Philadelphia Flyers (6) vs. Boston Bruins (-233) Preview & Prediction (11/10/2019)

The Philadelphia Flyers will be on the road Sunday taking the ice against the Bruins at TD Garden in Boston. Philadelphia will be looking for a fourth consecutive win after winning 3-2 in Toronto against the Maple Leafs on Saturday. The Bruins will be looking to put an end to a two-game skid following a 4-2 loss in Detroit against the Red Wings their last time on the ice.

 

The Philadelphia Flyers skate into this one sitting at 9-5-2 on the season following a 3-2 shootout win against the Maple Leafs in Toronto on Saturday. The Flyers were outshot 32-40 in the game while winning just 29 of 64 faceoffs. Philadelphia was able to score a goal on one of their three power-play opportunities while defending the net each of the three times they were forced to skate with a man in the box. They had 13 blocked shots and two takeaways in the game.

 

The Flyers have been good for an average of 3.27 goals per game this season while giving up 3.07 to their opponents. They have been able to fire 35.1 shots per game while allowing 28.1 on the defensive end of the ice. Philadelphia has scored 13 power-play goals for a 21.7 conversion rate to go with an 83.7 penalty kill percentage.

 

The Boston Bruins have now lost two in a row following a 4-2 loss in Detroit against the Red Wings. Boston was outshot 28-32 in the game while winning 41 of 80 faceoffs. The Bruins were able to score a goal on one of their four power-play opportunities while allowing a goal two of the five times they were forced to skate shorthanded. They had 11 blocked shots and five takeaways in the game.

 

Boston has been able to find the back of the net for an average of 3.63 goals per game for the season while giving up 2.44 to their opponents. They have been able to fire an average of 32.4 shots per game while allowing 31.4 on the defensive end of the ice. They have 17 power-play goals this season for a 30.9 conversion rate to go with an 84.0 penalty kill percentage.

 

The Bruins will take the ice at home as heavy -220 favorites and the total sitting at six in the game. Here’s the deal. I’m a huge Boston Bruins fan. Always have been and always will be. That being said, this Flyers team scares me. Both teams score an average of over three goals per game, find the net on power-play opportunities, and defend the net when skating a man down. In order to beat the Flyers, Boston will need to put the puck in the net at least three or four times, maybe even five times. Because of that, my money is on the total going over six.

 

Over is 6-0 in the Flyers’ previous six games on zero days of rest.

Over is 4-1 in Flyers’ previous five games as an underdog on the road.

Over is 4-1 in Flyers’ previous four games on the road.

 

 

Philadelphia Flyers 1.5   ( 194 ) Vs. Boston Bruins Boston Bruins -1.5  ( -233 ) Vs. Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers

Philadelphia Flyers
O/U :6

Vs.
Date: 2019-11-10
Time: 19:05:00

Generated from
Previous Games
Boston Bruins

Boston Bruins
SIDE :-233

2.76 Forecast
(O/U 6.33 )
3.57
22% C.O.W 49%
56% C.O.G.O 56%
106 DMVI -185
(B) NEUTRAL MVI (A) BULLISH
WHAT DOES THIS MEAN? (NBA,NHL & MLB)
C.O.W. = (Chances of Winning) – The ‘C.O.W.’ percentage is based on a teams win/lost record using their short and long-term win/lost record. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF WINNING’ percentage for their next game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on betting that team.

C.O.G.O. = (Chances Game Going OVER) – The ‘C.O.G.O.’ percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. After we process it through our ‘math predictor’, we then provide a ‘CHANCES OF COVERING’ percentage for that game, which let’s you know if there’s any value on the OVER in that game.
*Note: If there’s a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, there’s a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) – The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmaker’s line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmaker’s line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

VI = (Value Index) – The Value Index is the current psychology of the betting public, based on a teams 7-game cycle.

  • BULLISH = Team is either (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) in their last 7 games.
  • NEUTRAL = Team is either (3-4 or 4-3) in their last 7 games.
  • BEARISH = Team is either (0-7, 1-6 or 2-5) in their last 7 games.

