1 in Tampa’s previous six games played on a Thursday.
  • The Over is 6-2 in Tampa’s last eight after scoring at least five goals in the previous game.
  • The over is 11-4 in Tampa’s previous 15 games vs. Metropolitan Division.
New York Rangers    ( 215 ) Vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning   ( -260 ) Vs. New York Rangers
New York Rangers (6.5) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-260) Preview & Prediction (11/14/2019)

New York Rangers
O/U :6.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-14
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
New York Rangers (6.5) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-260) Preview & Prediction (11/14/2019)

Tampa Bay Lightning
SIDE :-260

2.82 Forecast
(O/U 6.52 )
3.7
42% C.O.W 40%
49% C.O.G.O 49%
143 DMVI -133
(B) BULLISH MVI (B) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
New York Rangers Tampa Bay Lightning
Season Record : 8-8 Season Record : 8-7
Away Record : 3-2 Away Record : 5-5
Home Record : 5-6 Home Record : 3-2
Line : Line :
O/U : 6.5 O/U : 6.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 2 – 3 vs Pittsburgh Penguins Last game: Won 3 – 5 vs Buffalo Sabres
SU: 34-27 ATS: 32-29-0 O/U: 30-27-4
SU: 21-10 ATS: 15-16-0 O/U: 18-13-0
Current game: vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Current game: vs. New York Rangers
SU: 19-23 ATS: 24-19-1 O/U: 26-15-3
SU: 23-19 ATS: 19-24-1 O/U: 26-15-3
Next Game: At FLORIDA Next Game: Vs. WINNIPEG
SU: 25-18 ATS: 25-19-2 O/U: 22-20-4
SU: 21-13 ATS: 16-19-0 O/U: 13-20-2
Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 4 (Home)
(L) SU:  (41.5 %) ATS:  (53.1%) O/U: (48.5%)
(L) SU: (55.6%) ATS: (77.8%) O/U: (77.8%)
(T) SU: (1-0) ATS: (1-0-0) O/U: (0-1-0)
(T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-0) O/U: (0-0-0)
Streaks : Streaks :
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: % Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 2 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.2 – (GA)3.6 Home Favorite: 3 Win -2 Lost   (GF)3.4 – (GA)3.2
Home Underdog: 3 Win -3 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)3.5 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Favorite: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)1 Road Favorite: 3 Win -5 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)3.75
Road Underdog: 2 Win -2 Lost   (GF)2.5 – (GA)3.25 Road Underdog: 2 Win -0 Lost   (GF)5.5 – (GA)3
Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4 – (GA)3.33 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3.33 – (GA)3.33
Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (GF)3.8 – (GA)3.4 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (GF)3.6 – (GA)4
Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (GF)3.57 – (GA)2.71 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3.29 – (GA)3.57
Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.7 – (GA)3.1 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.2 – (GA)3.5
Last 15 game: 7 Win 8 Lost   (GF)3.2 – (GA)3.27 Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (GF)3.47 – (GA)3.47
Situations (New York Rangers) Situations (Tampa Bay Lightning)
Coming off a home underdog win (PIT) Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (BUF)
Coming off 1 game winning streak Coming off a home fav win
Coming off 1 under Coming off a 2 game winning streak
Scored 3 or more goals FOR in last game Coming off 1 over
Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game Scored 5 or more goals FOR in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game Scored 3 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 3 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 3 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a 1 goal win Coming off a scored 5 goals FOR in last game
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off a 2 goal win
Coming off a Division sandwich Coming off 4 days off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When NY RANGERS team Played as Road team as a Underdog – With 1 day off – Last 2 years – Coming off a 1 game win 11-2-0 7-6 5-8-0
Query ATS SU O/U
When TAMPA BAY team Played as Home team as a Favorite – Last 3 years – playing on Thursday 3-9-0 5-7 2-10-0

 

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