Philadelphia Flyers (6.5) vs. Chicago Blackhawks (-117) Preview & Prediction (10/24/2019)

The Philadelphia Flyers will be on the road in Chicago on Thursday taking the ice against the Blackhawks at the United Center. The Flyers will be looking for back-to-back wins after beating up the Las Vegas Golden Knights 6-2 on Monday. The Blackhawks will look to put an end to a two-game skid after falling 1-2 against the Golden Knights on Tuesday.

The Philadelphia Flyers are now 3-3-1 after a 6-2 win against Las Vegas their last time on the ice. Philadelphia was outshot 32-35 in the game but managed to win 34 of 60 faceoffs. They were able to put the puck in the net on two of their five power-play opportunities while giving up one goal on the five times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. Philadelphia has nine blocked shots and six takeaways in the game.

The Flyers have been good for an average of 3.00 goals per game this season while giving up 2.86 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 36.3 shots per game while allowing 27.3 on the defensive end of the ice. Philadelphia has scored eight power-play goals for a 27.6 conversion rate to go with a 75.0 penalty kill percentage.

The Chicago Blackhawks will be looking to get back in the winner’s column after losing 2-1 in a shootout against the Golden Knights on Tuesday. The Blackhawks were outshot 34-32 in the game but won 29 of 54 faceoffs. They were unable to find the net on any of their four power-play opportunities but defended the net each of the five times they were forced to skate shorthanded. The Blackhawks had 21 blocked shots and 11 takeaways in the game.

Chicago has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 2.71 goals per game for the season while giving up 3.00 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 33.4 shots per game while allowing 33.7 on the defensive end of the ice. They have three power-play goals this season for a 13.6 conversion rate to go with a 73.9 penalty kill percentage.

Chicago really needs a win here. They enter the game as -117 favorites with an under/over of 6.5. Neither one of these teams spends a whole lot of time in the penalty box and they aren’t far apart in terms of goals scored and goals against each game. I’m liking the Blackhawks to win at home in this one.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • Flyers are 8-20 previous 28 games as an underdog on the road.
  • Flyers are 2-6 previous eight games vs. Central Division.
  • Flyers are 2-7 last nine games when the opponent scores two goals or less in the previous game.
  • Chicago is 9-2 previous 11 games as a home favorite -10 to -150.

Flyers vs. Blackhawks Game Notes

Philadelphia Flyers    ( -103 ) Vs. Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks   ( -117 ) Vs. Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers (6.5) vs. Chicago Blackhawks (-117) Preview & Prediction (10/24/2019)

Philadelphia Flyers
O/U :6.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-10-24
Time: 20:35:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Philadelphia Flyers (6.5) vs. Chicago Blackhawks (-117) Preview & Prediction (10/24/2019)

Chicago Blackhawks
SIDE :-117

5.25 Forecast
(O/U 9 )
3.75
62% C.O.W 69%
54% C.O.G.O 54%
122 DMVI 126
(C) NEUTRAL MVI (C) BEARISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Philadelphia Flyers Chicago Blackhawks
Season Record : 3-4 Season Record : 2-5
Away Record : 0-3 Away Record : 0-1
Home Record : 3-1 Home Record : 2-4
Line : Line :
O/U : 6.5 O/U : 6.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 2 – 6 vs Vegas Golden Knights Last game: Lost 2 – 1 vs Vegas Golden Knights
SU: 0-1 ATS: 0-1-0 O/U: 1-0-0
SU: 1-3 ATS: 3-1-0 O/U: 0-4-0
Current game: vs. Chicago Blackhawks Current game: vs. Philadelphia Flyers
SU: 8-9 ATS: 10-8-0 O/U: 6-9-3
SU: 9-8 ATS: 8-10-0 O/U: 6-9-3
Next Game: Vs. COLUMBUS Next Game: At CAROLINA
SU: 7-3 ATS: 8-2-0 O/U: 4-5-1
SU: 8-3 ATS: 6-5-1 O/U: 2-10-0
Days Rest : 2 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (52.2 %) ATS:  (60.9%) O/U: (47.8%)
(L) SU: (57.7%) ATS: (49.3%) O/U: (50.7%)
(T) SU: (0-2) ATS: (1-1-0) O/U: (0-2-0)
(T) SU: (1-3) ATS: (2-2-0) O/U: (1-3-0)
Streaks : 1 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 1 Over Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 1 ATS Win – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 48.98% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 55.1%
Home Favorite: 2 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)2.33 Home Favorite: 2 Win -1 Lost   (GF)2.67 – (GA)2
Home Underdog: 1 Win -0 Lost   (GF)6 – (GA)2 Home Underdog: 0 Win -3 Lost   (GF)2.67 – (GA)4
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Underdog: 0 Win -3 Lost   (GF)2 – (GA)4 Road Underdog: 0 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)4
Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (GF)3.33 – (GA)4 Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (GF)2.33 – (GA)3
Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (GF)2.6 – (GA)3.6 Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (GF)2.4 – (GA)2.6
Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)3 Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (GF)2.71 – (GA)3.14
Last 10 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)3 Last 10 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (GF)2.71 – (GA)3.14
Last 15 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)3 Last 15 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (GF)2.71 – (GA)3.14
Situations (Philadelphia Flyers) Situations (Chicago Blackhawks)
Coming off a home underdog win (Vegas) Coming off a home underdog lost (Vegas)
Coming off 1 game winning streak Coming off a 2 game losing streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 1 under
Scored 6 or more goals FOR in last game Scored 1 goal FOR in last game
Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game Scored 2 or more goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 6 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 1 goal FOR in last game
Coming off a 4 goal win Coming off 6 game home stand
Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NHL Team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Non Conference Opponent – Last 4 years – playing on Thursday – Coming off a 4 goal win – Allowed 2 or less goals AGAINST in their last game – Coming off 1 over 12-7-0 10-9 16-3-0
When ANY NHL Team played as a Road team – Vs Western conference opponent – Last 5 years – playing on Thursday – Coming off a 1 game win – Coming off 1 over – Coming off a 2 game Home stand 18-2-0 11-9 9-6-5
Query ATS SU O/U

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