L.O.A. = (Law of Average) – The “Law of Average” edge is based on the 50/50 theory. Play on a team that lost against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game, vs. a team that won against the spread (ATS) or straight up (SU) in their last game.

Raymond Report
Philadelphia Flyers Boston Bruins
Season Record : 7-7 Season Record : 11-4
Away Record : 2-5 Away Record : 4-3
Home Record : 5-2 Home Record : 7-1
Line : 1.5 Line : -1.5
O/U : 6 O/U : 6
LINEMOVES LINEMOVES
Last game: Won 3 – 2 vs Toronto Maple Leafs Last game: Lost 2 – 4 vs Detroit Red Wings
SU: 16-27 ATS: 21-24-2 O/U: 18-23-6
SU: 20-14 ATS: 13-21-0 O/U: 20-12-2
Current game: vs. Boston Bruins Current game: vs. Philadelphia Flyers
SU: 18-24 ATS: 27-17-2 O/U: 19-24-3
SU: 24-18 ATS: 17-27-2 O/U: 19-24-3
Next Game: Vs. WASHINGTON Next Game: Vs. FLORIDA
SU: 20-17 ATS: 20-18-2 O/U: 19-19-2
SU: 18-10 ATS: 17-14-0 O/U: 12-15-4
Days Rest : 0 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
(L) SU:  (46 %) ATS:  (54%) O/U: (54%)
(L) SU: (59.2%) ATS: (49.2%) O/U: (49.2%)
(T) SU: (0-2) ATS: (0-2-0) O/U: (2-0-0)
(T) SU: (4-0) ATS: (4-0-0) O/U: (2-1-1)
Streaks : 3 SU Win – 1 ATS Win – 3 Under Streaks : 2 SU Lost – 1 ATS Lost – 1 Under
Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 57.14% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 61.22%
Home Favorite: 3 Win -1 Lost   (GF)4 – (GA)2.75 Home Favorite: 7 Win -1 Lost   (GF)4.13 – (GA)1.88
Home Underdog: 2 Win -1 Lost   (GF)4.33 – (GA)2.33 Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A
Road Favorite: 0 Win -0 Lost   (GF)N/A – (GA)N/A Road Favorite: 2 Win -1 Lost   (GF)3.33 – (GA)2.67
Road Underdog: 2 Win -5 Lost   (GF)2.57 – (GA)4 Road Underdog: 2 Win -2 Lost   (GF)3.25 – (GA)3.25
Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (GF)3.33 – (GA)1.67 Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (GF)4 – (GA)4.33
Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (GF)3.4 – (GA)2.4 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (GF)4.4 – (GA)3.2
Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3 – (GA)3.43 Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (GF)4.57 – (GA)2.86
Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (GF)3.8 – (GA)3.1 Last 10 game: 6 Win 4 Lost   (GF)4.2 – (GA)3
Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (GF)3.27 – (GA)3.13 Last 15 game: 10 Win 5 Lost   (GF)3.73 – (GA)2.6
Situations (Philadelphia Flyers) Situations (Boston Bruins)
Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (TOR) Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent. (DET)
Coming off a road underdog win Coming off a road favorite lost
Coming off a 3 game winning streak Coming off a 2 game losing streak
Coming off 3 unders Coming off 1 under
Scored 3 or more goals FOR in last game Scored 2 or less goals FOR in last game
Scored 2 or less goals AGAINST in last game Scored 4 or more goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 2 goals AGAINST in last game Coming off a scored 4 goals AGAINST in last game
Coming off a scored 3 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 2 goals FOR in last game
Coming off a 1 goal win Coming off 2 game road stand
Back to back games Coming off 1 day off
Trends Trends
Query ATS SU O/U
When ANY NHL Team Played as Road team as a Underdog – playing on Sunday – Last 2 years – During the month of November – Playing in back to back games 10-9-0 6-13 3-15-1
Query ATS SU O/U

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