Philadelphia Flyers (6.5) vs. Carolina Hurricanes (-165) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

The Philadelphia Flyers will be on the road Thursday taking the ice against the Hurricanes at PNC Arena in Raleigh. The Flyers will be looking to end a four-game skid following a 5-2 loss against the Panthers in Florida their last time on the ice. The Hurricanes will be looking to make it five wins in a row after beating the Blackhawks 2-4 in Chicago on Tuesday.

The Philadelphia Flyers are now 10-7-4 on the season following a 5-2 loss against the Panthers in Florida. The Flyers were able to outshoot the Panthers 37-26 but only managed to win 23 of 48 faceoffs. Philadelphia was unable to score a goal on either of their two power-play opportunities but was able to defend the net each of the three times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 18 blocked shots and 12 takeaways in the game.

The Flyers have been good for an average of 2.86 goals per game this season while giving up 2.90 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 34.0 shots per game while allowing 28.9 on the defensive end of the ice. Philadelphia has scored 16 power-play goals for a 20.3 conversion rate to go with an 85.0 penalty kill percentage.

The Carolina Hurricanes are now 13-7-1 on the year following a 2-4 win in Chicago against the Blackhawks. Carolina was able to outshoot Chicago 33-32 while winning 33 of 62 faceoffs. The Hurricanes were unable to score a goal on their one power-play opportunity but managed to defend the net each of the three times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 23 blocked shots and 11 takeaways in the game.

Carolina has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 3.48 goals per game for the season while giving up 2.90 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 33.5 shots per game while allowing 29.3 on the defensive end of the ice. They have 15 power-play goals this season for a 23.4 conversion rate to go with an 84.0 penalty kill percentage.

The Hurricanes will take the ice on Thursday as -168 favorites with the Flyers skating in as 146 underdogs. The total is sitting at six and a half on the game. I’m liking Carolina to win at home in this one.

Both teams are giving up an average of 2.90 goals per night but the Hurricanes are averaging around a goal more per game. The Flyers have one more power-play goal but Carolina has a higher pp percentage. I think the home crowd is the difference in this game. My money’s on the Hurricanes.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • Philadelphia is 0-4 in their previous four games vs. the Eastern Conference.
  • Philadelphia is 1-5 in their last six after giving up five or more goals in the previous game.
  • Philadelphia is 4-13 in their previous 17 games as an underdog.
  • Carolina is 8-0 in their last eight games vs. an opponent who gives up five or more goals in their previous game.
Philadelphia Flyers    ( 144 ) Vs. Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes   ( -165 ) Vs. Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers (6.5) vs. Carolina Hurricanes (-165) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

Philadelphia Flyers
O/U :6.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-21
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Philadelphia Flyers (6.5) vs. Carolina Hurricanes (-165) Preview & Prediction (11/21/2019)

Carolina Hurricanes
SIDE :-165

4.42 Forecast
(O/U 8.17 )
3.75
76% C.O.W 19%
41% C.O.G.O 41%
104 DMVI -337
(C) NEUTRAL MVI (A) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Philadelphia Flyers Carolina Hurricanes
Season Record : 10-11 Season Record : 13-8
Away Record : 4-7 Away Record : 6-5
Home Record : 6-4 Home Record : 7-3
Line : Line :
O/U : 6.5 O/U : 6.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 2 – 5 vs Florida Panthers Last game: Won 4 – 2 vs Chicago Blackhawks
SU: 12-27 ATS: 12-29-1 O/U: 27-12-3
SU: 8-6 ATS: 5-9-0 O/U: 6-8-0
Current game: vs. Carolina Hurricanes Current game: vs. Philadelphia Flyers
SU: 23-15 ATS: 25-16-1 O/U: 17-23-2
SU: 15-23 ATS: 16-25-1 O/U: 17-23-2
Next Game: Vs. CALGARY Next Game: Vs. FLORIDA
SU: 5-7 ATS: 8-5-1 O/U: 7-5-2
SU: 26-21 ATS: 22-27-2 O/U: 31-18-2
Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (41.5 %) ATS:  (53.7%) O/U: (49%)
(L) SU: (57.2%) ATS: (47%) O/U: (50%)
(T) SU: (1-2) ATS: (1-2-0) O/U: (1-2-0)
(T) SU: (2-1) ATS: (2-1-0) O/U: (1-2-0)
Streaks : 4 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 2 Over Streaks : 4 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.1%
Home Favorite: 4 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3.8 – (GA)2.6 Home Favorite: 6 Win -3 Lost   (GF)4.11 – (GA)2.56
Home Underdog: 2 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.4 – (GA)2.6 Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)3
Road Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (GF)1 – (GA)2 Road Favorite: 4 Win -4 Lost   (GF)2.75 – (GA)3.13
Road Underdog: 4 Win -6 Lost   (GF)2.6 – (GA)3.7 Road Underdog: 2 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3.67 – (GA)3.33
Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (GF)2 – (GA)3.67 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (GF)4.33 – (GA)3
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (GF)2 – (GA)3 Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4.4 – (GA)3
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)2.29 – (GA)2.71 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3.57 – (GA)3.29
Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (GF)2.7 – (GA)2.7 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.7 – (GA)3.2
Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (GF)3.2 – (GA)3.07 Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (GF)3.33 – (GA)3
Situations (Philadelphia Flyers) Situations (Carolina Hurricanes)
Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (FLO) Coming off a road favorite win (CHI)
Coming off a road underdog lost Coming off a 4 game winning streak
Coming off a 4 game losing streak Coming off 1 under
Coming off 2 overs Scored 4 or more goals FOR in last game
Scored 2 or less goals FOR in last game Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Scored 5 or more goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 5 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 4 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game Coming off 3 game road stand
Coming off a 3 goal loss Coming off a 2 goal win
Coming off 1 day off Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When PHILADELPHIA team played as a Road team – Vs Eastern conference opponent – After a non division game – Coming off 2 overs 9-1-0 6-4 3-5-2
When PHILADELPHIA team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Before a non division game – During the month of November – Coming off a Road loss as a Underdog 9-2-0 7-4 5-6-0
Query ATS SU O/U

 

 

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