Philadelphia Flyers (6.5) vs. Florida Panthers (-145) Preview & Prediction (11/19/2019)

The Philadelphia Flyers will be on the road Saturday taking the ice against the Panthers in Sunrise, Florida. The Flyers will look to end a three-game skid after losing 3-4 at home against the New York Islanders on Saturday. The Panthers will be looking for back-to-back wins following a 4-3 win at home against the New York Rangers their last time on the ice.

The Philadelphia Flyers are now 10-6-4 on the season following a 3-4 loss in a shootout against the New York Islanders. The Flyers were outshot 31-36 in the game while winning just 23 of 49 faceoffs. Philadelphia was able to score a goal on one of their three power-play opportunities while defending the net two of the three times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 20 blocked shots and nine takeaways in the game.

The Flyers have been good for an average of 2.90 goals per game this season while giving up 2.80 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 33.8 shots per game while allowing 29.0 on the defensive end of the ice. Philly has scored 16 power-play goals for a 20.8 conversion rate to go with an 84.2 penalty kill percentage.

The Florida Panthers  are now 10-5-5 on the season following a 4-3 win at home against the New York Rangers. Florida was outshot 30-33 in the game while winning 32 of 62 faceoffs. The Panthers were able to score a goal on two of their four power-play opportunities while defending the net each of the three times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 12 blocked shots and nine takeaways in the game.

Florida has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 3.55 goals per game for the season while giving up the same number to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 34.6 shots per game while allowing 30.7 on the defensive end of the ice. They have 17 power-play goals this season for a 26.6 conversion rate to go with an 82.7 penalty kill percentage.

The Florida Panthers will take the ice on Tuesday as -145 favorites with the Flyers skating in at +125 underdogs. The total sits at six and a half on the game. Looking up and down the stat sheet, there isn’t much separating these two teams. Florida is scoring around half a goal more per game but they are giving up over half a goal more on the defensive end of the ice. I’m taking the Panthers simply because they are playing at home. If the game would have been in Philadelphia my pick would have gone the other way. My money is on Florida in this one.

NHL Stats and Trends:

  • Philadelphia is 4-12 in their previous 16 games as an underdog.
  • Philadelphia is 1-4 in their previous five games played on a Tuesday.
  • Florida is 6-2 in their previous eight games vs. the Eastern Conference.
  • Florida is 19-9 in their previous 28 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Philadelphia Flyers    ( 125 ) Vs. Florida Panthers Florida Panthers   ( -145 ) Vs. Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers (6.5) vs. Florida Panthers (-145) Preview & Prediction (11/19/2019)

Philadelphia Flyers
O/U :6.5

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-19
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Philadelphia Flyers (6.5) vs. Florida Panthers (-145) Preview & Prediction (11/19/2019)

Florida Panthers
SIDE :-145

2.85 Forecast
(O/U 6.3 )
3.45
75% C.O.W 42%
37% C.O.G.O 37%
-111 DMVI -136
(B) BULLISH MVI (C) NEUTRAL
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Philadelphia Flyers Florida Panthers
Season Record : 10-10 Season Record : 10-10
Away Record : 4-6 Away Record : 6-6
Home Record : 6-4 Home Record : 4-4
Line : Line :
O/U : 6.5 O/U : 6.5
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Lost 4 – 3 vs New York Islanders Last game: Won 3 – 4 vs New York Rangers
SU: 19-29 ATS: 30-20-2 O/U: 22-26-4
SU: 14-28 ATS: 17-27-2 O/U: 16-25-5
Current game: vs. Florida Panthers Current game: vs. Philadelphia Flyers
SU: 24-16 ATS: 26-15-0 O/U: 18-22-1
SU: 16-24 ATS: 15-26-0 O/U: 18-22-1
Next Game: At CAROLINA Next Game: Vs. ANAHEIM
SU: 17-19 ATS: 19-18-0 O/U: 18-15-4
SU: 4-5 ATS: 6-4-0 O/U: 3-6-1
Days Rest : 2 (Road) Days Rest : 2 (Home)
(L) SU:  (53.1 %) ATS:  (56.3%) O/U: (56.3%)
(L) SU: (61.8%) ATS: (47.4%) O/U: (48.7%)
(T) SU: (2-2) ATS: (3-1-0) O/U: (1-3-0)
(T) SU: (2-1) ATS: (2-1-0) O/U: (1-1-1)
Streaks : Streaks :
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: % Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: %
Home Favorite: 4 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3.8 – (GA)2.6 Home Favorite: 3 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.67 – (GA)3.33
Home Underdog: 2 Win -3 Lost   (GF)3.4 – (GA)2.6 Home Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)4
Road Favorite: 0 Win -1 Lost   (GF)1 – (GA)2 Road Favorite: 3 Win -2 Lost   (GF)4.2 – (GA)3.2
Road Underdog: 4 Win -5 Lost   (GF)2.67 – (GA)3.56 Road Underdog: 3 Win -4 Lost   (GF)3.29 – (GA)4.29
Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (GF)1.67 – (GA)2.67 Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (GF)4 – (GA)3.67
Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (GF)2.2 – (GA)2.4 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (GF)3.8 – (GA)3.6
Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)2.57 – (GA)2.14 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3.86 – (GA)3.29
Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (GF)2.6 – (GA)2.9 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.9 – (GA)3.5
Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (GF)3.13 – (GA)3 Last 15 game: 9 Win 6 Lost   (GF)4.07 – (GA)3.6
Situations (Philadelphia Flyers) Situations (Florida Panthers)
Coming off a home underdog lost (NYI) Coming off a home fav win (NYR)
Coming off a 3 game losing streak Coming off 1 game winning streak
Coming off 1 over Coming off 4 overs
Scored 3 or less goals FOR in last game Scored 4 or more goals FOR in last game
Scored 4 or more goals AGAINST in last game Scored 3 or less goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 4 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 3 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 3 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 4 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 1 goal loss Coming off 2 game home stand
Coming off a Division sandwich Coming off a 1 goal win
Coming off 2 days off Coming off 2 days off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When PHILADELPHIA team Played as Road team as a Underdog – Vs Conference Opponent – Last 3 years – Scored 3 or less goals FOR in their last game 16-4-0 7-13 9-10-1
Query ATS SU O/U
When FLORIDA team played as a home team – With 2 days off – Coming off a Home win as a Favorite 5-18-1 6-14 4-16-4

 

 

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